Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-23

last 10-15 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

85% 46% -$6

Politics

13% 82% +$5

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-06 04:43
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	09-13 22:20
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 04:46
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 05:53
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-21 14:43
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-06 20:47
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-15 18:13
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	09-16 23:26
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-08 06:26
spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	09-22 23:45
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:06
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-18 01:13
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:38
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-24 02:47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 08:52
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-16 06:16
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 17:59
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	10-06 12:47
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-23 10:01
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-11 05:31
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-08 19:47
will ewy dip to 182 in september 2026 from september 25	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-25 21:15
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-15 18:27
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	1	+1	Up	-$1	09-22 14:57
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 06:48
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-10 09:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-27 02:43
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-10 01:13
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-02 12:29
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-23 05:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 18:27:53	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x64a42f…
10-14 09:55:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8ef48d…
10-14 01:54:49	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xca67c5…
10-10 04:46:58	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x62f8b5…
10-09 11:48:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0559b0…
10-09 03:48:05	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x18414e…
10-08 19:47:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5ea5ce…
10-08 06:26:04	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0bf5c3…
10-07 22:22:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4c94e3…
10-06 20:47:33	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc65da7…
10-06 12:47:21	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c64d2…
10-06 04:43:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x55f814…
10-05 15:28:58	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x54f1bf…
10-05 00:55:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0e07b2…
10-05 00:38:31	will ewy dip to 189 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfb3662…
10-02 12:29:51	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa126e1…
10-01 03:54:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x24e4e7…
09-29 05:57:39	will mu reach 1080 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5e12b0…
09-28 21:55:45	will spy reach 770 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xce3d15…
09-28 13:54:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe3d4a7…
09-28 05:46:48	will nvda dip to 216 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x892b7c…
09-27 21:46:26	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb15c93…
09-27 12:11:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf5ee83…
09-27 02:43:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf423ec…
09-26 07:38:54	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa8dd15…
09-25 21:15:18	will ewy dip to 182 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0d50a7…
09-25 12:46:38	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdb0af0…
09-25 04:15:53	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6174d3…
09-24 19:49:20	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x696b72…
09-24 10:47:39	Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2ad38a…
09-24 02:47:13	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe0ddda…
09-23 18:21:11	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe5eda8…
09-23 10:01:20	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb024d8…
09-22 23:45:56	spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x84e5f1…
09-22 14:57:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x68aa6c…
09-22 06:48:06	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdecdf5…
09-21 22:43:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xac55c9…
09-21 14:43:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x63fa4e…
09-21 06:42:12	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xec225c…
09-20 22:35:05	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xec70cd…
09-19 05:53:58	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5e7e24…
09-18 18:37:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9c0fd5…
09-18 01:13:51	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd58e5c…
09-17 11:37:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x23f15d…
09-16 23:26:49	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x630dfc…
09-16 15:25:23	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x02cc33…
09-16 06:16:51	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x25f9b0…
09-15 18:13:54	Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb0dcee…
09-15 09:29:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x14e0eb…
09-14 23:35:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfaa201…
09-14 15:34:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 14?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x69080a…
09-14 07:10:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa87d10…
09-13 23:09:00	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa9f369…
09-13 22:20:33	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78dee7…
09-11 05:31:52	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x104c42…
09-10 18:06:43	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xea778d…
09-10 09:49:57	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x48bf43…
09-10 01:13:46	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xefbe50…
09-09 16:53:37	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c45e7…
09-09 08:52:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdcfc6b…
09-08 17:59:09	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd735f8…
09-08 06:47:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdc0588…
09-03 20:41:42	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6fd4f7…
09-01 18:57:37	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6bfd85…
09-01 10:53:33	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2cc7d6…
09-01 02:47:52	will pltr dip to 180 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c2b54…
08-31 18:47:43	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x214ccb…
08-31 10:47:09	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x78b7bd…
08-30 23:53:03	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6f7a02…
08-30 14:44:55	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2bde00…
08-30 06:38:49	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026 from august 29	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x88ff32…
08-29 21:22:43	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdbaa4c…
08-29 13:21:51	will googl reach 350 in august 2026 from august 27	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe9742d…
08-29 04:11:52	will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd236b5…
08-28 17:30:58	wti closes above 84 on august 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x18d25e…
08-26 20:44:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5215b6…
08-26 11:35:30	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6491fc…
08-26 02:07:03	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd00f68…
08-25 06:16:09	will trump say flag during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xed4414…
08-24 22:13:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x71c46c…
08-24 14:12:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc419e5…
08-24 06:11:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x970d8c…
08-23 22:11:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9a9a2…
08-23 05:42:54	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x82a76e…