Detailed-Choice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.06K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.14K

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

115

Trades

498

lifetime

Volume

$192.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$387

Open exposure

$11.0K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-28 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

57% 70% -$10,511

Other

43% 44% +$5,737

Sports

0% 12% -$289

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+5,461	$4,307	99¢	$5.4K	+$1,099	10-27 23:25
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	+5,144	$3,946	96¢	$4.9K	+$969	10-25 22:53
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	+600	$522	99¢	$595	+$73	10-27 19:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?	No	+60	$41	68¢	$41	+$0	10-27 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	15	$48.4K	29,230	29,230	+0	No	+$7,738	04-15 12:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$33.1K	32,656	13,596	+19,060	No	-$9,491	04-15 19:09
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	37	$20.5K	914	20,528	-19,614	No	-$775	06-24 05:04
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	23	$13.8K	11,218	6,073	+5,144	open	—	10-25 22:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	64	$9.5K	8,400	7,589	+811	No	-$795	05-28 18:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$5.6K	3,069	3,069	+0	Yes	+$480	04-08 09:50
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	15	$5.3K	6,211	750	+5,461	open	—	10-27 23:25
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	3	$3.8K	3,830	0	+3,830	Yes	+$22	04-10 12:42
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	2	$3.8K	3,269	3,269	+0	Yes	-$1,727	03-29 22:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	15	$3.3K	4,052	4,052	+0	Yes	-$757	05-23 19:39
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,716	0	+3,716	Yes	+$692	04-09 17:23
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 29 2026 897	1	$2.6K	2,748	0	+2,748	Yes	+$123	03-28 20:55
den nor bro 2026 04 07 nor	3	$2.4K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$59	04-07 19:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,095	595	+500	No	+$47	05-08 06:57
iran closes its airspace by june 8	13	$1.5K	950	950	+0	Yes	+$54	06-09 07:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.3K	1,457	160	+1,297	No	+$275	04-30 06:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$180	05-28 21:21
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,214	0	+1,214	Yes	+$64	04-05 21:16
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.1K	710	710	+0	No	-$116	06-14 22:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	6	$1.1K	610	610	+0	No	+$59	05-28 19:00
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	5	$1.0K	800	800	+0	England	-$257	07-18 22:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	1	$1000	1,150	0	+1,150	No	+$150	04-16 07:06
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	1	$974	1,026	0	+1,026	Yes	+$52	04-04 20:03
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 draw	2	$958	500	500	+0	Yes	+$41	04-05 17:36
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	5	$956	1,174	0	+1,174	No	+$218	06-23 10:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	4	$943	1,086	0	+1,086	No	+$143	04-22 20:56
sea pis tor 2026 04 05 tor	9	$919	500	500	+0	Yes	+$79	04-05 19:11
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	1	$913	974	0	+974	Yes	+$61	03-31 09:29
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	8	$872	475	475	+0	Yes	-$40	04-07 22:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$810	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$190	06-21 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:59:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xb1a4cc…
10-27 23:25:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	394	94¢	$370	0x87e1c7…
10-27 23:25:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	512	41¢	$210	0x4ebf09…
10-27 23:25:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	190	58¢	$110	0x7e9c97…
10-27 23:08:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	754	93¢	$701	0xfdf18c…
10-27 23:08:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	300	54¢	$163	0xfdb9d5…
10-27 20:35:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	800	81¢	$648	0x1a8179…
10-27 20:15:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,013	79¢	$800	0x43cc99…
10-27 20:12:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x252660…
10-27 20:02:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x05185e…
10-27 20:02:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	589	85¢	$500	0xa003ac…
10-27 20:01:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x4820be…
10-27 20:01:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	77¢	$387	0xfe7103…
10-27 20:01:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xf3dbca…
10-27 20:01:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0xe36827…
10-27 20:00:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	62¢	$312	0xbd0850…
10-27 20:00:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	62¢	$94	0x246bda…
10-27 19:59:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xb08e51…
10-27 19:34:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0xe4398a…
10-27 19:04:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x3566b2…
10-27 19:03:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0x668b88…
10-27 19:02:42	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	208	87¢	$181	0x185b45…
10-27 19:00:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0xb110e7…
10-27 18:58:05	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x3c5e17…
10-27 18:56:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x48377a…
10-27 18:56:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	135	77¢	$104	0x1f9392…
10-27 18:55:21	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	354	87¢	$308	0x43751f…
10-25 23:23:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xdc087e…
10-25 23:23:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	139	10¢	$13	0xaa8d2e…
10-25 23:14:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$58	0x4ec939…
10-25 23:10:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	388	13¢	$52	0xeb9c7c…
10-25 23:10:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	330	13¢	$44	0xe03d9b…
10-25 23:10:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	415	13¢	$55	0x30dc4e…
10-25 23:10:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	13¢	$4	0xbd494f…
10-25 23:10:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0x994ab9…
10-25 23:10:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	778	13¢	$103	0x27ca9f…
10-25 23:08:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x370129…
10-25 23:08:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x10e668…
10-25 23:07:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0x54102b…
10-25 23:07:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$78	0x7c3403…
10-25 22:55:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfa6c5b…
10-25 22:55:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x356f19…
10-25 22:55:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb0d5be…
10-25 22:55:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	160	23¢	$37	0x497877…
10-25 22:54:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x052867…
10-25 22:53:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,573	87¢	$4,845	0x889845…
10-25 22:25:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	250	69¢	$172	0xc6d6a7…
10-25 22:18:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x0e21c1…
09-01 16:58:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x14bcb9…
08-31 18:51:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0xb820b6…
08-31 18:50:36	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0xfdb309…
08-24 11:58:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x7dd1d6…
08-22 10:28:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	262	57¢	$150	0x40b706…
08-22 10:07:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x5c99c7…
07-19 21:49:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x404190…
07-19 21:47:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xce3e3d…
07-19 21:47:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	62	12¢	$7	0x7755ed…
07-19 21:42:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa2ebb5…
07-19 21:42:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	54	61¢	$32	0x2c26f4…
07-18 22:32:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	650	53¢	$343	0xe1474e…
07-18 22:04:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0xad3abb…
07-18 21:21:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0xc28188…
07-18 21:20:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	150	27¢	$40	0x99859b…
07-18 21:20:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0x7f591b…
07-14 21:02:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa467e3…
07-14 20:54:08	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x6b1e7f…
07-14 20:45:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0x531712…
07-14 20:44:56	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x9ad9a7…
07-14 20:31:34	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x819f6d…
07-14 20:29:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x785cdc…
07-14 20:26:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	171	25¢	$42	0x155153…
07-14 20:25:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	228	4¢	$8	0x7ba3db…
07-14 07:52:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	66	66¢	$44	0xccada8…
07-14 07:52:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x20dd81…
07-12 18:50:23	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x88ad0b…
07-12 18:50:22	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xaaaf88…
07-12 18:50:14	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xc32dbd…
07-12 18:50:07	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe577f3…
07-12 18:46:17	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	SELL	2,511	1¢	$36	0xe6e4c3…
07-12 18:26:22	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x123bc8…
07-12 18:23:25	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1,923	13¢	$250	0xbbd31f…
07-11 23:07:58	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	171	12¢	$20	0x462adf…
07-11 22:57:43	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x801c70…
07-11 22:52:11	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	99	70¢	$69	0x3f2798…
07-11 22:50:58	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xf46382…
07-11 22:45:59	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0xdd978b…
07-11 22:36:56	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	182	7¢	$12	0xf10f12…
07-11 22:13:58	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	98	36¢	$35	0x28e043…
07-11 19:07:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x33f5c5…
07-11 09:40:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xa5eb74…
07-10 19:48:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0x2161dd…
07-10 19:45:58	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	483	57¢	$276	0xdeb0e5…
07-10 19:34:52	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	354	85¢	$300	0x9e29cd…
07-10 19:30:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xc35a40…
07-10 13:26:59	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x72b862…
07-10 11:34:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xeafc5e…
07-10 11:12:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1125fe…
07-10 02:32:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	333	88¢	$293	0xcf173a…
07-10 01:16:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe222b1…
07-10 00:40:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	139	88¢	$123	0x067869…