Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

43 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$12

$79 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 09-04 00:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

82% 45% -$9

Politics

16% 43% -$4

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-01 07:04
spx opens up or down on september 4 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	-$2	09-04 00:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-15 07:41
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 08:46
will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-12 12:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-19 02:02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-15 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-02 07:57
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 23:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	07-22 21:08
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-11 20:42
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-12 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	07-24 21:11
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-18 05:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-01 15:18
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-31 23:03
will nflx reach 75 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-03 08:39
Will fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-16 08:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-03 00:24
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-16 01:55
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-13 05:03
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-11 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-03 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	08-11 12:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 20:57
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 16:24
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-21 22:17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-21 01:11
will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-23 09:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-24 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 00:48:16	spx opens up or down on september 4 2026	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfa9a75…
09-03 14:07:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf81ad0…
08-21 22:17:15	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xfbf095…
08-21 01:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x84f5c6…
08-19 02:02:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x39815c…
08-18 05:29:16	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1e5dc9…
08-16 08:26:12	Will fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9d2337…
08-16 01:55:06	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x889040…
08-15 16:00:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe09959…
08-15 07:41:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc821ac…
08-13 05:03:18	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd09d9f…
08-12 20:57:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7ea478…
08-12 12:54:40	will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa0fc7e…
08-12 04:47:30	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xacab9f…
08-11 20:42:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5f3aeb…
08-11 12:30:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x77dd02…
08-11 12:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x02bc7e…
08-03 08:46:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1283e0…
08-03 08:39:47	will nflx reach 75 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x59740e…
08-03 00:24:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4047e6…
08-02 16:24:21	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa14acc…
08-02 07:57:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x973918…
08-01 23:19:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x96f3da…
08-01 15:18:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xef523d…
08-01 07:04:26	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4fbd28…
07-31 23:03:03	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x91e6b7…
07-31 15:02:15	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbd0785…
07-31 06:12:14	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa19168…
07-30 12:20:35	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x01c7eb…
07-29 23:38:14	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa4a3db…
07-28 20:09:50	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x4fec69…
07-27 23:23:12	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3ab2e7…
07-27 09:25:13	will nvda dip to 200 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb8656e…
07-26 21:16:19	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x461be3…
07-26 09:15:03	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x006f14…
07-25 21:14:33	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbdc46c…
07-25 09:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x734564…
07-24 21:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xde9d9a…
07-24 09:11:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3d89df…
07-23 21:09:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9b099d…
07-23 09:09:07	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x051bfb…
07-22 21:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x398c0d…
07-22 09:07:00	will meta dip to 630 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaa246a…