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Realized P&L (90d)
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
38.9%
Resolved (90d)
11
Trades (90d)
106
148 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$868
$1.37K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$107
8 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 10-15 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
58% 25% -$15
Other
36% 33% -$31
Sports
5% 100% +$1
Tech
1% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +63 $35 63¢ $40 +$5 08-29 09:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +63 $29 37¢ $23 -$6 08-27 16:41
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No +21 $12 90¢ $19 +$7 10-05 14:31
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? No +21 $12 63¢ $13 +$2 09-23 13:56
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? Yes +21 $12 37¢ $8 -$4 09-23 13:54
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? Yes +21 $14 10¢ $2 -$12 10-05 17:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? No +2 $3 99¢ $2 -$1 10-09 10:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? Yes +2 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 10-10 07:14