Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

148

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$336

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 11-01 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 34% +$13

Other

7% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-22	-$21	98¢	$-22	$0	09-30 05:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-10	-$8	82¢	$-8	+$0	08-31 14:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-10	-$2	18¢	$-2	$0	08-31 14:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-22	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 05:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$22	0	44	-44	open	—	09-30 05:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	08-31 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-13 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7de732…
11-01 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x67e9e7…
11-01 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfe094b…
11-01 16:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa7c41c…
11-01 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea15a6…
10-23 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf7dabb…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8eeee3…
10-23 01:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc8fbe1…
10-23 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3c17a4…
10-23 01:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf87c32…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x807e58…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd4f9dc…
10-22 22:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x93afcc…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x80a08b…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x11268c…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8e41b7…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x365524…
10-22 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xabf53a…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2b517c…
10-22 12:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa0796d…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x698e15…
10-22 07:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x67832a…
10-22 06:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x81bfc0…
10-22 04:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3cae86…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf3d3f0…
10-22 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8565a4…
10-22 02:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1da177…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd4d854…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xce11df…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa26f29…
10-21 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x520e1d…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbb6035…
10-21 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3e2750…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x20d9f9…
10-21 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9a665d…
10-21 11:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xca9ae7…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd76109…
10-21 07:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf550d1…
10-21 06:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1766b3…
10-21 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x74d293…
10-21 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2798a5…
10-21 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x260838…
10-21 04:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x05e163…
10-21 01:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6431ae…
10-21 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe49a72…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5c1f09…
10-21 00:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1cfab4…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37223f…
10-20 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2e8a1e…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa3ae3e…
10-20 04:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16c4cd…
10-20 04:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xafc939…
10-20 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaca289…
10-19 23:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3d0f37…
10-19 22:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3429c5…
10-19 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3276e7…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8687c1…
10-19 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf85cd9…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4b6b25…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xee4afa…
10-19 00:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3b66b9…
10-18 23:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x904295…
10-18 23:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdaab46…
10-18 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8f7d34…
10-18 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5a8183…
10-18 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc12965…
10-18 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9caa00…
10-18 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcd0bfb…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x172203…
10-18 12:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x908941…
10-18 05:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6a5133…
10-18 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe706d4…
10-18 03:48:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2f5356…
10-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x29ab1f…
10-18 02:04:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xab9616…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c10a4…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc74f56…
10-17 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8fbda0…
10-17 19:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbe1b44…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x83fda7…
10-17 17:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x600142…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x177787…
10-17 13:14:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2ab06b…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9ec30f…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4447d0…
10-17 12:00:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x81f4c0…
10-17 11:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbad975…
10-17 11:03:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd51d92…
10-17 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe59823…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x84af67…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf89a9a…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x34e189…
10-16 20:14:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8e71dd…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x25d4bc…
10-16 18:28:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x159f6e…
10-16 18:22:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x22261c…
10-16 13:11:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x155db2…
10-16 12:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x608823…
10-16 07:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc7d2c7…
10-16 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9233a1…