Digital-Shelf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

12,022

lifetime

Volume

$25.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.13K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

50% 100% +$9,094

Other

33% 100% +$132

Sports

13% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	144	$8.36M	8,365,922	100	+8,365,822	Yes	+$8,366	05-09 19:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2,206	$1.14M	510,354	632,672	-122,317	open	—	02-03 19:15
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	143	$828.9K	429,657	404,268	+25,390	open	—	03-04 18:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	15	$727.2K	727,944	0	+727,944	Yes	+$728	05-09 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	37	$538.6K	540,431	0	+540,431	open	—	06-04 00:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	115	$503.8K	325,212	189,999	+135,214	open	—	03-03 23:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	206	$420.2K	336,737	91,535	+245,202	open	—	04-02 14:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$399.2K	300,000	100,000	+200,000	open	—	03-13 20:04
will trump say jesus this week march 8	38	$349.6K	350,000	0	+350,000	open	—	03-12 00:29
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	60	$347.8K	242,419	153,582	+88,837	open	—	01-04 14:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$288.1K	192,536	96,172	+96,364	open	—	05-01 00:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	37	$242.6K	243,385	0	+243,385	open	—	04-08 07:46
fl1 ang lyo 2026 04 05 lyo	48	$242.4K	242,619	0	+242,619	open	—	04-05 15:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$228.9K	51,349	181,349	-130,000	open	—	03-04 19:07
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	174	$217.2K	217,449	0	+217,449	open	—	01-19 05:38
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	102	$213.8K	194,032	20,000	+174,032	open	—	04-11 16:02
cfb mia miss 2026 01 08 spread away 3pt5	3	$203.1K	203,305	0	+203,305	open	—	01-09 05:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	28	$199.6K	200,000	0	+200,000	open	—	04-09 17:41
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	186	$196.1K	196,309	0	+196,309	open	—	01-12 01:42
atp zhou kotov 2026 04 12	1	$178.3K	178,500	0	+178,500	open	—	04-14 09:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	14	$169.8K	170,000	0	+170,000	open	—	03-25 19:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$151.2K	151,305	0	+151,305	open	—	04-11 23:04
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	54	$149.9K	150,000	0	+150,000	open	—	03-31 21:33
cbb tenn ala 2026 01 24 spread home 5pt5	3	$149.8K	150,000	0	+150,000	open	—	01-25 03:56
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	41	$149.1K	149,272	0	+149,272	open	—	01-25 23:03
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11 spread away 3pt5	1	$146.7K	146,836	0	+146,836	open	—	01-11 21:09
nfl lac ne 2026 01 11	137	$139.9K	140,000	0	+140,000	open	—	01-12 04:39
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	30	$134.0K	134,261	0	+134,261	open	—	02-03 22:32
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	49	$133.0K	111,228	22,222	+89,006	Yes	+$89	05-04 18:01
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18 spread home 3pt5	1	$130.5K	131,193	0	+131,193	open	—	01-18 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:06:28	lol dnf drx 2026 08 10	DN SOOPers	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xeec553…
07-30 08:42:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,673	74¢	$1,978	0xce96de…
07-30 08:40:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	135	74¢	$100	0x0ca2f7…
07-30 08:40:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xe126df…
07-30 08:40:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	135	74¢	$100	0x3cc2f2…
07-30 08:26:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x5f7295…
07-30 08:24:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xd2351b…
07-30 08:24:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x771dfe…
07-30 08:24:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0xbd754e…
07-30 08:24:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x77b110…
07-30 08:18:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x864787…
07-30 08:18:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x501188…
07-30 08:10:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	184	74¢	$136	0x930f69…
07-30 08:10:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x9849b8…
07-30 08:10:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x6a6009…
07-30 08:08:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x6e1978…
07-30 08:08:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x4a93e5…
07-30 08:08:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xec7b72…
07-30 08:08:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x375872…
07-30 08:08:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x3c6fb1…
07-30 08:07:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x821644…
07-30 08:07:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	108	74¢	$80	0xdfa4ac…
07-30 08:07:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x2a1456…
07-30 08:07:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0x7b1d32…
07-30 08:07:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0xd07766…
07-30 08:07:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	88	74¢	$65	0xa5868a…
07-30 08:07:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x8159a4…
07-30 08:07:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x894bbf…
07-30 08:07:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xb6e4cf…
07-30 08:07:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x4a7ff8…
07-30 08:07:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	350	74¢	$259	0xb62b58…
07-30 08:07:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x5d619f…
07-30 08:07:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x7c24b6…
07-30 08:07:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x0b05b3…
07-30 08:07:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xb33815…
07-30 08:07:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x564794…
07-30 08:07:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x91fc78…
07-30 08:07:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x5e8367…
07-30 08:07:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,400	74¢	$1,036	0x1711cd…
07-30 08:01:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xc7b32f…
07-30 08:01:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x04ea15…
07-30 08:01:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0x78cab7…
07-30 08:01:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xae53d1…
07-30 08:01:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	99	74¢	$73	0xb6dd3e…
07-30 08:01:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$14	0xc77b9a…
07-30 08:01:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x75e151…
07-30 08:00:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0xd4a64f…
07-30 08:00:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	84	74¢	$62	0xf21b50…
07-30 08:00:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xa3d1bc…
07-30 08:00:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xd30581…
07-30 08:00:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x53dfd3…
07-30 08:00:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	338	74¢	$250	0xf7b14e…
07-30 08:00:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xea9520…
07-30 08:00:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x9591d6…
07-30 08:00:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x467551…
07-30 08:00:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x8a9a25…
07-30 08:00:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0xf3a256…
07-30 07:57:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x9f77f7…
07-30 07:56:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x34dc7f…
07-30 07:56:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	37	74¢	$28	0x2dc505…
07-30 07:56:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x212d5d…
07-30 07:56:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	34	74¢	$25	0x8016d5…
07-30 07:56:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x994353…
07-30 07:56:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x1a942f…
07-30 07:55:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	135	74¢	$100	0x65af5c…
07-30 07:55:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xcd3390…
07-30 07:55:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xc5c344…
07-30 07:55:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	541	74¢	$400	0x9ad705…
07-30 07:54:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x1ba8c5…
07-30 07:54:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x581ab1…
07-30 07:54:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xf59139…
07-30 07:53:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x2b111c…
07-30 07:53:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0xfdcb9a…
07-30 07:53:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x07d951…
07-30 07:53:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x222f02…
07-30 07:53:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xd35fa1…
07-30 07:53:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x8d3899…
07-30 07:53:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x77afd3…
07-30 07:53:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	68	74¢	$50	0x5fff8a…
07-30 07:53:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	256	74¢	$190	0x1b1239…
07-30 07:53:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,311	74¢	$2,450	0x382fb5…
07-30 07:53:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x0bcf83…
07-30 05:48:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	795	73¢	$581	0x8fec32…
07-30 05:48:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd5d16c…
07-30 05:39:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xa9bc9c…
07-30 05:38:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xb11f64…
07-30 05:38:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x201c80…
07-30 05:38:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x88939f…
07-30 05:30:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb75355…
07-30 05:23:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xa19d3f…
07-30 05:18:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xe8612d…
07-30 05:14:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x33b057…
07-30 05:14:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2df08c…
07-30 05:14:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x097e69…
07-30 05:13:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe4393f…
07-30 05:07:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6b3c9a…
07-30 05:07:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0d22f9…
07-30 04:51:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	93	73¢	$68	0x456284…
07-30 04:35:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf28df5…
07-30 04:35:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x108c1e…