Realized P&L
+$20.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.10K
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
477
Trades
1,200
lifetime
Volume
$53.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$10.7K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 10-13 02:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
55% 64% +$18,933
Other
44% 51% +$2,109
Tech
1% 20% -$283
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +4,906 $1,650 99¢ $4.9K +$3,212 05-08 22:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,669 $540 92¢ $1.5K +$987 05-10 00:43
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1,222 $669 97¢ $1.2K +$514 05-11 11:55
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1,300 $353 81¢ $1.1K +$700 05-01 07:15
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,169 $540 90¢ $1.0K +$506 05-11 02:22
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +725 $360 98¢ $708 +$348 05-01 16:29
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +151 $44 94¢ $143 +$99 05-04 06:18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +446 $161 11¢ $49 -$112 05-03 21:39
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +49 $27 96¢ $47 +$20 05-09 00:34
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +31 $5 98¢ $30 +$25 10-12 16:00
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +19 $6 64¢ $12 +$6 10-12 21:10
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +808 $129 1¢ $8 -$121 05-27 17:30
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +281 $90 3¢ $7 -$83 05-11 12:35
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 26¢ $5 +$1 10-12 22:13
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $3 72¢ $5 +$2 05-01 17:24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 $0 04-28 16:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1 $1 40¢ $0 -$1 08-07 14:56