Ill-Informed-Baseboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$156

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-09 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 0% $-1

Other

19% 0% $-0

Politics

16% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-9	$-5	66¢	$-6	$-1	06-25 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-29 14:16
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	03-04 10:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$9	4	13	-9	open	—	06-25 15:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-10 14:21
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-11 16:21
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	5	$5	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 14:07
bitcoin above 62k on february 25	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-25 06:13
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-06 13:46
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-12 14:45
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	3	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-22 14:31
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-09 13:22
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-22 15:49
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 14:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	06-29 14:15
grok 4pt20 released by january 15 984	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	01-02 15:49
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 14:32
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 07:16
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 14:37
will bitcoin dip to 72k march 16 22	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 15:11
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 06:05
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 14:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 14:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 14:45
will megaeth perform an airdrop by march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-07 12:56
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-01 12:37
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-19 14:56
will antnio jos seguro win the first round	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	01-17 10:30
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 03:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 09:21
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 15:20:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0x71aea3…
07-08 15:29:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb7a940…
07-05 08:02:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x554e95…
07-04 14:45:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7ccffc…
06-30 14:23:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x83fa44…
06-29 14:16:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x0505a4…
06-29 14:15:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x7392f6…
06-28 14:48:26	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0c9605…
06-28 14:40:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcb944b…
06-26 08:10:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xefa27c…
06-25 15:03:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x144684…
06-25 07:31:38	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcc495a…
06-24 14:04:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xeef1d6…
06-23 14:57:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb01efd…
06-22 14:31:47	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa95f25…
06-21 12:56:10	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x7f4511…
06-20 09:32:40	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf533c3…
06-19 15:39:07	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7268e0…
06-18 14:37:04	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x926f3c…
06-17 03:49:28	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x83a874…
06-16 12:07:48	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa5abf1…
06-13 13:41:42	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x58a57c…
06-12 06:28:28	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa96293…
06-11 15:05:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3285f7…
06-09 13:22:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xc5c147…
06-07 12:33:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x52b62c…
06-06 00:02:45	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x67e301…
06-05 15:29:51	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x04c39d…
06-04 14:37:25	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x6a9a40…
06-03 03:12:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x5d78fc…
06-02 08:04:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x78c9bc…
06-02 08:04:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa770ea…
06-01 14:02:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x550db3…
06-01 14:02:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc2299d…
05-31 13:54:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x90bf01…
05-30 07:32:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x628a05…
05-27 01:48:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc2200b…
05-20 14:07:19	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeb2420…
05-19 13:07:47	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xf914b7…
05-18 13:14:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x67e015…
05-16 13:32:00	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4568a2…
05-15 14:29:24	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x16ec95…
05-15 14:28:56	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd2d25e…
05-14 14:45:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xdb1151…
05-13 13:07:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3e8f59…
05-12 14:45:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x6f0483…
05-11 14:32:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf05092…
05-10 14:21:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xe8dc15…
05-10 14:21:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xd83c5e…
05-07 12:41:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6c5a00…
05-06 15:24:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd7016f…
05-05 14:52:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2bf2d1…
05-04 11:33:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x57bb2a…
05-02 03:22:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x739c45…
04-30 14:38:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x75764d…
04-28 07:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x11cd22…
04-27 13:45:58	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x3fe685…
04-26 12:29:16	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5ecb4c…
04-24 14:40:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x73c96a…
04-23 05:54:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xde1089…
04-22 06:05:42	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x1f7074…
04-21 11:01:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5a22d0…
04-20 14:35:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4babad…
04-19 13:11:56	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x37124a…
04-17 14:06:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x013145…
04-15 13:52:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1cf651…
04-13 14:32:43	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x50b1e5…
04-12 14:41:45	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x900a2c…
04-09 09:21:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x905f60…
04-08 13:54:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb90132…
04-07 14:48:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xfc9564…
04-06 14:41:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb8ddab…
03-31 14:25:29	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x98cbe4…
03-30 15:05:43	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5a0bd4…
03-29 06:50:52	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc0c5f7…
03-26 14:50:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x575284…
03-19 14:43:07	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe83547…
03-18 15:11:01	will bitcoin dip to 72k march 16 22	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x579a1c…
03-17 16:00:41	will bitcoin dip to 72k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2cc79e…
03-15 14:07:13	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x45e391…
03-12 13:52:41	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb77007…
03-11 06:30:45	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xb1974b…
03-10 14:56:45	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x193748…
03-10 14:21:41	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0e2dbc…
03-06 13:46:47	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xc7ee55…
03-05 04:34:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x52b9c1…
03-04 10:34:41	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x5e8b77…
03-03 13:34:41	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xe0f47b…
03-01 12:37:01	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x2f271f…
02-28 04:23:23	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4a94d0…
02-27 14:03:43	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbc0012…
02-27 11:26:31	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x31afde…
02-26 10:21:02	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x126a17…
02-25 06:13:14	bitcoin above 62k on february 25	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x5726da…
02-24 12:29:28	bitcoin above 62k on february 25	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf03305…
02-22 15:49:56	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x45ef08…
02-22 15:47:46	will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x38b884…
02-19 15:12:02	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7cdea3…
02-17 14:16:37	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 16 22	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x063f43…
02-17 14:16:21	will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe609b3…