Aware-Initialize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.33K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

11.5%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$188.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$775

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-26 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

74% 8% -$50,644

Politics

26% 23% +$46,320

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+38	$3	4¢	$2	-$2	10-26 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	34	$83.9K	486,836	452,209	+34,626	No	-$23,244	03-18 06:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	44	$26.9K	156,816	113,720	+43,096	No	-$11,714	04-06 15:28
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	9	$15.5K	17,829	17,829	+0	Yes	-$1,735	02-27 10:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$6.4K	29,574	5,930	+23,645	Yes	+$19,343	02-27 12:33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$6.0K	5,997	5,997	+0	Yes	+$1,039	02-23 17:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$5.4K	23,244	0	+23,244	No	-$5,400	04-06 15:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	14	$5.1K	93,600	93,600	+0	No	-$2,584	05-25 11:59
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$4.6K	31,971	0	+31,971	Yes	+$27,371	02-27 12:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$2.8K	6,048	6,048	+0	No	-$534	06-08 12:25
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	2	$2.7K	7,060	0	+7,060	Yes	+$4,360	02-23 17:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$2.7K	14,877	14,877	+0	No	-$310	05-20 17:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$2.4K	8,778	8,778	+0	open	—	05-24 06:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2.2K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	-$826	05-24 06:55
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$1.9K	1,260	1,260	+0	Yes	-$87	03-04 14:27
will iran strike israel on march 5	2	$1.9K	1,367	1,367	+0	Yes	-$150	03-04 14:27
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$1.8K	13,648	0	+13,648	No	-$1,800	03-21 19:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$1.7K	13,902	13,902	+0	No	-$853	05-25 11:59
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	9	$1.7K	18,439	18,439	+0	No	-$1,047	02-26 11:27
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	5	$1.6K	2,652	2,652	+0	No	-$166	03-11 18:27
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	9	$1.5K	24,318	964	+23,354	No	-$1,162	02-27 12:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$1.0K	12,500	12,500	+0	No	-$962	05-24 06:56
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	7	$1.0K	5,669	0	+5,669	No	-$1,029	02-19 18:15
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,502	1,502	+0	Yes	+$7	02-27 12:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$800	11,533	0	+11,533	No	-$800	04-06 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$659	620	620	+0	No	-$61	03-09 17:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	5	$598	20,399	20,399	+0	No	-$338	05-25 11:59
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$550	3,499	0	+3,499	No	-$550	02-05 09:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	3	$434	5,685	5,685	+0	No	-$366	06-22 12:05
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$420	6,810	0	+6,810	No	-$420	02-24 19:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	3	$406	13,942	13,942	+0	No	-$294	06-22 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:54:38	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x4b9dca…
07-04 17:40:25	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	118	54¢	$63	0x8984cc…
07-04 17:38:44	Canada vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x939f9f…
07-04 17:29:11	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x830778…
07-04 17:28:13	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x46752f…
07-03 10:54:50	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	126	22¢	$28	0x2dea6d…
07-03 10:54:01	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xf60808…
07-03 10:53:44	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xc4d39a…
07-03 10:50:58	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x52f6b5…
06-22 12:05:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,077	1¢	$7	0xff26b0…
06-22 12:05:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5,463	0¢	$22	0x3b2958…
06-22 12:05:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5,685	1¢	$34	0x2f5e8c…
06-22 12:05:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13,942	0¢	$56	0xe353ba…
06-10 12:16:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,077	9¢	$100	0x2316c2…
06-10 12:14:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7,147	3¢	$200	0x360272…
06-10 12:09:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x740420…
06-10 12:08:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6,795	2¢	$150	0x41c328…
06-10 12:07:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,435	7¢	$300	0x969e18…
06-10 12:07:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,549	4¢	$100	0x2e9b7a…
06-10 12:07:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,914	3¢	$100	0xbb96da…
06-08 12:25:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6,048	19¢	$1,121	0x0a92d7…
06-07 20:25:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6,048	27¢	$1,655	0x5a491a…
05-25 11:59:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	6,690	1¢	$40	0xd4c6c4…
05-25 11:59:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	7,207	2¢	$173	0x8d5cdf…
05-25 11:59:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	52,508	1¢	$546	0x0a71d9…
05-24 13:42:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	25,200	2¢	$630	0x616249…
05-24 13:42:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	7,207	4¢	$300	0x9460e9…
05-24 13:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	14,587	2¢	$350	0xbb8921…
05-24 13:38:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	6,595	1¢	$68	0x113e3e…
05-24 13:36:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,288	2¢	$110	0xc4d569…
05-24 13:24:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4e25bb…
05-24 13:24:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,444	2¢	$80	0x53eb0b…
05-24 13:23:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xa498f9…
05-24 13:09:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x491a0b…
05-24 13:08:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	650	2¢	$10	0x88f9ee…
05-24 12:41:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,326	2¢	$37	0x529c92…
05-24 06:56:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12,500	0¢	$38	0xbc0032…
05-24 06:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	14,870	1¢	$77	0x5f891e…
05-24 06:56:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	13,709	1¢	$90	0x71a669…
05-24 06:56:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	6,695	4¢	$274	0xf1be75…
05-24 06:56:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8,778	9¢	$815	0xd41301…
05-24 06:56:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	41,091	2¢	$695	0xaee43c…
05-24 06:55:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30,000	2¢	$674	0x832f42…
05-20 20:36:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,307	6¢	$258	0x786b0a…
05-20 20:27:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xec4f41…
05-20 18:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	14,870	2¢	$250	0xd897b2…
05-20 18:11:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	17,351	7¢	$1,200	0xceda5b…
05-20 18:11:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	13,709	3¢	$400	0x423b51…
05-20 18:10:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	6,695	15¢	$1,000	0xad5987…
05-20 17:53:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	19,399	6¢	$1,146	0x337e3f…
05-20 17:52:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14,877	8¢	$1,190	0x0ff36c…
05-19 18:43:29	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,778	18¢	$1,580	0x614d93…
05-19 18:42:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30,000	5¢	$1,500	0x822862…
05-19 18:41:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14,877	10¢	$1,500	0x9db6d2…
04-06 15:28:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,706	17¢	$800	0x23249b…
04-06 15:28:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	11,533	7¢	$800	0x4b0a93…
04-06 15:28:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13,609	3¢	$470	0xf1309a…
04-05 16:20:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12,500	8¢	$1,000	0x1de553…
04-05 13:40:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,211	19¢	$800	0x22e622…
04-05 13:40:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43,054	4¢	$1,800	0x549b97…
04-02 14:26:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8,571	21¢	$1,800	0x4c673a…
03-30 11:26:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,125	32¢	$1,000	0x31e365…
03-28 18:30:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	43,230	6¢	$2,594	0x8ed27f…
03-27 06:19:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56,881	8¢	$4,551	0xdcfca7…
03-23 11:50:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7,000	10¢	$700	0x1ca678…
03-23 09:37:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,632	38¢	$1,000	0xd16e7f…
03-21 19:54:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	13,648	13¢	$1,800	0x67891a…
03-19 13:29:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12,857	14¢	$1,800	0xfdf55b…
03-18 16:18:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	15¢	$1,500	0xc2eb57…
03-18 06:52:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	25,074	4¢	$979	0x7d0ad1…
03-17 20:12:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0x399b9c…
03-17 16:22:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,065	16¢	$330	0x014858…
03-17 16:20:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x66c700…
03-17 16:20:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x950ed3…
03-17 16:17:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x138be0…
03-17 16:14:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x555bb8…
03-17 16:12:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xa3bc7b…
03-17 16:12:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x26c2b6…
03-17 16:09:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xece6cd…
03-17 16:04:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x002399…
03-17 16:01:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x77ee20…
03-17 15:58:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x63c92f…
03-17 15:55:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x18fbd4…
03-17 15:54:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	16¢	$22	0x49b9ca…
03-17 15:54:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x48d055…
03-17 15:53:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x5caeb0…
03-17 15:53:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xcf282b…
03-17 15:48:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe19079…
03-17 15:48:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x10b417…
03-17 15:44:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x16e9a3…
03-17 15:42:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xc2e116…
03-17 15:41:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x4307e8…
03-17 15:41:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x49377f…
03-17 15:41:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x5c88af…
03-17 15:41:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	132	16¢	$21	0x642d03…
03-17 15:37:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x71fb96…
03-17 15:34:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,732	16¢	$597	0x826ead…
03-17 15:32:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,698	16¢	$592	0x0edc89…
03-17 13:07:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,882	17¢	$1,000	0x58dad5…
03-17 13:03:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	50,856	5¢	$2,318	0x78a6dc…