Realized P&L
+$2.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.05K
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
1,215
Trades
14,249
lifetime
Volume
$1.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$80.2K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 10-28 07:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Politics
44% 77% +$6,026
Crypto
28% 81% -$8,528
Other
28% 88% +$4,505
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +15,983 $15,316 99¢ $15.8K +$491 10-25 19:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15,570 $15,112 98¢ $15.2K +$92 10-27 18:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,702 $9,850 92¢ $9.8K -$58 10-25 10:16
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +8,669 $7,762 90¢ $7.8K +$83 10-24 08:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +7,367 $6,813 98¢ $7.2K +$414 10-27 18:37
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +6,978 $6,097 95¢ $6.6K +$532 10-27 14:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5,692 -$6,803 98¢ $-5581 +$1,222 10-28 02:23
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,955 $4,164 82¢ $4.1K -$76 10-28 08:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,779 $2,796 74¢ $2.8K +$20 10-27 10:30
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,762 $2,659 97¢ $2.7K +$14 10-24 08:57
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +2,767 $2,499 92¢ $2.5K +$46 10-27 20:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 -$5 18¢ $-9 -$4 07-05 12:40
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -125 -$12 6¢ $-8 +$5 10-05 21:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No -81 -$20 8¢ $-6 +$14 06-16 15:00
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +0 -$253 97¢ $0 +$253 06-12 21:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +0 -$4 100¢ $0 +$4 10-07 17:25