Realized P&L (7d)
-$92
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved (7d)
66
Trades (7d)
0
2,584 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$81.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
71% 90% +$528
Politics
21% 79% +$3,588
Sports
7% 100% +$154
Tech
1% 86% -$9
Crypto
0% 60% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 385 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,544 $1,543 100¢ $1.5K +$0 10-23 02:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +583 $580 100¢ $580 +$0 10-22 15:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +228 $225 100¢ $227 +$3 10-24 01:29
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +160 $159 99¢ $158 $0 10-21 16:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 10-23 09:42
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-22 14:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +101 $75 97¢ $98 +$24 10-14 10:42
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +94 $94 100¢ $94 +$0 10-16 17:56
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +94 $94 99¢ $94 +$0 10-21 22:20
Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +91 $91 100¢ $91 $0 10-18 05:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $88 100¢ $90 +$2 10-23 22:48
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +90 $81 99¢ $89 +$8 10-15 15:40
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30? No +82 $80 100¢ $82 +$2 10-23 18:49
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? No +75 $75 100¢ $75 $0 10-24 23:56
Will Bulgaria win the UEFA EURO 2028? No +76 $76 99¢ $75 $0 10-15 20:55
will pp win the most seats in catalonia in the 2026 spanish general election No +75 $72 100¢ $74 +$3 10-22 06:50
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $68 100¢ $68 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $67 100¢ $67 +$0 10-21 02:09
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +68 $63 96¢ $66 +$3 10-13 01:23
Will Montenegro win 2026-27 Nations League Group C2? No +470 $80 14¢ $65 -$14 10-22 19:45
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +64 $63 100¢ $63 +$0 10-21 05:48
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +62 $60 97¢ $60 $0 10-13 17:04
Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 10-21 08:48
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 +$0 10-08 19:50
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 $0 10-24 19:59
Will Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +47 $46 98¢ $45 $0 10-20 02:47
Will iiTzTimmy win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? No +45 $43 94¢ $42 -$1 10-21 04:48
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 10-23 22:40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3% or more? No +39 $39 99¢ $38 $0 10-22 09:02
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 $0 10-22 14:59