Lovable-Violence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$64

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

686

Trades

7,914

lifetime

Volume

$707.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$208

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Politics

64% 67% +$5,327

Other

33% 44% +$3,014

Tech

2% 42% +$24

Sports

0% 33% -$30

Crypto

0% 62% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+300	$68	42¢	$128	+$60	10-27 20:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+3,217	$58	2¢	$51	-$7	10-15 03:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+500	$15	6¢	$28	+$12	10-24 08:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+10	$2	15¢	$1	$0	09-09 18:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+357	$2	0¢	$0	-$1	10-02 09:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	131	$63.2K	35,106	34,506	+600	Yes	+$355	04-07 23:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	65	$22.1K	11,740	11,740	+0	Yes	+$399	07-26 20:25
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	50	$19.3K	10,182	10,182	+0	No	+$153	08-01 02:57
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	36	$18.0K	9,687	8,811	+875	No	+$63	02-24 21:01
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	27	$17.1K	10,110	7,145	+2,966	No	+$101	04-13 09:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	42	$16.5K	8,354	8,554	-200	No	+$96	03-20 07:05
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	140	$14.0K	17,673	13,897	+3,776	Yes	+$48	08-12 15:14
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	55	$13.8K	10,856	10,856	+0	Yes	+$1,458	09-09 15:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	65	$12.8K	6,783	6,783	+0	Yes	+$191	07-22 19:49
iran strike on israel by february 28	64	$10.9K	7,467	5,549	+1,918	Yes	+$98	02-28 20:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	33	$10.5K	4,532	6,195	-1,663	No	-$15	03-01 21:54
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	9	$10.4K	5,640	5,640	+0	Yes	+$358	07-27 19:25
will iran strike israel on march 6	84	$10.2K	6,569	6,583	-15	No	+$325	03-10 15:30
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	45	$9.9K	10,976	9,993	+983	Yes	-$370	08-30 03:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	36	$9.0K	5,063	5,063	+0	No	+$28	02-18 20:54
will iran strike israel on march 4	31	$8.4K	4,580	4,381	+199	Yes	+$55	03-06 19:26
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	33	$7.9K	6,851	5,874	+976	No	+$204	04-10 13:47
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	51	$7.7K	5,306	4,007	+1,299	No	+$195	06-26 18:07
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	39	$7.6K	5,022	3,528	+1,494	Yes	+$189	02-02 15:38
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	47	$7.2K	6,842	6,842	+0	No	+$393	06-08 03:08
will iran strike israel on march 10	79	$7.0K	4,966	4,597	+369	Yes	+$151	03-14 06:46
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	23	$7.0K	3,541	3,541	+0	No	+$56	04-16 06:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	29	$6.9K	4,464	4,464	+0	No	+$52	08-11 18:06
Will the US strike Somalia next?	17	$6.9K	3,485	3,479	+6	Yes	+$23	01-27 19:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	40	$6.8K	7,433	6,733	+700	No	-$257	09-11 12:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	73	$6.2K	5,202	5,600	-398	No	+$379	01-31 14:03
us strike on somalia by february 7	67	$6.1K	3,241	3,355	-115	Yes	+$64	02-03 19:57
us strike on somalia by february 28	54	$6.1K	3,644	4,487	-843	Yes	+$58	02-10 14:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	19	$6.0K	7,602	7,602	+0	Yes	+$224	08-01 20:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	7	$5.8K	3,020	3,020	+0	No	+$272	08-09 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:14:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0x7bff05…
10-27 20:12:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	250	28¢	$70	0xa121bb…
10-27 20:12:29	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0xd5cd85…
10-27 20:12:18	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,115	1¢	$10	0xb85ad3…
10-27 20:11:53	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xcaebe2…
10-27 20:11:35	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x521174…
10-27 20:11:11	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xce8c25…
10-27 20:11:09	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	253	8¢	$21	0x648b31…
10-27 20:11:09	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x0bdaf3…
10-27 20:05:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	253	8¢	$20	0xb73ba8…
10-27 20:03:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xc88026…
10-27 18:55:38	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0xb8b84d…
10-27 18:13:26	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	140	6¢	$9	0xceabd2…
10-27 18:11:06	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xaec6fc…
10-27 17:14:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0x7c74af…
10-27 17:10:57	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	3¢	$7	0x2b46fc…
10-27 17:06:12	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	317	3¢	$9	0x50b53d…
10-27 17:06:11	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xc8d220…
10-24 11:28:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	600	2¢	$13	0x1699c2…
10-24 08:59:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xcef410…
10-23 21:57:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	311	5¢	$16	0x39003d…
10-23 21:51:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x3e5258…
10-23 21:34:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeaad4c…
10-23 21:32:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xd8598b…
10-23 15:26:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0xd303f8…
10-22 20:46:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x4a0755…
10-22 18:34:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	19¢	$190	0x0dfa4c…
10-21 13:02:02	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0xcf747e…
10-21 13:02:00	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd934c3…
10-21 13:02:00	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xaccbf7…
10-21 13:02:00	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xab7048…
10-21 13:02:00	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x8d3691…
10-21 13:01:44	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x77760d…
10-21 10:22:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	290	13¢	$38	0x3fbe1f…
10-21 08:05:00	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x52ecaf…
10-21 07:05:09	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0bb031…
10-21 06:59:05	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x24ae89…
10-21 06:05:06	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2b1925…
10-21 06:02:21	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$3	0x8e7101…
10-21 00:00:05	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd016ee…
10-20 23:59:45	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xd5984c…
10-20 23:59:35	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x6c6b4b…
10-20 18:13:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	350	13¢	$46	0xcb0982…
10-20 15:57:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x58691e…
10-20 15:51:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x25ba23…
10-20 08:34:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xeec53b…
10-20 02:23:41	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xca53bd…
10-20 02:23:41	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2b7e16…
10-20 02:23:24	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x466b3d…
10-20 02:23:05	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x8cef34…
10-20 02:22:48	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x74b409…
10-20 02:22:23	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x2f47b4…
10-18 06:37:11	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xd1b022…
10-18 06:37:09	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0xb1376f…
10-18 06:37:09	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0x8d029b…
10-18 06:37:09	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x773566…
10-18 03:07:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf6c587…
10-17 08:45:23	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x5ecfb4…
10-16 18:03:38	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	96	15¢	$14	0x68371b…
10-16 18:03:26	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xe3444d…
10-16 07:14:30	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xd209f9…
10-16 07:07:15	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	210	35¢	$74	0x85cb14…
10-16 06:53:46	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	228	43¢	$97	0x16ec14…
10-15 21:13:27	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xcaf61d…
10-15 03:58:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x3319b6…
10-14 09:19:02	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	302	2¢	$7	0xc51e85…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xbc6a97…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0xacbc75…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	287	1¢	$4	0x492738…
10-13 18:20:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0x72fade…
10-13 04:03:26	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	94	6¢	$6	0xd403d5…
10-12 18:35:02	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc38ebb…
10-12 18:34:59	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0659cd…
10-12 18:34:38	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x673a63…
10-12 17:46:39	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0xf7a0f4…
10-12 17:46:18	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd0687c…
10-12 17:46:15	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6178f4…
10-12 17:46:14	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	249	3¢	$7	0xf069ee…
10-12 17:46:12	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xda9ed0…
10-12 17:46:12	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x9dc8d4…
10-12 17:46:09	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf05ea4…
10-12 17:37:00	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7bd2ef…
10-12 17:36:53	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xfa9f68…
10-12 17:36:50	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6301c6…
10-12 17:36:48	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x910815…
10-12 17:24:18	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	185	3¢	$5	0x96f90e…
10-12 17:07:57	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0x37f25b…
10-11 19:52:07	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x98d8ec…
10-10 16:53:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$6	0xe53d49…
10-08 17:15:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	423	2¢	$7	0x958e0d…
10-08 17:14:42	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xe2fa56…
10-08 17:14:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	858	2¢	$14	0x9ef9ca…
10-08 17:13:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,500	1¢	$15	0x47aaf8…
10-08 17:12:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	331	2¢	$5	0xb8d5b7…
10-06 13:05:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x2131ab…
10-06 03:56:22	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf59512…
10-06 02:40:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9a3f2c…
10-06 02:09:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3bd8f9…
10-06 02:09:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x03f79b…
10-06 01:24:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x386d0a…