Stiff-Radiator — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

234

234 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.37K

$3.37K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up		+57	$55	99¢	$56	+$1	05-05 22:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$75	77	+77	open	—	05-05 20:14
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$68	69	+69	open	—	05-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$62	64	+64	open	—	05-05 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$57	58	+58	open	—	05-05 18:13
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$55	57	+57	open	—	05-05 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$55	56	+56	open	—	05-05 19:18
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$53	54	+54	Up	+$1	05-05 01:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$53	54	+54	open	—	05-05 20:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$47	47	+47	open	—	05-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$45	46	+46	Up	+$1	05-04 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	05-05 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	4	$44	45	+45	Up	+$1	05-05 03:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$41	41	+41	Up	+$0	05-05 01:29
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$41	42	+42	Down	+$1	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$37	38	+38	Up	+$1	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$36	37	+37	open	—	05-05 22:14
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$36	36	+36	Down	+$0	05-04 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$30	31	+31	open	—	05-05 18:00
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 17:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 20:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 21:25
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$30	31	+31	open	—	05-05 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 21:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 20:13
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$29	29	+29	open	—	05-05 07:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$28	28	+28	Down	+$0	05-05 04:45
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$28	28	+28	open	—	05-05 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	98¢	$48	0xedfd13…
05-05 22:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x1c0580…
05-05 22:14:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc55116…
05-05 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x28c282…
05-05 22:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x078fb2…
05-05 21:59:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x80d365…
05-05 21:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2d42ad…
05-05 21:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x69046e…
05-05 21:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9705f9…
05-05 21:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x5c0e60…
05-05 21:29:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa6ea62…
05-05 21:29:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x76987e…
05-05 21:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x67ed0a…
05-05 21:24:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8e32e9…
05-05 21:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xd9f1d7…
05-05 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x609047…
05-05 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa84a53…
05-05 21:14:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x7dc0f4…
05-05 21:09:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe34894…
05-05 21:09:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x1cb0ec…
05-05 21:09:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xd1d7ed…
05-05 20:59:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7f7739…
05-05 20:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa0d7da…
05-05 20:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xc68ec2…
05-05 20:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x9bef51…
05-05 20:59:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xf898bf…
05-05 20:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x16e942…
05-05 20:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x07ce01…
05-05 20:49:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf2b66a…
05-05 20:45:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x925933…
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe7c49f…
05-05 20:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf291fd…
05-05 20:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x094001…
05-05 20:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x37b42e…
05-05 20:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x132184…
05-05 20:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe84510…
05-05 20:24:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7b359b…
05-05 20:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8af6dd…
05-05 20:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa31c10…
05-05 20:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7a20a4…
05-05 20:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xcf38f0…
05-05 20:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xc1787e…
05-05 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x308e67…
05-05 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x1078c7…
05-05 20:13:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xd283e4…
05-05 20:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x1197b0…
05-05 20:13:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88b4e7…
05-05 20:13:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8ccc70…
05-05 20:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xfe72be…
05-05 20:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4fb99e…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd66950…
05-05 20:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xb48e2a…
05-05 20:03:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9c8aa8…
05-05 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x89290f…
05-05 20:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x18c895…
05-05 20:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x17d4f6…
05-05 20:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x587295…
05-05 19:58:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe30943…
05-05 19:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6ee0ff…
05-05 19:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa21297…
05-05 19:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xab9387…
05-05 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xff701e…
05-05 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc3fd8f…
05-05 19:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xba8c49…
05-05 19:43:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x9955ac…
05-05 19:43:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa0fb74…
05-05 19:41:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x10fda7…
05-05 19:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x02faa6…
05-05 19:38:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7486c5…
05-05 19:33:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x740a67…
05-05 19:28:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1d3c6f…
05-05 19:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xb1f1e2…
05-05 19:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x814658…
05-05 19:18:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8939e6…
05-05 19:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x468e90…
05-05 19:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa67ea7…
05-05 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbcab45…
05-05 19:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x65bdff…
05-05 19:18:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdbeca8…
05-05 19:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2880b0…
05-05 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x646f11…
05-05 19:14:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x3c3a26…
05-05 19:14:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x55f108…
05-05 19:13:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x612f5b…
05-05 19:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8288e6…
05-05 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb7e6cb…
05-05 19:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd2c988…
05-05 18:54:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x011657…
05-05 18:48:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x921c37…
05-05 18:44:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x906ec6…
05-05 18:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xfce738…
05-05 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x071324…
05-05 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x2c7f8f…
05-05 18:33:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x53bd16…
05-05 18:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x42ad67…
05-05 18:14:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x065d21…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xdbac8c…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xf490f4…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x5822be…
05-05 18:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xfd799d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Stale-Adviser 0xbeb4…da45	141	$2.72K	171	05-05 22:49
Physical-Chipmunk 0x0899…459e	118	$1.01K	144	05-05 22:49
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	87	$1.67K	224	05-05 22:45
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	76	$6.84K	356	05-05 22:45
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	72	$2.06K	175	05-05 22:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	67	$34.3K	455	05-05 22:10
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	67	$8.67K	249	05-05 22:09
Waterlogged-Bread 0x5058…c865	59	$540	59	05-05 22:49