Lovable-Violence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$226

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

6,113

lifetime

Volume

$486.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$108

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

63% 67% +$44

Other

34% 33% $-36

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-900	$118	12¢	$-108	$-226	07-01 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	131	$63.2K	35,106	34,506	+600	open	—	04-07 23:11
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	36	$18.0K	9,687	8,811	+875	open	—	02-24 21:01
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	27	$17.1K	10,110	7,145	+2,966	open	—	04-13 09:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	42	$16.5K	8,354	8,554	-200	open	—	03-20 07:05
iran strike on israel by february 28	64	$10.9K	7,467	5,549	+1,918	open	—	02-28 20:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	33	$10.5K	4,532	6,195	-1,663	open	—	03-01 21:54
will iran strike israel on march 6	84	$10.2K	6,569	6,583	-15	open	—	03-10 15:30
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	36	$9.0K	5,063	5,063	+0	open	—	02-18 20:54
will iran strike israel on march 4	31	$8.4K	4,580	4,381	+199	open	—	03-06 19:26
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	33	$7.9K	6,851	5,874	+976	open	—	04-10 13:47
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	51	$7.7K	5,306	4,007	+1,299	open	—	06-26 18:07
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	39	$7.6K	5,022	3,528	+1,494	open	—	02-02 15:38
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	47	$7.2K	6,842	6,842	+0	open	—	06-08 03:08
will iran strike israel on march 10	79	$7.0K	4,966	4,597	+369	open	—	03-14 06:46
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	23	$7.0K	3,541	3,541	+0	open	—	04-16 06:32
Will the US strike Somalia next?	17	$6.9K	3,485	3,479	+6	open	—	01-27 19:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	73	$6.2K	5,202	5,600	-398	open	—	01-31 14:03
us strike on somalia by february 7	67	$6.1K	3,241	3,355	-115	open	—	02-03 19:57
us strike on somalia by february 28	54	$6.1K	3,644	4,487	-843	open	—	02-10 14:14
will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in february 2026	53	$5.6K	2,863	2,870	-7	open	—	02-17 09:38
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	12	$5.5K	2,777	2,817	-40	open	—	02-24 05:43
israel closes its airspace by june 8	44	$5.2K	5,797	5,797	+0	open	—	06-08 07:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	14	$5.1K	2,758	2,758	+0	open	—	07-21 07:20
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	17	$4.9K	2,475	2,525	-49	open	—	03-27 19:54
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	54	$4.8K	5,557	5,557	+0	open	—	07-17 02:22
will the us invade iran by march 31	17	$4.4K	2,364	2,364	+0	open	—	03-31 20:55
iran closes its airspace by june 8	23	$4.4K	5,746	5,746	+0	open	—	06-07 20:06
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	18	$4.4K	2,296	2,296	+0	open	—	03-14 15:49
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	15	$4.3K	2,200	2,500	-300	open	—	02-28 06:27
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	5	$4.3K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	07-19 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 01:04:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x816e55…
07-22 01:01:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	374	94¢	$351	0x82a193…
07-21 17:09:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	2,660	93¢	$2,474	0xcfa32b…
07-21 07:20:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	2,005	100¢	$1,999	0xe6d2b3…
07-20 22:31:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$478	0xaa0a8c…
07-20 18:53:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x3ef7b3…
07-20 18:46:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x1e84c0…
07-20 18:38:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x505db2…
07-20 18:26:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x89ab68…
07-20 18:17:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb9b1e3…
07-20 18:07:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	299	97¢	$291	0x2d6813…
07-20 18:07:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0x2d7805…
07-20 17:53:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	216	98¢	$212	0x03f25a…
07-20 17:53:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0xf962e1…
07-20 17:53:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x77c799…
07-20 17:28:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0x44aa82…
07-20 16:46:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x71adeb…
07-20 16:45:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x987b23…
07-20 16:45:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x053473…
07-20 10:38:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	SELL	241	63¢	$152	0x36b3f5…
07-20 10:16:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	241	39¢	$94	0xa7e3fe…
07-20 06:53:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	123	4¢	$5	0xc70172…
07-20 06:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xfb5738…
07-20 06:11:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	173	3¢	$6	0xc967f2…
07-19 09:19:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	1,015	100¢	$1,013	0xd5a17a…
07-19 09:01:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xeb3a77…
07-19 08:10:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8453c4…
07-19 06:59:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	1,100	100¢	$1,098	0xc76c95…
07-19 06:01:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xdc8a30…
07-19 04:04:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	63	83¢	$52	0x582129…
07-19 03:58:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	63	76¢	$48	0xe32522…
07-19 03:06:36	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	77	76¢	$59	0x17e7a8…
07-19 02:54:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xbe72a1…
07-19 02:41:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xe71575…
07-19 02:18:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	125	76¢	$95	0xd3c41e…
07-19 00:32:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	90	76¢	$68	0xad4f95…
07-19 00:21:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0x7d3067…
07-19 00:17:31	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x9ee4b4…
07-18 23:45:28	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x874128…
07-18 23:45:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x71ba81…
07-18 23:32:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	213	76¢	$162	0xad8d52…
07-18 20:33:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x80ffef…
07-18 20:33:33	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5e72c9…
07-18 20:22:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2c0b11…
07-18 20:07:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x0e44c4…
07-18 20:01:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	2,170	98¢	$2,127	0x8f614b…
07-18 19:25:21	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x768cda…
07-18 19:24:30	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xea7e7c…
07-18 18:34:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x4a5505…
07-18 16:21:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xbbfd0d…
07-18 16:21:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xcfbb12…
07-18 14:07:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	63	13¢	$8	0x8b0d7d…
07-18 14:01:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0x24343d…
07-18 13:58:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xc3dd99…
07-18 13:08:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x37b39c…
07-18 13:08:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x0c6772…
07-18 13:08:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	SELL	169	1¢	$2	0xe05495…
07-18 07:11:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xef86fc…
07-18 06:37:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xf5a1b7…
07-18 06:33:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x8b04d8…
07-18 06:32:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0xfffaa5…
07-18 05:55:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	888	84¢	$746	0xf4eb60…
07-18 05:20:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xf2bb5c…
07-17 21:36:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	524	84¢	$440	0x3c3285…
07-17 20:32:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	125	3¢	$3	0x2fb08a…
07-17 20:04:36	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0x9bdbc6…
07-17 17:26:36	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0x9e8173…
07-17 17:11:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	228	82¢	$187	0x6c4c69…
07-17 17:06:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	333	82¢	$273	0x131b25…
07-17 16:56:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	222	82¢	$182	0xfe5e41…
07-17 16:34:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x69024c…
07-17 16:33:33	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	105	82¢	$86	0xc38889…
07-17 13:45:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	162	7¢	$11	0x957793…
07-17 13:44:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x7a447f…
07-17 12:11:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xc09c62…
07-17 12:09:48	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x8f7808…
07-17 11:55:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb16e3c…
07-17 11:51:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa0c6e4…
07-17 11:33:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x57f468…
07-17 06:05:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xd62110…
07-17 06:05:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xa7a8a6…
07-17 05:27:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	96	22¢	$21	0xd934a0…
07-17 02:22:36	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	368	98¢	$360	0xe13d4a…
07-17 02:21:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x792442…
07-17 02:20:36	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x984b73…
07-17 02:20:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xa18a98…
07-17 02:19:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0xffb5f6…
07-17 02:19:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0xbc3f9c…
07-17 02:19:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x2d4b49…
07-17 02:19:51	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x89e999…
07-17 02:17:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	586	95¢	$556	0x07abf7…
07-17 02:17:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xd77a71…
07-17 02:17:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x588883…
07-17 02:16:15	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	526	87¢	$456	0xd55831…
07-17 02:14:37	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	701	75¢	$525	0xb6f9f0…
07-16 21:06:43	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x31e93a…
07-16 21:06:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	615	10¢	$61	0x347973…
07-16 20:55:31	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x386b73…
07-16 20:54:49	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb2cd2f…
07-16 20:37:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$40	0x1a120b…