Damp-Still — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

108

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

65% 99% +$3

Politics

19% 75% -$27

Crypto

15% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	10-08 06:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	10-27 12:30
Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+15	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-17 09:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$103	78	28	+50	No	+$1	09-14 16:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-03 04:41
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	2	$96	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	08-14 00:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$87	45	45	+0	No	+$0	08-25 14:11
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$2	10-03 17:00
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	09-22 13:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$0	08-15 06:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-14 17:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-14 01:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$0	08-21 18:22
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 11:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	08-28 10:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$36	44	0	+44	No	-$36	10-15 10:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-31 12:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-31 13:31
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	02-25 08:04
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$16	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-13 03:00
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	04-28 05:03
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-28 14:17
will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-28 15:40
will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-29 00:37
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	10-08 06:33
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-09 16:05
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-23 23:56
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-21 08:10
will chainlink hit 23 in january	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-17 07:44
will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-08 01:38
tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-11 11:27
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-15 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:30:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x5839f4…
10-21 00:32:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x25602e…
10-15 10:14:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x97e78d…
10-08 06:33:42	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd5720a…
10-03 17:00:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x69eb4f…
10-03 04:41:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbdbbeb…
09-26 03:47:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x18a861…
09-22 13:48:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1658c3…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x77e719…
09-12 01:47:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x4e7920…
09-10 11:12:36	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9664f6…
09-09 18:53:21	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x897f8c…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc72ac7…
09-06 05:42:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x6ba252…
09-04 08:40:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0x94c57a…
09-01 01:54:12	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x246133…
08-28 10:05:28	will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa0c48a…
08-25 14:11:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0x8bb27a…
08-24 07:38:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x94a91d…
08-23 11:41:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08cf98…
08-23 10:46:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71ed0a…
08-21 18:22:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x10cd6b…
08-20 23:16:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd10ae4…
08-17 09:09:09	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x2d7a35…
08-15 16:27:22	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xf74dc3…
08-15 07:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 16?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xab8116…
08-15 06:52:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x0274a8…
08-14 17:09:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x2e5f29…
08-14 01:22:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7f8bb0…
08-14 00:47:21	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x34b5f2…
08-10 18:22:16	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x9a1ed6…
07-31 13:31:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x59ba80…
07-30 09:32:47	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbb75d1…
07-30 07:44:11	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb8032…
07-28 18:56:10	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda5de1…
07-28 10:59:52	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d7c1a…
07-28 03:22:54	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1def0…
07-27 07:47:01	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3f2b63…
07-26 13:05:21	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f0864…
07-23 21:19:43	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5a2ec…
07-22 00:40:13	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x084131…
07-21 22:00:43	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf7bdd1…
07-21 18:29:16	will wti dip to 50 in july 2026 844 913	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65d598…
07-21 18:01:37	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d3215…
07-20 13:06:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5f31a…
07-17 18:55:01	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x674b9b…
06-29 18:35:50	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5936df…
06-29 06:28:11	will ng reach 4 20 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc3ef67…
06-29 05:34:20	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa826a8…
06-29 03:35:19	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8f7893…
06-29 00:37:08	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0045a2…
06-28 15:40:22	will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x126bb9…
06-28 14:17:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0c5790…
06-27 09:40:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7ba0e0…
05-31 12:42:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x717604…
05-21 12:38:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $660 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9f27a5…
05-20 19:39:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd4e977…
05-13 03:00:55	Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xdca699…
05-11 06:46:47	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce8eee…
05-09 16:05:00	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf02067…
05-09 06:04:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x252dc8…
05-07 10:33:51	Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2ed98a…
05-06 13:54:56	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd84ef6…
05-06 08:38:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a1602…
05-05 19:53:58	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x60c6ff…
05-05 15:03:56	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5b9bf…
05-05 12:46:32	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11cc5e…
05-05 10:08:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x00642a…
05-05 09:01:58	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0a56df…
04-28 05:03:58	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x39fce4…
04-25 21:18:32	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x231c1a…
04-24 06:43:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x39d64f…
04-23 03:44:32	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0a6574…
04-19 05:25:00	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9e116d…
04-18 14:55:28	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xffcc88…
04-17 23:55:52	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x84f7d4…
04-17 20:30:40	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x970eb4…
04-17 08:45:32	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5b1861…
04-15 08:31:04	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x6780b0…
04-06 16:11:41	will the reserve bank of india increase the policy repo rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8e8116…
04-05 08:13:35	Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbe46df…
03-29 21:09:34	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb93d85…
03-27 22:18:37	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ce5ec…
03-27 10:25:31	will bnb dip to 400 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5deb3b…
03-24 10:41:57	googl above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33796c…
03-21 15:44:15	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d0818…
03-21 10:32:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x902ebb…
03-19 12:02:59	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x844240…
03-18 23:41:13	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93a2e0…
03-17 23:45:55	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x892ac4…
03-16 14:21:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x381235…
03-15 15:10:23	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x744ee4…
03-12 21:24:03	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfdd22…
03-12 04:49:35	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x649470…
03-10 21:33:49	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf56de8…
03-08 04:11:45	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc653a2…
03-06 05:08:49	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1311bf…
03-04 09:22:43	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4e536…
03-04 01:21:47	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73c9e7…
02-25 08:04:16	will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7416b3…