Raw-License — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$5.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-08 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 25% $-4

Other

36% — —

Sports

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774439100	3	$394	277	144	+134	open	—	03-25 11:58
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	6	$323	412	360	+51	open	—	05-20 09:54
btc updown 15m 1774435500	10	$322	237	141	+96	open	—	03-25 10:59
btc updown 15m 1774440900	2	$267	135	135	+0	open	—	03-25 12:23
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	2	$267	140	140	+0	open	—	03-25 11:57
btc updown 5m 1774440900	2	$232	117	117	+0	open	—	03-25 12:18
fl1 str lyo 2026 02 22 str	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	02-22 22:13
btc updown 15m 1771849800	4	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	02-23 12:42
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	5	$179	151	151	+0	open	—	03-27 17:09
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	5	$179	361	0	+361	open	—	08-08 22:05
highest temperature in munich on april 16 2026 16c	3	$148	153	0	+153	open	—	04-16 13:21
highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 5c	6	$134	84	66	+18	open	—	03-29 14:02
xrp updown 5m 1771844700	3	$110	113	5	+108	open	—	02-23 11:09
xrp updown 5m 1771847400	2	$104	110	0	+110	open	—	02-23 11:55
will hyperliquid reach 70 by december 31 2026 20260806184018492	1	$100	193	0	+193	open	—	08-08 14:40
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	02-09 01:19
will sp 500 spx close over 6700 on the final trading day of march 2026	2	$98	220	0	+220	open	—	03-08 22:08
btc updown 5m 1773427200	5	$96	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 18:40
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	05-31 21:05
highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 20c	5	$86	157	95	+62	open	—	04-17 15:20
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	3	$79	54	54	+0	open	—	07-06 09:28
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	4	$79	60	60	+0	open	—	03-26 16:12
xrp updown 5m 1771846200	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	02-23 11:34
sol updown 5m 1771848000	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	02-23 12:04
xrp updown 5m 1771845000	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	02-23 11:14
btc updown 5m 1773427500	5	$48	100	4	+96	open	—	03-13 18:49
highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 19c	3	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	04-17 15:20
will solana reach 140 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$35	170	0	+170	open	—	07-21 16:19
btc updown 15m 1771853400	4	$34	33	32	+1	open	—	02-23 13:42
highest temperature in munich on april 18 2026 21c	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 22:05:42	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x268376…
08-08 14:40:34	will hyperliquid reach 70 by december 31 2026 20260806184018492	Yes	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x12aec7…
08-08 12:20:01	btc updown 5m 1786191600	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3f1ec7…
08-07 15:53:45	btc updown 5m 1786118100	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x40f797…
08-07 15:52:48	btc updown 5m 1786117800	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0xeb314f…
08-07 15:52:07	btc updown 5m 1786117800	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x30b2d5…
08-06 20:25:17	Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0x1ce2e8…
08-04 19:37:45	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xf8b496…
07-22 07:48:22	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xdb25fd…
07-21 16:19:03	will solana reach 140 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb83c6d…
07-20 10:13:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd30c71…
07-18 16:53:18	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	52¢	$68	0xe56811…
07-14 17:43:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x283a67…
07-14 17:13:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x4e1c69…
07-14 17:13:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x5e086e…
07-09 01:03:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x19072b…
07-09 00:33:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x532604…
07-08 11:22:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xa1a680…
07-08 11:01:05	btc updown 5m 1783508400	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x71274d…
07-08 11:00:47	btc updown 5m 1783508400	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x556a30…
07-07 19:24:59	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0xbb99a6…
07-07 17:50:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x37208d…
07-07 17:39:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xb977ab…
07-06 13:29:53	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xfd3f4a…
07-06 13:21:31	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x72f7b2…
07-06 12:57:02	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x296c28…
07-06 09:28:41	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	54	79¢	$43	0x64a3d0…
07-06 02:27:37	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xff0aca…
07-03 18:49:29	Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xac8fa3…
06-17 14:07:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xff5dba…
06-16 11:26:49	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x7f80f4…
06-15 10:17:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0x992e9a…
06-12 16:47:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6c5995…
06-12 16:47:00	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa2ec71…
06-08 13:41:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x61446b…
06-08 13:40:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd62ec4…
06-02 22:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x23aa5d…
06-02 22:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8a612b…
06-01 21:58:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x105ae6…
06-01 21:56:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x25d758…
06-01 13:03:19	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xd56653…
06-01 07:29:25	Will Kinetiq reach $0.5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xac56dd…
05-31 21:24:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x2774ad…
05-31 21:23:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6744f2…
05-31 21:05:04	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x429107…
05-31 20:43:20	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x0fe045…
05-31 20:23:01	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xad468d…
05-31 19:27:08	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xde2dba…
05-31 13:09:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0xe05064…
05-31 13:01:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0x22319c…
05-31 12:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf04f30…
05-31 12:39:10	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xf036b4…
05-20 09:54:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	65¢	$100	0x8d1e29…
05-20 09:54:18	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	61¢	$126	0x39453d…
05-19 10:41:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x366ef0…
05-19 10:39:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x107d1a…
05-19 10:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x3c56ba…
05-19 10:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5f3a50…
05-19 10:35:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x8cc61e…
05-19 10:35:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4945f2…
05-10 22:37:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2c11f0…
05-04 22:41:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x3045d5…
05-04 22:39:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x27ee7c…
05-04 22:37:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x9270d5…
05-04 22:37:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x23e45e…
05-04 22:36:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb3ebdb…
05-04 22:35:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x73d1f6…
05-04 22:35:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x4fff52…
05-04 22:34:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x397121…
05-04 22:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x51db70…
05-04 22:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x1be183…
05-04 22:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xeb33f7…
05-04 22:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x2183e9…
05-04 22:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x35a099…
05-04 22:27:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x002fac…
05-04 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xe2d04d…
05-04 22:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x07a8f2…
05-04 22:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xd5b79d…
05-04 22:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5881ce…
05-04 22:23:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xa2d308…
05-04 22:21:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7d0c47…
05-04 22:21:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x940ad8…
05-04 22:21:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0a0f61…
04-25 13:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xc01b64…
04-25 13:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xed4dc4…
04-24 13:52:16	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x3f4bd8…
04-18 13:54:58	highest temperature in munich on april 18 2026 21c	No	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x742428…
04-18 13:27:10	highest temperature in munich on april 18 2026 21c	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x1d1c19…
04-17 15:20:54	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 20c	No	SELL	95	11¢	$10	0x64510a…
04-17 15:20:46	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 19c	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x14f70e…
04-17 15:20:32	crint bgd nzl 2026 04 17	New Zealand	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xcd044a…
04-17 13:26:08	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	95	45¢	$43	0xc62cb6…
04-17 13:23:00	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xa2d4d5…
04-17 13:22:58	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbd974f…
04-17 13:19:22	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x26b73c…
04-17 12:43:08	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 19c	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0xaa2fda…
04-17 12:43:00	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 19c	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x969fb2…
04-17 12:03:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	88	5¢	$4	0x3b26d4…
04-17 11:59:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe51ca1…
04-17 11:49:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$3	0x7a5062…