Impossible-Hospitalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$169

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-14 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 59% +$11

Other

8% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$8	18	13	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 05:34
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$7	45	25	+20	open	—	05-10 18:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	open	—	05-04 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-08 18:39
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	24	0	+24	open	—	05-09 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-13 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-08 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-3	05-09 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-08 18:32
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	05-09 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$2	3	2	+1	Down	$-0	05-08 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Down	$-2	05-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-08 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-08 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-08 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	Down	$-2	05-08 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-08 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$4	05-08 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-08 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-08 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:11:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd288d7…
05-14 16:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25bfeb…
05-14 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaa3288…
05-14 14:05:16	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$1	0x1a0046…
05-14 12:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x98114e…
05-13 08:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x08b630…
05-13 08:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb0a3b0…
05-13 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc283c6…
05-13 08:12:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xcbfb71…
05-10 18:24:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe97649…
05-10 18:23:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc00dd0…
05-10 18:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4ec095…
05-10 18:08:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8a13b7…
05-10 18:07:07	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xe0f394…
05-10 18:06:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x5b013f…
05-09 13:49:23	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x26f993…
05-09 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xab6437…
05-09 11:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7b9524…
05-09 11:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x8d403d…
05-09 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99f2e4…
05-09 11:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe201c7…
05-09 10:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf2245e…
05-09 10:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xde1293…
05-09 10:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x399036…
05-09 09:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x533152…
05-09 09:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x02ed53…
05-09 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x98d55a…
05-09 08:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3f277f…
05-09 08:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xd0eaab…
05-09 08:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xceec40…
05-09 07:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc568c2…
05-09 07:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x671882…
05-09 07:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xee0268…
05-09 07:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2f3b66…
05-09 06:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x3ee29b…
05-09 06:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4360e4…
05-09 04:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0c327b…
05-09 04:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2c31cd…
05-09 04:30:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x42f0ac…
05-09 04:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9ecccb…
05-09 04:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x42c02d…
05-08 18:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf4a254…
05-08 18:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xac203a…
05-08 18:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x306ef9…
05-08 18:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb67672…
05-08 18:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6bc29e…
05-08 18:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf09902…
05-08 18:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb09cdb…
05-08 17:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xda6704…
05-08 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9ea4f0…
05-08 17:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7f6af7…
05-08 17:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x53cfbd…
05-08 17:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe23035…
05-08 16:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8a7260…
05-08 14:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x77ed89…
05-08 14:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9d364f…
05-08 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcf26ba…
05-08 13:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf674c8…
05-08 13:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe1c7ef…
05-08 13:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x01012f…
05-08 12:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x9b9277…
05-08 12:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa6cd31…
05-08 10:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb0c850…
05-08 10:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x686ae8…
05-08 10:36:02	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x8d57df…
05-08 10:34:03	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x78bac0…
05-08 10:32:18	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa25c01…
05-08 10:31:48	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x23dbbe…
05-08 10:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc1d2f9…
05-08 10:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeb66f4…
05-08 10:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x712062…
05-08 10:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd68e0f…
05-08 09:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x230cce…
05-08 08:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6091db…
05-08 08:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xda4645…
05-08 08:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcb86d9…
05-08 08:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc4ab7f…
05-08 08:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4c3191…
05-08 08:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x765032…
05-08 08:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe6e4dc…
05-08 07:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x75627b…
05-08 07:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x50a06a…
05-08 07:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3524c2…
05-08 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x23dfc1…
05-08 07:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcc7887…
05-08 07:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd1d085…
05-08 07:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc9f08e…
05-08 07:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfafc38…
05-08 07:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x8a1912…
05-08 07:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe097f3…
05-08 07:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcd17a5…
05-08 07:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xed19d5…
05-08 07:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x73ab85…
05-08 07:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcc9e10…
05-08 07:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xca98bb…
05-08 06:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x47a572…
05-08 06:49:31	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbf47fc…
05-04 06:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6ec725…
05-04 06:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeb9035…
05-04 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe5c78c…