Darling-Eurocentrism-Stepbrother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$448

Unrealized P&L

-$1.41K

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

238

Trades

1,387

lifetime

Volume

$67.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$2.79K

16 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 11-01 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 40% +$533

Other

29% 28% +$1,426

Politics

5% 21% -$1,340

Sports

2% 23% -$170

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+5,442	$3,930	50¢	$2.7K	-$1,236	11-01 12:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No		+190	$60	24¢	$47	-$14	11-01 12:09
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+105	$183	16¢	$16	-$167	10-03 17:14
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+1,348	$14	1¢	$10	-$4	09-26 14:10
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+1,040	$10	1¢	$7	-$4	10-17 13:21
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+214	-$9	2¢	$5	+$14	11-01 12:07
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+300	$5	1¢	$3	-$2	09-26 05:27
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+150	$2	2¢	$2	+$0	09-21 04:01
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+960	$2	0¢	$2	+$0	09-14 23:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+50	$2	4¢	$2	$0	10-24 08:41
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	+1,000	$1	0¢	$2	+$0	10-24 08:40
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+126	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	09-08 02:22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+344	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-08 02:26
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+144	$1	1¢	$1	$0	09-08 02:22
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+502	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-08 02:14
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-08 21:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	71	$13.4K	15,447	10,005	+5,442	open	—	11-01 12:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	28	$8.2K	6,647	6,647	+0	open	—	09-03 23:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	19	$6.2K	6,184	6,184	+0	open	—	08-27 16:12
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	55	$4.9K	3,357	3,357	+0	open	—	10-11 10:29
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	65	$3.5K	2,341	2,341	+0	open	—	10-08 14:32
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	13	$3.2K	2,552	2,552	+0	No	+$991	07-23 17:26
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	19	$1.8K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	10-26 13:35
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	14	$1.6K	3,081	3,081	-0	open	—	09-09 01:50
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	13	$1.6K	2,385	263	+2,122	No	+$989	09-20 17:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.4K	2,220	2,220	+0	open	—	07-21 16:46
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	9	$1.4K	773	773	+0	No	+$173	09-06 20:48
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	20	$1.3K	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	09-24 00:41
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	9	$1.1K	921	705	+217	Yes	+$474	09-20 21:05
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	20	$1.1K	768	616	+152	open	—	10-26 15:54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	20	$1.1K	1,604	1,499	+105	open	—	10-03 17:14
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$1.1K	1,542	0	+1,542	No	-$1,083	10-26 15:49
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	5	$1.0K	858	858	+0	Yes	-$127	07-07 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$732	1,358	1,358	+0	Up	+$219	09-02 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6PM ET	6	$608	471	471	+0	Down	-$5	09-02 22:35
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	32	$575	1,925	1,451	+474	open	—	10-28 09:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$543	408	408	+0	open	—	10-29 07:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$477	633	633	+0	open	—	09-23 01:07
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$471	646	646	+0	Yes	-$455	06-01 03:39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$430	317	317	+0	open	—	10-08 14:34
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	4	$377	649	99	+551	No	+$351	07-01 02:32
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	12	$366	474	0	+474	Grüne	+$108	09-20 17:36
will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	6	$341	230	230	+0	No	+$82	09-26 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$316	604	604	+0	Down	-$220	09-02 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4PM ET	6	$296	187	187	+0	Up	+$34	09-02 20:52
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	6	$268	272	272	+0	Yes	+$10	09-19 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:09:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0xdb6c19…
11-01 12:09:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa3467f…
11-01 12:08:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x94eced…
11-01 12:08:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x53905b…
11-01 12:08:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x236b72…
11-01 12:08:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x5652a2…
11-01 12:08:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x0894b2…
11-01 12:07:19	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,399	2¢	$21	0x7d321f…
11-01 12:07:00	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,147	2¢	$18	0x1467e0…
11-01 12:06:46	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	305	2¢	$5	0x7f4fdc…
11-01 12:06:28	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,347	2¢	$42	0xfe09ff…
10-30 19:15:45	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,214	2¢	$23	0x1ad8eb…
10-30 11:09:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	212	57¢	$121	0xefdc82…
10-30 11:09:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd03991…
10-30 11:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,005	55¢	$553	0x2d407c…
10-30 11:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x14d783…
10-30 10:49:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	163	57¢	$93	0xa83de6…
10-30 10:48:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc64389…
10-29 20:59:18	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$2	0x1b838d…
10-29 20:57:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	61¢	$102	0x0c3843…
10-29 20:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	369	61¢	$225	0x6c092b…
10-29 07:28:16	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	41	26¢	$11	0x0c5ed2…
10-29 07:27:58	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	211	27¢	$57	0xa50759…
10-29 07:26:28	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x31b07a…
10-29 07:25:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	68¢	$277	0x5f56fa…
10-28 09:26:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	68¢	$58	0x9ae07a…
10-28 09:23:55	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xaa5352…
10-28 09:23:49	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x1a3c1f…
10-28 09:23:35	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc49081…
10-28 09:23:29	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0xc3a8e9…
10-28 09:23:13	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	147	60¢	$88	0x1e0e6c…
10-28 09:23:04	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x35ec8c…
10-28 09:22:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	66¢	$165	0x965bdd…
10-28 09:22:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	270	67¢	$181	0xb9dbc8…
10-26 15:55:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	64¢	$138	0x4a1b2e…
10-26 15:54:17	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4b85b4…
10-26 15:54:08	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	127	74¢	$94	0x451c68…
10-26 15:54:00	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb31c99…
10-26 15:49:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xcd1511…
10-26 15:47:57	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0x5a92ad…
10-26 15:46:02	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xd43ef2…
10-26 15:45:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xcea6d7…
10-26 15:44:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	32¢	$27	0x8bb61c…
10-26 15:03:24	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0eca31…
10-26 13:58:59	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xd1cdfb…
10-26 13:54:39	Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0xdc818e…
10-26 13:48:12	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0081e0…
10-26 13:45:44	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x81738a…
10-26 13:43:20	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x69aae4…
10-26 13:35:27	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	517	89¢	$460	0x193a3e…
10-26 10:17:32	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x978f18…
10-26 10:16:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0x0d4b23…
10-26 10:15:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x43ae7b…
10-26 10:14:27	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x8a3507…
10-26 10:14:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6e2b40…
10-26 10:12:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	60¢	$63	0xc57871…
10-25 12:52:00	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	252	20¢	$50	0x4e3c74…
10-25 12:50:47	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	SELL	116	36¢	$42	0x6b6469…
10-25 12:50:35	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xae43f9…
10-25 12:50:18	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3508a1…
10-24 09:09:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x45fd71…
10-24 08:45:08	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xf65dfd…
10-24 08:44:56	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x49d481…
10-24 08:44:15	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,214	2¢	$26	0x254e49…
10-24 08:42:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	170	70¢	$119	0xe7ec40…
10-24 08:41:32	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x45d08a…
10-24 08:40:18	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd28258…
10-24 08:39:14	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	0¢	$1	0x035469…
10-24 08:39:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x224fc4…
10-24 08:38:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x43833c…
10-24 08:38:00	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0xbee9bd…
10-24 08:37:59	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x0d7734…
10-24 08:37:27	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0x2ceb00…
10-24 08:37:05	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	111	85¢	$94	0xf4b82b…
10-23 09:52:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	572	70¢	$400	0x10c370…
10-23 09:52:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	630	64¢	$403	0xd3eb71…
10-23 09:51:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	600	70¢	$420	0xcde37d…
10-23 09:50:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	674	65¢	$438	0xe52f98…
10-23 09:48:26	Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x3c69eb…
10-23 09:47:14	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xdd7262…
10-20 18:14:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x1a18fc…
10-20 18:12:21	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3,022	1¢	$30	0x6233b2…
10-20 18:10:23	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x4630e5…
10-19 14:57:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	64¢	$42	0x9c41ef…
10-19 14:54:57	Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x6b3e17…
10-19 14:52:41	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	356	10¢	$36	0xc23e6c…
10-17 13:25:39	Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x7eb908…
10-17 13:24:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	537	62¢	$333	0xa7eb58…
10-17 13:23:41	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x169c30…
10-17 13:21:21	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xd19525…
10-17 13:20:02	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,007	1¢	$10	0xce1855…
10-17 12:19:53	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	SELL	377	85¢	$321	0x43f35f…
10-17 00:01:12	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbfc98e…
10-14 18:03:27	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	BUY	308	62¢	$191	0xb582de…
10-14 18:01:19	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	209	77¢	$161	0x81518b…
10-14 18:00:58	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	320	9¢	$29	0x9b9de4…
10-14 18:00:15	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0x11c550…
10-14 17:59:52	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xa4a441…
10-14 17:59:52	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x93fa43…
10-14 07:12:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	65¢	$46	0x9b26c9…