Realized P&L
-$786
Unrealized P&L
-$103
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,113
lifetime
Volume
$122.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$2.62K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-01 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
51% 60% $-429
Politics
36% 50% $-357
Crypto
5%
Sports
4%
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,822 $1,579 86¢ $1.6K $-3 06-30 08:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +432 $268 58¢ $253 $-15 06-28 05:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +207 $173 82¢ $171 $-2 06-28 20:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -200 $-151 75¢ $-150 +$1 06-26 17:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +192 $141 77¢ $148 +$7 06-18 09:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -219 $-140 56¢ $-124 +$16 06-26 17:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -190 $-98 54¢ $-102 $-4 06-19 19:41
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No -65 $-79 99¢ $-64 +$14 06-27 02:28
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -131 $-26 29¢ $-37 $-11 06-20 15:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $107 $0 $-107 06-29 05:59