Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$8.50K

Unrealized P&L

+$8.88K

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

595

3,644 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$247.8K

$1.24M lifetime

Avg / trade

$340

Open exposure

$110.5K

9 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 11-02 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Sports

35% 70% +$20,769

Other

33% 58% -$100,588

Politics

32% 67% +$37,073

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 412 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+69,628	$48,943	74¢	$51.2K	+$2,233	11-02 00:49
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+61,033	$15,258	32¢	$19.2K	+$3,967	11-02 00:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+20,000	$17,324	94¢	$18.9K	+$1,577	10-29 22:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20,000	$13,506	74¢	$14.7K	+$1,194	11-01 18:50
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$2,150	46¢	$2.3K	+$175	10-31 11:22
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+5,000	$2,150	42¢	$2.1K	-$25	11-02 01:00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+3,639	$1,588	44¢	$1.6K	+$4	11-02 04:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$330	15¢	$290	-$40	11-01 15:56
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+4,000	$360	4¢	$150	-$210	08-30 13:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	235	$132.2K	82,522	62,522	+20,000	open	—	10-29 22:37
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	468	$112.4K	106,505	116,505	-10,000	No	+$18,908	07-12 07:24
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	276	$109.7K	183,764	3,764	+180,000	Spain	-$106,326	07-14 20:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	220	$76.7K	89,647	55,499	+34,148	Yes	+$6,227	10-25 23:39
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	97	$73.8K	78,598	28,598	+50,000	No	+$9,558	07-12 05:46
Fed rate hike in 2026?	118	$67.6K	65,194	44,962	+20,232	Yes	+$3,183	08-28 15:15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	166	$65.2K	77,923	127,923	-50,000	Yes	-$39,712	07-19 13:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	95	$64.2K	80,509	10,882	+69,628	open	—	11-02 00:49
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	41	$57.9K	30,041	30,041	+0	No	+$63	07-19 18:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	66	$56.5K	50,000	30,000	+20,000	open	—	11-01 18:50
ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	7	$51.2K	50,757	20,736	+30,021	Alexia Thainara	+$9,116	08-09 00:54
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	143	$49.9K	50,648	20,648	+30,000	Yes	+$10,162	10-26 21:30
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	104	$47.8K	100,627	98,627	+2,000	Islam Makhachev	-$522	08-16 04:13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	194	$47.5K	71,100	27,248	+43,853	No	+$30,902	10-25 23:41
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	313	$20.6K	39,936	3,749	+36,187	Yes	-$16,970	07-14 06:22
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	90	$15.3K	61,033	0	+61,033	open	—	11-02 00:17
ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	73	$15.0K	20,000	16,406	+3,594	Quillan Salkilld	-$1,773	08-09 02:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	80	$14.6K	0	26,099	-26,099	No	+$14,562	08-08 19:30
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)	23	$12.5K	10,036	8,036	+2,000	Rodrigo Sezinando	+$1,882	10-31 23:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$11.5K	26,099	0	+26,099	Yes	-$11,484	08-02 20:59
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	103	$11.1K	7,297	7,297	+0	No	+$0	07-11 19:00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	39	$9.0K	50,000	100,000	-50,000	No	+$2,950	07-10 22:50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	110	$8.8K	1,767	51,767	-50,000	No	+$8,057	07-12 07:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$8.2K	23,000	0	+23,000	England	-$8,165	07-11 08:07
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	58	$7.6K	25,450	0	+25,450	England	+$17,819	07-18 21:01
dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28	29	$7.0K	6,257	6,254	+3	cancelled	-$495	08-08 19:17
UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	23	$4.7K	7,500	0	+7,500	Dominick Reyes	-$4,725	10-24 17:40
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$4.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$0	07-26 20:27
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$4.4K	7,500	0	+7,500	Petr Yan	+$3,075	10-24 17:00
UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	26	$4.4K	7,500	0	+7,500	Abubakar Vagaev	+$3,075	10-24 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:36:13	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	933	44¢	$408	0xa6b04a…
11-02 01:44:01	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xbe48c9…
11-02 01:44:01	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x807a5d…
11-02 01:33:54	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	825	44¢	$361	0x1f9f78…
11-02 01:00:06	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,023	43¢	$440	0x59ac5f…
11-02 00:49:13	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xf72cf0…
11-02 00:43:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xad24be…
11-02 00:35:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	99	69¢	$68	0xfc2b6b…
11-02 00:24:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	113	69¢	$78	0x81c84d…
11-02 00:19:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	69	69¢	$48	0xfc7904…
11-02 00:19:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	737	69¢	$509	0x8819ce…
11-02 00:17:57	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	2,496	25¢	$624	0x07ab4b…
11-02 00:12:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xe235f3…
11-02 00:12:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	69¢	$1,725	0x464076…
11-02 00:03:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	289	69¢	$199	0xac611e…
11-01 23:59:04	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xfb409c…
11-01 23:57:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0xf4063d…
11-01 23:54:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0x62016b…
11-01 23:49:18	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x390d29…
11-01 23:47:18	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0xdbcb99…
11-01 23:41:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x8cce6b…
11-01 23:30:00	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdfe6c6…
11-01 23:08:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x9170a3…
11-01 23:04:55	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xd188fd…
11-01 23:00:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	129	69¢	$89	0x79bdd3…
11-01 22:57:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	968	69¢	$668	0xb148d1…
11-01 22:52:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6f4c37…
11-01 22:51:25	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	300	44¢	$131	0xf1d8c7…
11-01 22:49:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xa5ec56…
11-01 22:49:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xc0e0d4…
11-01 22:47:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5b2f36…
11-01 22:46:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x3e007e…
11-01 22:46:04	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xa6c238…
11-01 22:44:57	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x82d216…
11-01 22:43:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5,000	25¢	$1,250	0x826385…
11-01 22:42:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	10,000	25¢	$2,500	0x81a9da…
11-01 22:42:24	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x82a286…
11-01 22:41:43	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x384b31…
11-01 22:41:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xca797c…
11-01 22:40:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x996347…
11-01 22:26:22	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	319	69¢	$220	0x307f62…
11-01 22:21:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x01c5ac…
11-01 22:21:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xdeff60…
11-01 22:17:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	236	69¢	$163	0x11a03e…
11-01 22:13:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	97	69¢	$67	0x8760c7…
11-01 22:06:33	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x80e4a6…
11-01 22:05:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x230f98…
11-01 22:05:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3cc85e…
11-01 21:56:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	92	69¢	$64	0xb72b8a…
11-01 21:53:57	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	169	43¢	$73	0x1a518e…
11-01 21:50:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,333	25¢	$333	0x6a323a…
11-01 21:47:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0x2f8960…
11-01 21:46:46	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	156	43¢	$67	0x969f29…
11-01 21:46:00	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	230	44¢	$101	0xc6d7ae…
11-01 21:43:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	69¢	$1,380	0x7086bb…
11-01 21:39:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x58198a…
11-01 21:36:09	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	68	43¢	$29	0x64a75b…
11-01 21:35:45	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x5c7837…
11-01 21:35:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x60ae5e…
11-01 21:30:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,752	69¢	$1,209	0x16cbce…
11-01 21:27:58	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	188	43¢	$81	0x792283…
11-01 21:18:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x05a436…
11-01 21:16:00	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,333	25¢	$333	0x31f473…
11-01 21:09:24	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x00cecf…
11-01 20:55:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x4b25fb…
11-01 20:55:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x98013d…
11-01 20:52:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xdfa32f…
11-01 20:46:10	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x49e075…
11-01 20:21:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x081ba8…
11-01 19:50:48	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0c23d0…
11-01 19:49:45	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3e7497…
11-01 19:48:10	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0a9977…
11-01 19:46:57	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x463ee5…
11-01 19:45:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb45da6…
11-01 19:42:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,308	44¢	$570	0x6bb664…
11-01 19:41:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa4a304…
11-01 19:41:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x904393…
11-01 19:38:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0b6f6c…
11-01 19:20:00	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	240	25¢	$60	0x9da904…
11-01 19:19:03	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x09b7ca…
11-01 19:16:12	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd68f22…
11-01 18:58:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	138	25¢	$34	0x6a9973…
11-01 18:55:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xfc0f43…
11-01 18:55:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6bb09b…
11-01 18:50:49	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0xc5c6f2…
11-01 18:50:49	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xc0b056…
11-01 18:50:49	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	71¢	$39	0x5d994a…
11-01 18:50:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,353	71¢	$5,221	0xeb2657…
11-01 18:50:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x0159b4…
11-01 18:50:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4148b2…
11-01 18:50:09	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x2e844b…
11-01 18:50:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	71¢	$47	0xfb31c1…
11-01 18:49:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	71¢	$355	0x1ed1e2…
11-01 18:49:00	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x6b2076…
11-01 18:48:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	71¢	$994	0xb47bf6…
11-01 18:48:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	365	71¢	$259	0xbf038b…
11-01 18:44:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	333	25¢	$83	0xe3a8e2…
11-01 18:40:46	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x2b2f9e…
11-01 18:17:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	811	25¢	$203	0xb4a776…
11-01 18:02:00	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x443cdb…