Severe-Cabana — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$860

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-06 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$0

Other

6% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	3	$44	4,368	4,368	+0	open	—	04-07 12:32
bitcoin above 70k on april 3	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-03 17:39
will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-01 00:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-31 01:23
bitcoin above 72k on march 30	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-30 00:20
bitcoin above 72k on march 29	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-29 02:37
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-28 13:24
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-27 13:19
bitcoin above 76k on march 26	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-26 10:47
bitcoin above 74k on april 13	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-13 12:52
ethereum above 2400 on april 12	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-12 12:46
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-11 13:08
ethereum above 2400 on april 10	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	04-10 13:25
ethereum above 2400 on april 9	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-09 09:46
ethereum above 2300 on april 5	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 02:30
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-05 10:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-01 13:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-28 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 10:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-11 13:27
ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-06 10:42
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-10 12:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 13:09
ethereum above 2600 on april 15	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-15 13:38
ethereum above 2500 on april 16	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-16 13:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 09:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-07 12:57
bitcoin above 80k on april 21	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-21 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 10:42:28	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa042c1…
06-05 10:46:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa83136…
06-01 13:53:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x377ff6…
05-28 03:10:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6ee167…
05-22 14:04:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x72c476…
05-15 10:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x25b664…
05-14 09:19:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d1e60…
05-11 13:27:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaed3b6…
05-10 12:33:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x14f15c…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2aa702…
05-04 13:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e4374…
05-03 13:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x933ca0…
04-27 10:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5c7f23…
04-26 13:37:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53f8f7…
04-24 15:51:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x83940a…
04-23 12:17:30	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95e602…
04-22 15:37:56	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x59f41e…
04-21 13:30:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x80bdd6…
04-20 14:41:50	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x529bbf…
04-19 13:21:22	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x710d07…
04-18 17:58:08	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9c8801…
04-18 17:58:02	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1aaf80…
04-18 17:57:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x27d76b…
04-18 17:57:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x5db3cc…
04-18 17:57:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcb5ec6…
04-18 17:56:36	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6772f5…
04-18 17:56:24	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x11e01b…
04-18 17:56:18	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78c521…
04-17 14:18:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0bd37…
04-16 13:27:40	ethereum above 2500 on april 16	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbba097…
04-15 13:38:12	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3aa10d…
04-14 14:13:01	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa540af…
04-13 12:52:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd2bd4c…
04-12 12:46:23	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3804a7…
04-11 13:08:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xbb2050…
04-10 13:25:21	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x48b142…
04-09 09:46:25	ethereum above 2400 on april 9	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd134ab…
04-07 12:32:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	4,368	0¢	$22	0x312514…
04-07 09:47:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x5a4598…
04-07 09:47:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,276	1¢	$21	0xf08dff…
04-05 02:30:35	ethereum above 2300 on april 5	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x702e54…
04-03 17:39:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x58b0be…
04-01 00:38:37	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xaf7b19…
03-31 01:23:21	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xe3721b…
03-30 00:20:06	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xe2d9ab…
03-29 02:37:56	bitcoin above 72k on march 29	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7b8e6d…
03-28 13:24:21	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbbb551…
03-27 13:19:41	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xab78cb…
03-26 10:47:01	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf8369c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	40	$113.9K	2,219	06-02 09:16
Rubbery-Sponsorship 0x17fb…064f	36	$870	40	06-06 10:42
Imperfect-Knight 0xbfb4…6fba	36	$778	38	06-06 11:39
Forsaken-Envelope 0xcf72…6642	36	$673	66	06-06 08:39
Past-Injunction 0x782f…e3cf	35	$766	46	06-06 11:39
Distorted-Automaton 0x5355…91c0	35	$629	37	06-06 11:39
Posh-Following 0xc52e…da0b	35	$618	40	06-06 08:49
Jaunty-Controller 0x51f3…5542	35	$606	36	06-06 11:39