Meaty-Hornet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

460

lifetime

Volume

$177.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$385

Open exposure

$28.3K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-05 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

43% 43% +$1,504

Other

35% 35% -$1,676

Crypto

20% 47% -$1,662

Sports

1% 100% +$308

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+16,574	$15,000	88¢	$14.7K	-$332	07-05 11:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-12,663	-$12,590	96¢	$-12175	+$415	07-05 11:20
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,615	-$1,409	92¢	$-1486	-$77	05-29 06:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	16	$21.6K	5,558	18,221	-12,663	open	—	07-05 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$15.5K	8,056	8,056	+0	No	+$624	03-15 13:12
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$15.0K	16,574	0	+16,574	open	—	07-05 11:24
wta yuan tormo 2026 02 03	6	$13.0K	9,079	9,079	+0	Yuan	+$480	02-03 13:48
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	43	$9.0K	8,312	8,312	+0	No	-$3,449	03-15 23:21
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 13	2	$7.3K	3,668	3,668	+0	Yes	-$35	02-03 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:35 UTC	12	$6.8K	6,182	3,930	+2,252	Up	-$167	03-01 11:39
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	13	$6.6K	9,192	0	+9,192	Yes	+$2,571	03-06 08:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$5.6K	5,120	5,120	+0	Yes	+$986	02-03 09:41
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	21	$5.1K	8,837	1,845	+6,992	No	+$3,047	02-28 17:24
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	4	$5.0K	3,606	3,606	+0	No	+$1,320	03-17 18:30
internet access restored in iran by friday	5	$4.8K	3,217	3,217	+0	No	-$640	01-15 21:10
cs2 nip lgc 2026 03 01	10	$3.8K	2,774	2,774	+0	Legacy	+$310	03-01 20:18
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	1	$3.6K	3,672	0	+3,672	Yes	+$50	02-03 11:28
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	14	$3.5K	16,928	16,928	+0	No	-$3,512	03-31 23:33
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	3	$3.4K	6,283	0	+6,283	Yes	+$2,866	03-08 16:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 09:45 UTC	5	$3.3K	6,527	0	+6,527	Up	+$215	02-03 09:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$3.3K	2,355	2,355	+0	Yes	+$383	02-28 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:20 UTC	8	$2.4K	2,885	0	+2,885	Down	+$172	03-01 15:23
atp perrica mensik 2026 01 15	1	$2.4K	3,818	0	+3,818	Mensik	-$2,366	01-15 21:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$2.3K	8,117	8,117	+0	Yes	-$1,348	04-12 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:50 UTC	6	$2.3K	2,495	0	+2,495	Up	+$20	03-01 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:45 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,301	0	+2,301	Up	+$23	03-01 11:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 11:30 UTC	1	$2.2K	2,278	0	+2,278	Down	+$68	03-01 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 15:30 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,738	1,715	+24	Up	-$11	02-19 15:31
nba mem orl 2026 01 15	1	$2.1K	2,390	0	+2,390	Magic	+$308	01-15 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	9	$1.8K	3,881	2,202	+1,678	Up	+$126	02-03 10:11
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$1.6K	2,644	2,644	+0	No	-$103	03-02 09:16
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$1.6K	3,481	3,481	+0	No	-$378	03-20 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:55 UTC	8	$1.6K	1,844	0	+1,844	Down	+$38	03-01 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 11:24:59	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5,441	92¢	$5,000	0x4c6075…
07-05 11:23:37	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11,134	90¢	$10,000	0x9b0d9c…
07-05 11:20:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	9,009	94¢	$8,468	0xde04cb…
07-05 11:20:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5,851	93¢	$5,443	0xabea49…
07-05 11:20:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	460	94¢	$432	0x58c9e1…
07-05 11:20:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2,429	94¢	$2,283	0x540d24…
07-05 11:20:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	451	94¢	$424	0x266ee9…
07-04 21:07:37	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	376	5¢	$19	0x46227f…
07-04 21:07:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x6a7769…
06-16 19:54:32	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	No	BUY	173	65¢	$112	0xb786d3…
05-29 06:44:04	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	786	87¢	$684	0x9254f5…
05-11 14:38:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	891	83¢	$739	0xe310fa…
05-11 14:38:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,382	9¢	$779	0xeba788…
05-11 14:24:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	37	83¢	$31	0xf200fe…
05-11 14:01:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,371	9¢	$300	0xef4705…
05-11 13:08:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x04cbd3…
05-11 13:08:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,962	8¢	$407	0x92e6a2…
05-11 13:08:10	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa5c3ee…
05-11 13:08:08	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	86¢	$429	0xdc340a…
05-11 08:32:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	137	83¢	$114	0xdb831c…
05-11 08:19:29	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x414656…
05-11 07:14:45	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5251da…
05-11 02:15:04	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x5da054…
05-08 15:46:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xee088e…
05-08 14:39:25	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xa5f740…
05-08 07:54:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe19239…
05-08 07:53:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	799	80¢	$639	0x8d736d…
05-08 07:53:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,469	80¢	$2,775	0x0a364c…
05-07 16:48:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x931e57…
05-07 15:25:22	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xff74ac…
05-07 13:12:08	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8f2d4b…
05-07 13:09:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	184	81¢	$149	0xb7a933…
05-07 12:05:14	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	166	90¢	$150	0x1bab09…
05-07 07:57:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xb654b0…
05-07 00:53:26	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x0e4752…
05-05 21:05:38	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8e739b…
05-05 16:26:14	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2c244d…
04-19 21:06:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xce084b…
04-19 21:06:36	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,001	0¢	$1	0x84b3f0…
04-19 20:43:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	1¢	$40	0xfcb9e0…
04-12 18:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	502	97¢	$487	0xb77adf…
04-12 18:31:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	8,117	6¢	$487	0x7f54a6…
04-12 18:03:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	1,632	14¢	$228	0xad2c3f…
04-12 07:02:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	370	20¢	$74	0x74514f…
04-12 07:01:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	2,607	19¢	$500	0xa340ca…
04-11 18:29:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	1,978	29¢	$574	0x52b120…
04-10 12:46:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	383	30¢	$115	0xa6b616…
04-10 12:40:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	1,148	30¢	$344	0xe80fea…
04-10 11:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xe83fa2…
03-31 23:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x2086f3…
03-31 23:33:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	SELL	16,928	0¢	$17	0x9a0a77…
03-20 13:33:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,966	21¢	$622	0xcbaf03…
03-20 13:33:25	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	3,481	18¢	$622	0x516c78…
03-18 10:25:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,730	22¢	$1,055	0xe49dfe…
03-18 09:56:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,844	21¢	$1,000	0x4c6b17…
03-17 18:30:47	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	3,481	29¢	$1,000	0xb170c9…
03-17 18:30:29	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	3,084	99¢	$3,055	0x4a6396…
03-16 21:08:11	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	3,084	53¢	$1,642	0x716240…
03-16 10:11:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,064	18¢	$373	0x758ef4…
03-15 23:22:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	155	20¢	$31	0x80104c…
03-15 23:21:33	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	2,607	17¢	$448	0x9ff349…
03-15 23:21:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	121	20¢	$24	0xd4781b…
03-15 23:13:27	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	869	24¢	$206	0x49886f…
03-15 23:11:17	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xdc8599…
03-15 23:11:15	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xf14388…
03-15 23:10:59	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0xf12f96…
03-15 22:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x452eff…
03-15 22:50:57	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x79f6f1…
03-15 22:50:11	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	32	35¢	$11	0xc258b8…
03-15 22:50:11	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x15f1de…
03-15 22:43:05	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	519	30¢	$156	0x32ece9…
03-15 22:42:49	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	481	33¢	$160	0xf45144…
03-15 22:38:25	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x95a9e4…
03-15 22:38:21	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x254bd9…
03-15 22:37:55	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xf3544f…
03-15 22:37:55	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa5b591…
03-15 22:37:55	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xa31fcb…
03-15 22:37:51	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x82f4b6…
03-15 22:37:51	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x3de966…
03-15 22:37:51	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x2c7250…
03-15 22:28:43	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	125	46¢	$57	0x48514c…
03-15 22:25:51	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	858	50¢	$429	0x28590a…
03-15 22:25:11	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd5b267…
03-15 22:25:09	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x20d8fd…
03-15 22:25:07	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x34eff8…
03-15 22:25:05	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	114	50¢	$57	0x672377…
03-15 22:24:37	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	731	50¢	$366	0x31b8a5…
03-15 22:24:25	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xf8cf28…
03-15 22:23:51	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x8a2833…
03-15 22:23:21	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x831198…
03-15 22:23:17	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	161	50¢	$80	0x712c2e…
03-15 22:22:45	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	698	50¢	$349	0xe0cab7…
03-15 22:22:43	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	51	50¢	$25	0x294a0f…
03-15 22:21:31	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	89	50¢	$44	0x7ba155…
03-15 22:21:13	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	163	50¢	$81	0xa5d80f…
03-15 20:31:43	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	929	54¢	$500	0xe30f25…
03-15 20:28:15	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	1,361	73¢	$1,000	0xc7e4e3…
03-15 20:20:49	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	1,112	90¢	$1,000	0x902b6b…
03-15 20:13:05	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	1,157	86¢	$1,000	0xb4d601…
03-15 20:11:53	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	1,254	80¢	$1,000	0xfaef18…