Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

122

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$336

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 10-27 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 33% +$3

Politics

20% 100% +$5

Other

3% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+20	$6	28¢	$6	$0	10-26 22:21
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+19	$1	13¢	$2	+$1	10-25 12:26
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	+10	$1	20¢	$2	+$1	10-25 12:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+6	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	10-25 11:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+9	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	10-25 11:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$22	55	55	+0	open	—	10-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$20	19	19	+0	Down	$0	10-25 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$9	10-25 19:26
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-25 21:28
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	10-26 17:22
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	10-25 13:13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 13:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	10-26 22:21
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	2	$6	22	0	+22	Down	+$16	10-26 18:20
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$6	21	0	+21	open	—	10-25 10:37
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$5	32	0	+32	Up	-$5	10-27 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	+$15	10-25 18:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	13	0	+13	Down	-$4	10-25 21:07
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-25 21:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-25 21:26
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	-$3	10-27 09:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	+$5	10-26 18:20
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	+$4	10-26 18:00
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	19	0	+19	Up	-$3	10-26 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	-$3	10-25 20:17
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	-$3	10-25 20:17
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	-$3	10-26 22:38
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	-$3	10-25 19:32
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	10-27 10:06
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Up	-$3	10-26 23:17
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	-$3	10-25 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	-$3	10-27 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	-$1	10-25 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	-$3	10-25 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:06:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x543a21…
10-27 10:06:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x652e81…
10-27 10:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x263761…
10-27 10:06:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc97f3e…
10-27 10:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xba9530…
10-27 10:05:35	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1a0902…
10-27 09:55:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa39114…
10-27 09:55:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb1104c…
10-27 09:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x10e85d…
10-27 09:55:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x05bdb3…
10-27 09:53:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb73724…
10-27 09:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04c72d…
10-27 09:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x638c2d…
10-27 09:35:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd4e8f9…
10-27 09:27:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda3ad2…
10-27 09:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0e58de…
10-26 23:18:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x1b630f…
10-26 23:17:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe64ef4…
10-26 23:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe79a9b…
10-26 23:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd630aa…
10-26 23:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3c423b…
10-26 22:38:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xed888d…
10-26 22:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2ad296…
10-26 22:21:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdfb4a3…
10-26 18:20:27	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x79c186…
10-26 18:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd3efd5…
10-26 18:18:27	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa35821…
10-26 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc7bcd3…
10-26 18:03:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeb919f…
10-26 18:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x48810c…
10-26 18:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x42f3ac…
10-26 18:00:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe85ef9…
10-26 18:00:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa81292…
10-26 18:00:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1fed40…
10-26 18:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd64643…
10-26 17:51:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a49c6…
10-26 17:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc2ceca…
10-26 17:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x393eda…
10-26 17:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb2268b…
10-26 17:40:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaca4e1…
10-26 17:30:29	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf9d9f5…
10-26 17:30:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7559c4…
10-26 17:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb7cc30…
10-26 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa617c3…
10-26 17:22:27	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xbfde29…
10-26 16:16:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf5c9f0…
10-26 16:15:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf12891…
10-26 16:15:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x15393f…
10-26 16:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x094e28…
10-26 16:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1dcd8d…
10-26 14:53:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x56f2b1…
10-26 14:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdb2289…
10-26 14:52:17	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7cc3b8…
10-26 14:51:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdb5733…
10-26 14:51:17	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x90d542…
10-26 14:48:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x83f58a…
10-26 14:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef2a5c…
10-26 14:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc75fcf…
10-26 14:35:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xba1ec4…
10-26 14:31:11	XRP Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf1123a…
10-26 14:30:50	Solana Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x04c925…
10-26 14:25:32	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfdc69b…
10-26 14:23:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x15e465…
10-26 14:16:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x270be0…
10-26 14:13:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1639f0…
10-26 14:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcb95d9…
10-26 08:11:26	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x818edf…
10-25 21:55:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4e5c46…
10-25 21:54:44	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6b4a59…
10-25 21:37:54	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xc6d7ae…
10-25 21:37:26	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x635be9…
10-25 21:33:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2fad4d…
10-25 21:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdad28a…
10-25 21:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3361d4…
10-25 21:31:44	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x192ede…
10-25 21:28:54	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x97bc4e…
10-25 21:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x656ce3…
10-25 21:27:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xde8d1c…
10-25 21:26:36	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xfe2966…
10-25 21:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x838d65…
10-25 21:25:53	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x360cdb…
10-25 21:24:59	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdcfae7…
10-25 21:21:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd73daa…
10-25 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe163ba…
10-25 21:18:53	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc19b8…
10-25 21:18:41	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x39830d…
10-25 21:18:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf3fa3…
10-25 21:15:44	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfcfe11…
10-25 21:09:15	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x83592a…
10-25 21:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd32edd…
10-25 21:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0d9369…
10-25 21:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x3a0551…
10-25 20:51:05	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xce5e7c…
10-25 20:50:54	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xea4269…
10-25 20:44:18	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0xbfdd52…
10-25 20:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7f185e…
10-25 20:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1c8145…
10-25 20:21:45	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xabf850…
10-25 20:20:53	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0f6062…
10-25 20:18:44	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x13a4b1…