Favorite-Survey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-30 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

73% 80% +$2

Crypto

25% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	10-30 05:57
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	6	$169	430	0	+430	Yes	+$2	06-11 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	9	$166	330	0	+330	Yes	-$1	06-10 05:16
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	3	$120	320	0	+320	Yes	$0	06-11 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	4	$110	220	0	+220	Yes	$0	06-10 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	6	$110	220	0	+220	No	$0	06-11 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	3	$100	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-11 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?	4	$100	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	06-11 09:02
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	3	$99	200	0	+200	Yes	+$1	06-11 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	5	$95	245	0	+245	No	+$0	06-11 04:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11?	3	$92	199	0	+199	No	-$3	06-11 08:42
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	09-30 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?	4	$55	110	0	+110	No	$0	06-10 02:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$1	09-30 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?	4	$55	110	0	+110	Yes	$0	06-11 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11?	3	$55	110	0	+110	No	+$0	06-11 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9?	2	$55	110	0	+110	Yes	+$0	06-10 00:56
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	10-28 08:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$1	04-12 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	09-30 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 1?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	09-30 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	09-30 06:54
will claude 5 be released on february 19 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-18 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	09-30 06:53
bitcoin above 74k on august 12 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-10 01:41
will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-04 11:52
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 6?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-04 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 2?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	09-30 06:54
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	07-04 11:49
bitcoin above 74k on august 13 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	08-10 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:57:13	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe5b807…
10-28 08:17:41	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4787a5…
10-28 08:16:59	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x543593…
09-30 06:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x316bf6…
09-30 06:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa50896…
09-30 06:54:09	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7490ae…
09-30 06:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0dd87b…
09-30 06:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe0158f…
09-30 06:52:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb83606…
09-30 06:52:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf6448b…
08-10 01:44:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0xb6f86b…
08-10 01:43:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd615d8…
08-10 01:42:51	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd18040…
08-10 01:41:40	bitcoin above 74k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3700e3…
08-10 01:41:21	bitcoin above 74k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x33ee6c…
07-04 11:53:11	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 6?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x14ee42…
07-04 11:52:26	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb7d076…
07-04 11:51:56	ethereum above 2100 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9fce48…
07-04 11:51:29	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6dc76d…
07-04 11:50:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xca64ee…
07-04 11:49:43	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0ad75e…
06-11 10:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on June 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb19bfd…
06-11 10:15:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1cc80b…
06-11 10:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4ef555…
06-11 10:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x10aabb…
06-11 10:13:01	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 11	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1a6179…
06-11 10:12:24	bitcoin above 54k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7323e1…
06-11 10:12:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb80cbe…
06-11 09:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0xa3e4e4…
06-11 09:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4f4e8…
06-11 09:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x5c0a64…
06-11 09:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaf196c…
06-11 09:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x45a0f3…
06-11 09:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa197c4…
06-11 09:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb4051d…
06-11 08:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf8af4b…
06-11 08:42:36	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4e4d05…
06-11 08:42:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb1010c…
06-11 08:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29135e…
06-11 05:56:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$107	0xf4253f…
06-11 05:40:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0641a5…
06-11 05:38:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x619efc…
06-11 05:37:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x290d58…
06-11 05:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x711eed…
06-11 05:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x5c27ce…
06-11 05:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x32da5d…
06-11 05:19:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	No	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x298747…
06-11 05:18:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x0ba4b0…
06-11 05:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xa9aba3…
06-11 04:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x340b71…
06-11 04:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x557f4a…
06-11 04:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x369763…
06-11 04:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x7d65ad…
06-11 04:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x6edd99…
06-11 04:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x6ad126…
06-11 04:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe593ee…
06-11 04:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xec8efb…
06-11 04:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xaa5d9d…
06-11 04:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x46fb0b…
06-11 04:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbc8a7b…
06-11 04:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x75ff68…
06-11 04:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x924fb2…
06-11 03:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xc3c468…
06-11 03:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x22e671…
06-11 03:48:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xfabce0…
06-11 03:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x480d47…
06-11 03:31:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x69dfaf…
06-11 03:02:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xd7239a…
06-11 03:00:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	No	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0xf86cd2…
06-11 02:58:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa06ed3…
06-11 02:55:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb25877…
06-11 02:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8bcca3…
06-11 02:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x983214…
06-10 05:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xe53c62…
06-10 05:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x5b2d5e…
06-10 05:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2ba42f…
06-10 04:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xcefaec…
06-10 04:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe0e2eb…
06-10 04:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x07610d…
06-10 04:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xed6dca…
06-10 04:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9d067b…
06-10 03:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6a6b39…
06-10 03:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x349bee…
06-10 03:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xe0cf25…
06-10 02:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x51fc9a…
06-10 02:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x218e73…
06-10 01:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	No	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x9c07cd…
06-10 01:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd4f913…
06-10 01:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x2ef577…
06-10 01:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x922d09…
06-10 01:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x5524ec…
06-10 01:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x383e98…
06-10 01:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x1027ce…
06-10 01:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x5d661c…
06-10 01:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xc2ac51…
06-10 00:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x9c7b27…
06-10 00:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x6adab5…
05-13 03:51:49	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ffb3b…
05-13 03:51:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe090d4…
05-13 03:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0cc364…