Careful-Cassava — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$224

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

675 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.82K

$12.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-10 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 28% -$744

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC	4	$965	1,039	1,039	+0	Down	+$165	08-07 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:25 UTC	5	$677	897	507	+390	Up	+$97	08-07 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$664	673	673	+0	Up	+$264	11-09 22:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 09:00 UTC	15	$428	979	413	+566	Up	-$48	04-16 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$385	1,544	1,544	+0	Down	-$15	11-09 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$351	387	387	+0	Down	+$101	11-10 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$273	235	235	+0	Down	+$193	08-07 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC	4	$266	594	476	+118	Down	+$48	06-29 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 08:45 UTC	10	$236	330	287	+43	Down	+$29	04-16 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 03:30 UTC	7	$215	265	249	+16	Up	+$140	04-17 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 18:15 UTC	9	$212	315	298	+17	Down	+$65	04-16 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:20 UTC	1	$200	1,041	0	+1,041	Down	-$200	08-07 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$150	282	192	+89	Down	+$50	11-09 22:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 18:30 UTC	6	$144	262	115	+148	Up	-$16	04-16 18:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	6	$138	291	274	+17	Down	+$23	04-15 20:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:30 UTC	6	$135	456	227	+229	Down	+$5	04-18 13:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 08:45 UTC	7	$130	678	634	+45	Up	+$10	04-21 08:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 08:30 UTC	3	$129	368	343	+25	Down	+$79	04-16 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	9	$121	650	56	+594	Down	-$33	05-13 11:52
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:45 UTC	3	$117	98	98	+1	Down	+$77	03-08 18:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 20:15 UTC	4	$114	147	107	+39	Up	+$61	04-15 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:05 UTC	1	$100	400	0	+400	Up	-$100	08-07 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	500	0	+500	Down	-$100	11-09 22:41
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$100	252	0	+252	Down	-$100	11-10 00:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 04:00 UTC	1	$100	263	0	+263	Up	-$100	04-17 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:15 UTC	1	$100	658	0	+658	Down	-$100	08-07 18:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC	2	$93	84	84	+0	Up	+$74	03-08 19:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC	3	$90	129	60	+69	Down	-$8	04-16 19:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 03:45 UTC	5	$87	261	57	+204	Down	-$1	04-17 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:20 UTC	2	$85	571	0	+571	Down	-$85	06-29 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 00:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0x333b75…
11-10 00:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	65	39¢	$26	0xd0497d…
11-10 00:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0x9b7646…
11-10 00:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	323	62¢	$200	0x0aabcc…
11-10 00:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xa95586…
11-09 22:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	673	69¢	$464	0x5be07e…
11-09 22:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x88c0a9…
11-09 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xba04a5…
11-09 22:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	424	10¢	$42	0xbef2b9…
11-09 22:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1,120	13¢	$143	0x9de397…
11-09 22:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,169	9¢	$100	0x84074e…
11-09 22:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x08c7e9…
11-09 22:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xdc3204…
11-09 22:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xef727b…
11-09 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x35a107…
11-09 22:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x364c8c…
11-09 22:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xb0cc4d…
11-09 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	192	52¢	$100	0x7bf69f…
11-09 22:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x7ea590…
10-15 19:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0bcf9f…
10-15 19:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5c0342…
10-15 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0784c4…
10-15 19:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8ac3f0…
10-15 19:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6d8b17…
10-15 19:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x70d9c3…
10-15 19:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1cd900…
10-15 18:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa93e44…
10-15 18:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	78¢	$21	0x0d103d…
10-15 18:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xedfd80…
10-15 18:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4e1b28…
08-29 16:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x283ef8…
08-29 16:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x830c15…
08-29 15:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x9d9c3e…
08-09 18:30:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x351018…
08-07 19:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x6c58ee…
08-07 18:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	379	41¢	$155	0x7c9264…
08-07 18:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	379	26¢	$100	0x9239d4…
08-07 18:31:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	660	62¢	$409	0xbb29de…
08-07 18:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	660	45¢	$300	0x92ac7e…
08-07 18:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x3b0c52…
08-07 18:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	73	18¢	$13	0x1b7cf3…
08-07 18:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x95d3e8…
08-07 18:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	434	86¢	$374	0xc8187a…
08-07 18:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	434	46¢	$200	0x110405…
08-07 18:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,041	19¢	$200	0x53b5a2…
08-07 18:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	658	15¢	$100	0x09184f…
08-07 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	235	99¢	$233	0x195ef0…
08-07 18:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x764858…
07-15 14:16:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x8146c6…
07-15 14:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x57629d…
07-15 14:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x67056e…
07-15 14:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x71cff2…
07-15 14:06:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xac24d4…
07-15 14:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xb3efe7…
07-15 14:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc1d24a…
07-13 03:06:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x791aee…
07-13 03:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	189	32¢	$60	0x3e0f35…
07-13 03:03:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	290	7¢	$20	0x6c9227…
07-12 16:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf05969…
07-12 16:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	228	18¢	$40	0xc3a488…
06-30 18:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x1e28a8…
06-29 13:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x0b826c…
06-29 13:20:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0x0638a8…
06-29 13:15:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x9e9261…
06-29 13:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x47553e…
06-29 13:11:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x1f5f54…
06-29 13:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x7009b8…
06-29 13:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	118	33¢	$39	0xc17cac…
06-29 13:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC	Down	SELL	476	33¢	$157	0x2e25ee…
06-29 13:06:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xaf8fa5…
06-29 13:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x579492…
06-12 19:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xef31fe…
06-12 19:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x703ef7…
06-12 18:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x21663c…
06-12 15:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0xd72c0f…
06-12 15:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	36	44¢	$16	0x7674b3…
06-12 15:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xcddea8…
06-12 15:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x61b3b6…
06-12 15:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc13b0c…
06-12 15:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x46087a…
06-12 15:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x03706e…
06-12 15:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa87ebf…
06-12 15:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6e447a…
06-12 15:11:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xfa23a7…
06-12 15:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x7193a9…
06-12 15:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb45379…
06-12 15:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x677477…
06-12 15:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x418922…
06-12 14:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xef2f57…
06-12 10:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd89c1b…
06-12 10:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x402ff6…
06-12 10:18:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x995891…
06-12 10:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	38	44¢	$17	0xf3affe…
06-12 10:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xcc0b26…
05-26 14:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x8d2540…
05-26 14:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8546d9…
05-26 14:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x8401a0…
05-26 14:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1d92aa…
05-18 16:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3e0c9f…
05-18 16:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xa5d56f…