Bronze-Intensity 0x998616…c727ae
cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.79K
Unrealized P&L
-$138
Hit rate
54.3%
Resolved
630
Trades
1,653
lifetime
Volume
$48.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$53
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-30 13:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Politics
65% 32% -$1,688
Other
33% 29% -$143
Sports
1% 40% +$57
Crypto
0% 48% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +50 $11 23¢ $12 +$1 10-29 19:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +19 $10 48¢ $9 -$1 10-21 23:51
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +219 $18 3¢ $7 -$11 10-23 14:36
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $9 5¢ $5 -$4 10-21 15:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +102 $20 4¢ $4 -$16 10-23 14:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +60 $14 6¢ $3 -$11 10-08 20:29
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $10 1¢ $3 -$8 10-06 21:14
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +73 $7 3¢ $2 -$5 10-29 14:23
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +100 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 10-29 14:23
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +100 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 10-28 08:42
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +200 $12 1¢ $1 -$11 10-10 21:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +207 $23 0¢ $1 -$23 10-06 09:58
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +108 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 10-16 11:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? Yes +70 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 10-23 10:18
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +46 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 10-28 12:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +39 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 10-23 10:17
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +45 $4 0¢ $0 -$3 10-28 08:20