(anonymous) 0x9b577d…d47c7b
hot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
788
Trades
2,572
lifetime
Volume
$81.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$7.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
71% 89% +$427
Politics
20% 80% +$4,000
Sports
7% 100% +$153
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% 62% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 385 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,544 $1,543 100¢ $1.5K -$1 10-23 02:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +749 $747 100¢ $746 $0 10-23 16:48
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +728 $722 99¢ $718 -$5 10-24 00:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +583 $580 99¢ $579 -$1 10-22 15:53
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +503 $501 98¢ $493 -$9 10-25 01:27
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +360 $349 96¢ $346 -$3 10-23 12:03
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +340 $238 70¢ $240 +$2 10-23 20:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +228 $225 98¢ $224 -$1 10-24 01:29
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +163 $162 99¢ $162 +$0 10-22 19:15
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +160 $159 100¢ $159 +$0 10-21 16:36
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +152 $152 100¢ $152 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +179 $143 84¢ $150 +$6 10-20 18:42
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +135 $113 100¢ $135 +$22 10-25 08:43
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +129 $126 95¢ $122 -$4 10-25 03:46
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 +$1 10-25 04:03
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $108 100¢ $108 $0 10-21 03:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +102 $102 99¢ $101 -$1 10-23 09:42
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-22 14:15
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +96 $95 99¢ $95 $0 10-25 01:27
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +94 $94 99¢ $94 +$0 10-21 22:20
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1,925 $92 5¢ $88 -$5 10-22 11:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $88 97¢ $87 -$1 10-23 22:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +101 $75 77¢ $78 +$4 10-14 10:42
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +71 $66 100¢ $71 +$5 10-20 15:14
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $68 99¢ $68 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $67 100¢ $67 +$0 10-21 02:09
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +67 $67 100¢ $66 $0 10-21 20:08
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +90 $57 72¢ $65 +$8 10-21 14:24
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +64 $63 99¢ $63 +$0 10-21 05:48
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +64 $63 98¢ $63 $0 10-22 22:51