Aware-Defender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$240

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-24 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-1

Politics

37% — —

Sports

12% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	28	$50	57	52	+5	open	—	03-31 16:46
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	25	$37	4,128	503	+3,625	open	—	05-01 00:07
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	17	$35	552	193	+359	open	—	04-13 00:28
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$11	98	0	+98	open	—	04-10 02:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$8	30	30	+0	open	—	04-05 02:47
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-05 18:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-27 17:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-24 17:54
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	5	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 02:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 01:44
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 21:48
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 01:12
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-26 02:55
fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 21:00
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$4	519	0	+519	open	—	04-15 11:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 01:49
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$3	2	2	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-12 05:04
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 21:03
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:02
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 17:27
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 00:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 23:28
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:41
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:08
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 05:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 05:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 20:06
fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 19:11
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-29 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 21:00:32	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x08da7e…
06-24 19:11:40	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x971960…
06-24 19:11:13	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Qatar	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x5f041c…
06-24 19:08:46	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc38b9c…
06-07 02:46:55	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x243c2e…
06-07 02:39:42	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5914d1…
05-30 17:27:37	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6b6ca5…
05-30 17:26:43	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xc54ae0…
05-30 15:15:35	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc333fd…
05-30 15:14:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd4e40a…
05-30 01:49:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6902a0…
05-27 17:05:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x427fff…
05-25 23:25:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x248ac9…
05-25 16:22:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3e7e2c…
05-24 17:54:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x33188f…
05-24 02:01:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1a2298…
05-24 01:44:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x183c79…
05-17 10:35:54	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x386e72…
05-17 01:38:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd93334…
05-16 21:03:44	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x764e1f…
05-15 00:51:48	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xa999ea…
05-14 21:43:15	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1ab9b5…
05-14 03:03:48	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf13bd…
05-12 05:04:26	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x78e0f2…
05-12 04:54:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7f5fdc…
05-01 00:07:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x466d67…
04-30 23:51:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd62dea…
04-30 22:53:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	501	0¢	$1	0x6a7746…
04-30 22:48:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x959241…
04-30 20:54:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xcb2719…
04-30 20:54:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8843c3…
04-30 20:53:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8ce343…
04-30 20:53:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x4026b6…
04-30 20:52:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfc2a1c…
04-30 20:52:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x656098…
04-30 16:51:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	44	1¢	$1	0x86e5af…
04-30 06:58:20	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	265	2¢	$6	0x249af3…
04-30 05:34:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfb3765…
04-30 05:34:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x254d3f…
04-30 05:34:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xcb7cb2…
04-30 04:04:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xfd28b6…
04-30 04:01:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x747746…
04-30 03:35:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xe7076e…
04-29 16:29:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x59ee85…
04-29 05:24:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7f826f…
04-29 05:18:38	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	13	12¢	$1	0x0cd154…
04-29 04:00:08	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd152cd…
04-29 03:47:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	89	7¢	$6	0x2c54bd…
04-29 02:20:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x700ca5…
04-29 00:28:54	New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	New York Yankees	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x78eda0…
04-28 23:46:56	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	92	3¢	$2	0xf07419…
04-28 21:58:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1b6efb…
04-28 21:54:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x62ea17…
04-28 21:54:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xdc50ae…
04-28 21:46:50	New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	New York Yankees	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x91b513…
04-28 03:02:32	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xcb84b5…
04-28 02:56:10	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe3c2d2…
04-28 02:55:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xca99ed…
04-28 02:14:26	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x75048d…
04-28 02:13:22	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xedbeb9…
04-28 02:10:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa6e260…
04-28 01:35:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcd2aa9…
04-27 01:12:48	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x902029…
04-27 00:52:58	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd669f3…
04-27 00:46:18	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x426960…
04-26 23:28:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x74ac4a…
04-26 02:55:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x0dcf0d…
04-25 22:19:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec4397…
04-25 17:59:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7b1e66…
04-25 17:58:38	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfa579f…
04-25 17:40:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfc561a…
04-25 07:22:58	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xabd5e6…
04-25 07:10:10	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf30303…
04-24 03:57:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x3f0db1…
04-24 03:09:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf23333…
04-24 03:01:10	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc200d5…
04-16 05:19:32	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x19d540…
04-15 11:27:52	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x73120d…
04-15 11:23:04	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x269b11…
04-15 11:17:52	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$2	0x04baa1…
04-15 09:46:06	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x69b0a8…
04-13 00:28:31	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xaef18f…
04-13 00:14:03	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb7e0db…
04-13 00:09:45	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xe6a331…
04-13 00:06:35	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x60e257…
04-12 23:53:17	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0x7b9073…
04-12 23:19:15	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x96d470…
04-12 23:18:49	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0c76e6…
04-12 23:18:19	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xd621d4…
04-12 23:06:05	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	193	9¢	$17	0xebeb32…
04-10 02:29:53	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xffd5f0…
04-08 04:37:05	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x36b59f…
04-08 04:36:47	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd80f9e…
04-08 03:25:21	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xce723e…
04-08 02:54:33	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xeedf5f…
04-06 20:32:07	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x47316a…
04-06 15:25:21	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x1aaf79…
04-06 05:51:15	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x14f2ac…
04-06 01:07:53	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x54fa39…
04-05 18:57:51	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe47dff…