Yearly-Explanation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.9%

Resolved

Trades

8,726

lifetime

Volume

$241.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-02 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

51% 67% $-64

Crypto

27% — —

Other

15% 0% —

Sports

7% 33% $-37

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	726	$22.5K	22,859	22,205	+654	open	—	02-27 16:02
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	484	$11.4K	12,140	10,871	+1,269	open	—	02-27 15:43
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	293	$10.6K	11,695	11,383	+312	open	—	02-27 16:00
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	284	$10.6K	12,070	11,942	+129	open	—	02-25 21:50
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	215	$9.2K	9,685	9,439	+246	open	—	03-03 14:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	325	$7.9K	8,876	8,593	+283	open	—	03-03 15:22
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	556	$7.8K	8,251	7,710	+541	open	—	02-19 04:56
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	125	$7.7K	8,102	7,832	+270	open	—	03-03 14:22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	301	$7.7K	8,690	8,960	-270	open	—	02-27 13:35
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	202	$6.9K	6,974	6,914	+60	open	—	02-27 14:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	163	$6.6K	6,970	6,970	+0	open	—	03-03 14:22
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	150	$6.2K	6,156	6,346	-190	open	—	02-27 16:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	253	$5.3K	5,621	5,524	+97	open	—	03-03 14:58
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	358	$4.4K	5,054	4,624	+430	open	—	02-19 04:40
will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	194	$4.3K	4,624	4,613	+12	open	—	02-27 13:08
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	86	$3.9K	3,068	3,068	+0	open	—	03-03 12:16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	132	$3.9K	4,449	4,238	+212	open	—	02-27 13:42
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	91	$3.8K	4,341	4,002	+340	open	—	03-03 13:18
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	40	$3.7K	3,125	3,125	+0	open	—	03-02 15:12
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	104	$3.4K	3,352	3,353	-1	open	—	02-26 18:14
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	81	$3.4K	3,314	3,314	+0	open	—	03-03 02:46
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$3.3K	0	4,148	-4,148	open	—	08-02 09:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	134	$3.2K	3,325	3,266	+59	open	—	02-27 16:41
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	54	$3.2K	3,456	3,449	+7	open	—	03-03 04:40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	194	$3.2K	3,438	3,422	+16	open	—	02-27 15:54
will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	91	$3.1K	3,737	3,603	+134	open	—	03-02 14:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	56	$3.0K	2,224	2,149	+75	Yes	$-67	03-01 21:58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	150	$2.9K	3,078	3,062	+16	open	—	03-01 17:16
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	69	$2.6K	2,541	2,511	+30	open	—	02-27 15:48
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	55	$2.3K	2,286	2,283	+4	open	—	03-03 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 09:04:03	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,647	79¢	$1,301	0x8b6247…
08-01 10:33:47	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xb5454f…
08-01 10:33:45	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,273	79¢	$1,005	0xdbe802…
07-30 14:37:18	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	495	77¢	$381	0x41c6cc…
07-28 12:42:07	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,476	84¢	$1,240	0x81fa40…
07-26 16:43:12	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x7c34dc…
07-26 15:44:54	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0x32f7f4…
07-24 20:27:45	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	683	77¢	$526	0x459b24…
06-17 18:02:16	btc updown 5m 1781719200	Up	BUY	212	2¢	$5	0x7e62e0…
06-10 08:09:48	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	184	55¢	$101	0x8f1d9c…
06-04 04:14:43	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	65	55¢	$36	0x343c77…
05-29 17:04:42	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	517	43¢	$222	0x3412c2…
05-29 16:43:00	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	129	63¢	$82	0x0e5443…
05-29 15:37:31	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	561	44¢	$248	0x2f60a6…
05-29 05:20:35	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	245	43¢	$105	0x66eb2f…
05-01 06:20:42	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x72c40f…
04-28 20:55:10	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe1db9a…
04-28 16:48:18	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	105	41¢	$43	0xe62d57…
04-28 16:47:28	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	SELL	73	63¢	$46	0xb174e2…
04-28 16:44:28	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	BUY	105	63¢	$66	0x4da14a…
04-28 16:42:44	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x020a62…
04-28 16:41:30	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x8c6d2b…
04-28 16:41:22	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd42d82…
04-28 16:41:04	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	SELL	78	57¢	$44	0x56f57c…
04-28 16:41:04	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x232bdb…
04-28 16:39:32	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0x64364b…
04-28 16:39:28	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf343d8…
04-28 16:39:24	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xba9bec…
04-28 16:38:54	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Punjab Kings	BUY	105	60¢	$63	0x256794…
04-28 14:50:46	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	105	49¢	$51	0xc5a1bc…
04-28 14:14:26	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x55b59a…
04-28 14:12:54	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	96	31¢	$30	0xb6f76e…
04-28 13:57:04	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	105	34¢	$36	0x7da4f5…
04-28 07:05:08	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0e0947…
04-25 17:39:42	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	122	96¢	$118	0x9a1d27…
04-23 14:35:46	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x21c771…
04-23 09:25:52	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1aa29d…
04-23 00:40:52	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xeb0f55…
04-22 20:49:42	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x3f05a9…
04-22 20:48:56	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xec19ad…
04-21 21:32:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	64	90¢	$58	0x1ba7d7…
04-13 22:25:09	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0xdbf4c4…
04-12 08:26:33	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,120	1¢	$10	0x2924db…
04-12 07:30:13	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	297	13¢	$39	0x98e936…
04-12 07:18:49	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	287	13¢	$37	0x8bdcba…
04-12 02:42:49	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	352	13¢	$46	0xe392e9…
04-08 18:00:51	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	250	6¢	$14	0xab05c4…
04-07 20:49:29	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	64	13¢	$8	0xcfe97d…
03-27 19:48:03	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	233	1¢	$2	0x8c7955…
03-27 19:48:01	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x009e9b…
03-27 19:47:53	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x5bd157…
03-27 19:47:27	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x715b5b…
03-27 19:45:47	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xe0cf45…
03-27 19:45:39	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xae51d3…
03-27 19:45:39	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9b0129…
03-27 19:45:25	euroleague fenerbah kaunas 2026 03 27	Fenerbahce	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0x5d3780…
03-17 00:55:43	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	496	5¢	$26	0x595358…
03-13 23:47:21	will geng win first stand 2026	Yes	BUY	145	66¢	$96	0x7c825a…
03-11 23:43:23	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	496	3¢	$15	0x028b79…
03-04 16:06:25	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x290e0f…
03-03 18:02:09	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x17644b…
03-03 17:49:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x688f3f…
03-03 16:02:45	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	65	38¢	$25	0x716f6d…
03-03 16:02:07	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x34bc44…
03-03 16:02:01	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x657ea2…
03-03 16:01:27	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xeb08af…
03-03 16:01:27	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x70ed23…
03-03 16:01:13	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x6ca3d3…
03-03 16:01:13	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x454e1a…
03-03 16:01:13	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x22324c…
03-03 16:00:55	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x53f1f5…
03-03 15:22:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	82	64¢	$52	0x583931…
03-03 15:21:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	121	65¢	$78	0x6b1471…
03-03 15:20:37	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x1ed230…
03-03 15:15:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0x9404fa…
03-03 15:10:21	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	SELL	256	56¢	$143	0xd1f36f…
03-03 14:59:45	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x6899cb…
03-03 14:59:29	nba dal mil 2026 01 25	Mavericks	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x1d05a6…
03-03 14:59:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x712f8c…
03-03 14:59:25	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x6c4afa…
03-03 14:59:23	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x865007…
03-03 14:59:17	nba den mem 2026 01 25	Grizzlies	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x2f5a66…
03-03 14:59:15	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x82f2ae…
03-03 14:59:13	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc37683…
03-03 14:59:11	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x2b718e…
03-03 14:59:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xbf5aae…
03-03 14:58:59	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x5c8846…
03-03 14:58:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x3c831f…
03-03 14:58:49	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x5bae38…
03-03 14:55:15	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xc76d1e…
03-03 14:41:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	64	69¢	$44	0x04eb63…
03-03 14:36:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x32cc9d…
03-03 14:32:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	168	69¢	$116	0x227de3…
03-03 14:31:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0x82c77d…
03-03 14:26:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	270	70¢	$189	0xd65246…
03-03 14:22:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	257	53¢	$136	0xd3e9ba…
03-03 14:22:37	will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x057df8…
03-03 14:22:19	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	SELL	155	67¢	$104	0x1de2f4…
03-03 14:22:15	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	SELL	52	67¢	$35	0xdde5e3…
03-03 14:19:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	SELL	63	67¢	$42	0x36d59d…