Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
56
Trades
275
lifetime
Volume
$13.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$1.47K
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-29 08:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
77% 57% -$38
Politics
14% 75% -$3
Sports
6% 85% -$9
Crypto
2% 0% -$3
Tech
1% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +323 $212 99¢ $321 +$109 09-23 11:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +278 $277 100¢ $278 +$1 09-23 09:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +278 $273 100¢ $277 +$3 09-23 09:26
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +278 $203 84¢ $233 +$31 09-23 09:26
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No -181 -$63 34¢ $-61 +$2 10-12 19:52
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 $0 09-23 13:12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +195 $70 20¢ $38 -$32 10-26 10:11
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No -255 -$49 15¢ $-37 +$11 10-25 14:28
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -258 -$32 14¢ $-35 -$3 10-26 10:07
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No -35 -$24 88¢ $-31 -$6 10-26 10:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -400 -$32 8¢ $-30 +$2 10-26 10:07
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No -35 -$24 72¢ $-25 -$2 10-26 10:11
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -25 -$13 59¢ $-15 -$2 10-26 10:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -23 -$14 56¢ $-13 +$1 10-26 10:11
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -20 -$9 56¢ $-11 -$3 10-26 10:11
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No -20 -$7 40¢ $-8 -$1 10-26 10:11
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +356 $146 2¢ $6 -$139 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes -5 -$5 92¢ $-5 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -4 -$2 67¢ $-2 $0 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes -74 -$1 3¢ $-2 -$1 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -74 -$1 2¢ $-2 $0 10-26 10:11
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 31¢ $-2 $0 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No -19 -$1 8¢ $-1 $0 10-26 10:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 10-26 10:11