Impossible-Hospitalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$282

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-30 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 59% +$11

Other

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782403500	3	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	06-25 16:07
btc updown 5m 1782582600	5	$9	37	0	+37	open	—	06-27 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$8	18	13	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 05:34
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$7	45	25	+20	open	—	05-10 18:23
btc updown 5m 1782371400	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	06-25 07:13
bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	3	$6	19	2	+16	open	—	06-30 09:10
btc updown 5m 1782440700	4	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	06-26 02:26
btc updown 5m 1782582000	4	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	06-27 17:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	open	—	05-04 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-08 18:39
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	24	0	+24	open	—	05-09 13:49
btc updown 5m 1782486900	3	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	06-26 15:17
btc updown 5m 1782617700	2	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	06-28 03:38
btc updown 5m 1782403200	4	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	06-25 16:04
btc updown 5m 1782617400	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-28 03:33
btc updown 5m 1782445200	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:45
btc updown 5m 1782368400	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-25 06:21
btc updown 5m 1782583200	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-27 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-13 08:18
btc updown 5m 1782370800	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-25 07:04
btc updown 5m 1782582900	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-27 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-08 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-3	05-09 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-08 18:32
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	05-09 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 17:46
btc updown 5m 1782382500	2	$2	37	0	+37	open	—	06-25 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:10:46	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9fa2a3…
06-28 03:47:41	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x17817f…
06-28 03:43:52	btc updown 5m 1782618000	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfd1058…
06-28 03:43:37	btc updown 5m 1782618000	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8ef1d4…
06-28 03:38:38	btc updown 5m 1782617700	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x50bb6f…
06-28 03:36:01	btc updown 5m 1782617700	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbf7f7f…
06-28 03:33:53	btc updown 5m 1782617400	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x57e746…
06-28 03:31:35	btc updown 5m 1782617400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x345fe3…
06-27 17:59:29	btc updown 5m 1782582900	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaa3545…
06-27 17:58:43	btc updown 5m 1782583200	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x114fa7…
06-27 17:53:28	btc updown 5m 1782582600	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5dacf1…
06-27 17:53:02	btc updown 5m 1782582600	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdf52be…
06-27 17:52:41	btc updown 5m 1782582600	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4c82c6…
06-27 17:52:05	btc updown 5m 1782582600	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xec5012…
06-27 17:48:01	btc updown 5m 1782582600	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfa521a…
06-27 17:46:56	btc updown 5m 1782582300	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x81bf60…
06-27 17:43:46	btc updown 5m 1782582000	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x37d165…
06-27 17:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782582000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa77d52…
06-27 17:43:13	btc updown 5m 1782582000	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x216dba…
06-27 17:42:47	btc updown 5m 1782582000	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7a9227…
06-27 17:38:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xff6a60…
06-26 15:22:46	btc updown 5m 1782487200	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3a80ed…
06-26 15:22:14	btc updown 5m 1782487200	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfd8faa…
06-26 15:17:29	btc updown 5m 1782486900	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf0db45…
06-26 15:17:16	btc updown 5m 1782486900	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1be68b…
06-26 15:15:25	btc updown 5m 1782486900	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x33d5e8…
06-26 09:18:40	btc updown 5m 1782465300	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x577343…
06-26 08:53:25	btc updown 5m 1782463800	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xd04a00…
06-26 08:53:16	btc updown 5m 1782463800	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf45ed9…
06-26 08:35:50	btc updown 5m 1782462900	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x46fbea…
06-26 08:06:04	btc updown 5m 1782461100	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcd26d3…
06-26 04:06:31	btc updown 5m 1782446700	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0a1aed…
06-26 03:45:01	btc updown 5m 1782445200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x714cb0…
06-26 03:41:22	btc updown 5m 1782445200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd7adf6…
06-26 02:54:55	btc updown 5m 1782442500	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd110fe…
06-26 02:38:28	btc updown 5m 1782441900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x826e4b…
06-26 02:38:11	btc updown 5m 1782441600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27b2dd…
06-26 02:31:20	btc updown 5m 1782441000	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x97afb3…
06-26 02:26:31	btc updown 5m 1782440700	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1d78d4…
06-26 02:26:02	btc updown 5m 1782440700	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x047df6…
06-26 02:25:49	btc updown 5m 1782440700	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc4d0ef…
06-26 02:25:43	btc updown 5m 1782440700	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x33a29b…
06-26 02:22:10	btc updown 5m 1782440400	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x590d82…
06-25 16:07:34	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Down	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x840362…
06-25 16:07:07	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3a93f0…
06-25 16:06:38	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xec3090…
06-25 16:04:11	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb4508b…
06-25 16:03:31	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1802f7…
06-25 16:01:58	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x92e493…
06-25 16:01:07	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa07c01…
06-25 15:58:17	btc updown 5m 1782402900	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x64d3f5…
06-25 15:51:26	btc updown 5m 1782402600	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x63f210…
06-25 15:39:56	btc updown 5m 1782401700	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb7d472…
06-25 10:19:16	btc updown 5m 1782382500	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x220df8…
06-25 10:15:26	btc updown 5m 1782382500	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x993980…
06-25 10:13:59	btc updown 5m 1782382200	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xa0506a…
06-25 07:13:17	btc updown 5m 1782371400	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x05c555…
06-25 07:12:10	btc updown 5m 1782371400	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb46097…
06-25 07:06:53	btc updown 5m 1782371100	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xba67a4…
06-25 07:04:26	btc updown 5m 1782370800	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6b16a8…
06-25 07:02:14	btc updown 5m 1782370800	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd1f847…
06-25 06:52:56	btc updown 5m 1782370200	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1c7279…
06-25 06:21:44	btc updown 5m 1782368400	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x35ff6e…
06-25 04:41:46	btc updown 5m 1782362400	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x475e80…
06-25 04:37:08	btc updown 5m 1782362100	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xedccbd…
06-24 16:01:50	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	Virtus.pro	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7bbe11…
06-24 08:01:47	btc updown 5m 1782288000	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x64f849…
06-24 07:51:31	btc updown 5m 1782287400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xffe974…
06-24 07:22:37	btc updown 5m 1782285600	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x783fe0…
06-24 07:16:58	btc updown 5m 1782285300	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdcea2a…
06-24 07:02:49	btc updown 5m 1782284400	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x65e19e…
06-23 06:48:28	btc updown 5m 1782197100	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6ae9eb…
06-23 06:41:22	btc updown 5m 1782196800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8a32e8…
06-23 05:50:32	btc updown 5m 1782193800	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x46411a…
05-14 16:11:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd288d7…
05-14 16:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25bfeb…
05-14 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaa3288…
05-14 14:05:16	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$1	0x1a0046…
05-14 12:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x98114e…
05-13 08:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x08b630…
05-13 08:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb0a3b0…
05-13 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc283c6…
05-13 08:12:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xcbfb71…
05-10 18:24:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe97649…
05-10 18:23:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc00dd0…
05-10 18:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4ec095…
05-10 18:08:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8a13b7…
05-10 18:07:07	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xe0f394…
05-10 18:06:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x5b013f…
05-09 13:49:23	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x26f993…
05-09 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xab6437…
05-09 11:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7b9524…
05-09 11:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x8d403d…
05-09 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99f2e4…
05-09 11:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe201c7…
05-09 10:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf2245e…
05-09 10:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xde1293…
05-09 10:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x399036…
05-09 09:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x533152…
05-09 09:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x02ed53…