Elaborate-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

114 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$35.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$315

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-25 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$14

Other

11% 0% -$20

Crypto

5% 100% +$3

Sports

5% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.8K	1,898	1,898	+0	open	—	05-26 02:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	981	981	+0	No	-$1	04-18 04:01
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	945	945	+0	open	—	05-04 03:51
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.9K	943	943	+0	open	—	05-06 06:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.9K	942	942	+0	No	-$2	05-08 02:07
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	942	942	+0	open	—	05-10 03:42
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.9K	935	935	+0	open	—	05-16 02:07
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.9K	936	936	+0	open	—	05-12 03:54
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	934	934	+0	open	—	05-14 06:08
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	930	930	+0	open	—	05-20 02:57
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.8K	928	928	+0	open	—	05-22 03:53
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	927	927	+0	open	—	05-24 02:39
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	928	928	+0	open	—	05-31 05:26
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.8K	897	897	+0	open	—	06-13 02:27
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.8K	899	899	+0	open	—	06-04 05:48
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	895	895	+0	open	—	06-15 02:33
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.8K	932	932	+0	No	-$1	05-17 02:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	13	$286	16,840	16,840	+0	No	-$17	06-02 02:21
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$266	17,744	17,744	+0	open	—	05-02 02:54
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$217	16,932	16,932	+0	No	+$13	05-28 02:03
ethereum above 2000 on july 7 2026	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	07-07 03:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-30 02:56
solana above 80 on july 1 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	07-01 02:55
ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	07-15 03:38
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 10?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	07-10 03:30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-08 03:20
will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	08-02 07:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?	1	$39	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-18 08:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	1	$39	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	08-24 07:45
bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-14 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 05:49:02	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 25?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x05cc13…
09-23 08:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xaed96c…
09-22 06:40:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x60f9c9…
09-21 07:55:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x80dcd9…
09-19 05:58:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf31ac6…
09-18 08:52:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0xf938f1…
09-17 06:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa5d15a…
09-16 07:33:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xaa85d3…
09-15 06:33:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x38d0cd…
09-12 06:47:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8c2d47…
09-11 07:02:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x41c314…
09-09 07:40:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7a32d3…
09-08 07:24:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x0f577b…
09-05 07:12:13	bitcoin above 76k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2d1a20…
09-04 07:18:52	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb85cf9…
09-02 06:30:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5d4732…
08-25 06:05:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd1354c…
08-24 07:45:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0x339449…
08-22 07:58:18	bitcoin above 70k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc2e7d9…
08-21 08:01:30	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x65eeca…
08-20 08:34:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 20?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x741ddf…
08-17 07:06:21	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd0fde9…
08-16 07:52:31	ethereum above 1700 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x34931d…
08-14 08:08:21	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xed3f63…
08-13 08:56:21	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xce51aa…
08-12 08:55:57	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x9f33b6…
08-11 07:21:06	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5b805b…
08-08 05:45:10	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x21632a…
08-07 07:34:10	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x59df3c…
08-06 07:26:09	bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x46a051…
08-05 06:42:51	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x1d486a…
08-03 05:47:56	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc8db56…
08-02 07:34:17	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd06e24…
08-01 08:19:44	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xafe013…
07-30 07:19:51	bitcoin above 60k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6128c6…
07-29 08:12:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd32be6…
07-28 06:20:04	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 28?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7a460e…
07-27 07:11:15	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x010b96…
07-25 06:50:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbcdc11…
07-24 07:33:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7394cf…
07-23 07:39:31	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x63951a…
07-21 05:05:39	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x18f399…
07-20 05:18:28	solana above 70 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc80e2b…
07-19 06:29:21	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x504552…
07-16 07:45:47	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6b09ec…
07-15 03:38:55	ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x34cac4…
07-14 06:27:17	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1027ec…
07-13 07:02:07	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbe6889…
07-12 08:18:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe8c1a2…
07-10 03:30:14	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 10?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x12a15d…
07-09 03:20:50	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 9?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x70e420…
07-08 03:20:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x2f3be7…
07-07 03:30:55	ethereum above 2000 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbc9c2b…
07-05 03:44:53	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe51cc3…
07-04 06:36:55	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc47c0f…
07-03 06:27:05	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcb3485…
07-01 02:55:08	solana above 80 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x79d49c…
06-30 02:56:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x74bb09…
06-29 05:36:49	xrp above 0pt9 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7ef086…
06-26 06:24:29	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x2c62c4…
06-24 08:03:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe4ac31…
06-15 02:33:27	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	895	99¢	$887	0x8d0b0e…
06-14 02:19:10	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	895	99¢	$888	0xfdc5b8…
06-13 02:27:27	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	897	99¢	$890	0x821c93…
06-12 05:36:43	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	897	99¢	$891	0x2beeb5…
06-04 05:48:04	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	899	99¢	$890	0x720646…
06-03 02:24:50	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	899	99¢	$891	0xc8777f…
06-02 02:21:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16,840	1¢	$135	0x787e6f…
06-01 02:18:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x2500cf…
06-01 02:18:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	893	1¢	$8	0x349512…
06-01 02:18:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	913	1¢	$8	0x4b521d…
06-01 02:18:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	881	1¢	$8	0x5b5e1e…
06-01 02:18:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	905	1¢	$8	0xb8d748…
06-01 02:18:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	905	1¢	$8	0x687511…
06-01 02:17:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	883	1¢	$8	0x0007ee…
06-01 02:17:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	896	1¢	$8	0xd1eebe…
06-01 02:17:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	886	1¢	$8	0x59a2fb…
06-01 02:17:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	868	1¢	$8	0x45e776…
06-01 02:16:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	891	1¢	$8	0x7bffca…
06-01 02:16:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,894	1¢	$71	0x2c7222…
05-31 05:26:52	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	928	99¢	$919	0x9bf092…
05-30 06:58:35	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	928	99¢	$920	0x647bd6…
05-28 02:03:45	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16,932	1¢	$115	0x9fca7d…
05-27 02:49:13	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16,932	1¢	$102	0xb0000e…
05-26 02:34:43	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	924	99¢	$916	0x70c2b2…
05-25 02:23:40	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	924	99¢	$917	0x131cf7…
05-24 02:39:31	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	927	99¢	$921	0xb84473…
05-23 07:11:43	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	927	99¢	$922	0x8417d2…
05-22 03:53:03	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	928	99¢	$921	0xe9dd15…
05-21 02:35:04	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	928	99¢	$922	0x75245e…
05-20 02:57:03	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	930	99¢	$922	0x1f872d…
05-19 02:22:12	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	930	99¢	$923	0xe916f7…
05-17 02:51:13	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	932	95¢	$883	0x2d6350…
05-16 02:15:42	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	932	95¢	$884	0xc4ee22…
05-16 02:07:01	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	935	99¢	$928	0x5f5e04…
05-15 06:16:52	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	935	99¢	$929	0x999405…
05-14 06:08:41	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	934	99¢	$924	0x829d46…
05-13 02:43:41	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	934	99¢	$925	0x0a3a5e…
05-12 03:54:40	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	936	99¢	$927	0x02db7f…
05-11 02:31:03	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	936	99¢	$928	0x13cc2d…