Easy-Simplicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

105

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-22 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

95% 58% -$170

Politics

5% 67% +$24

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	3	$721	405	405	+0	Yes	+$25	05-03 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	13	$633	633	633	+0	Yes	-$145	05-31 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?	4	$558	342	342	+0	Yes	+$126	05-17 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 28?	2	$488	247	246	+0	Yes	+$2	05-28 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 14?	5	$485	256	256	+0	Yes	+$12	05-14 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 27?	2	$481	244	244	+0	Yes	+$6	05-27 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 27?	2	$476	240	240	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	2	$453	238	238	+0	Yes	+$23	05-27 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 16?	4	$443	236	236	+0	No	+$29	05-16 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	2	$428	215	215	+0	Yes	+$3	05-26 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 30?	2	$402	203	203	+0	Yes	+$2	05-30 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 29?	2	$389	213	213	+0	Yes	+$33	05-29 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 15?	2	$350	188	188	+0	Yes	+$26	05-15 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?	2	$344	174	174	+0	Yes	+$4	05-15 13:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	2	$343	184	184	+0	Yes	-$15	05-15 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?	3	$332	222	172	+50	Yes	-$6	05-28 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?	2	$326	167	167	+0	Yes	+$6	05-14 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	2	$298	150	150	+0	No	+$2	05-14 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?	2	$297	149	149	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?	2	$292	149	149	+0	No	+$2	05-12 18:43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?	3	$253	261	245	+16	Yes	-$207	06-01 09:06
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	6	$232	549	0	+549	Yes	+$33	05-04 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 16?	6	$225	231	231	+0	Yes	+$29	05-16 21:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	2	$218	118	118	+0	Yes	+$18	05-29 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?	3	$211	119	119	+0	No	+$13	05-30 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	05-15 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?	2	$201	106	106	+0	No	+$2	05-21 21:37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?	2	$193	118	118	+0	No	+$23	05-15 22:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 28?	2	$178	102	102	+0	No	+$26	05-29 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?	2	$169	94	94	+0	Yes	+$19	05-28 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4cb50e…
10-22 13:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x05851c…
10-22 13:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x4512a5…
10-22 12:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x974572…
10-22 10:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x9aa6b7…
10-21 22:54:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x2fbd72…
10-21 22:42:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb707e5…
10-21 22:41:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa93222…
10-21 22:41:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x07c5e6…
10-21 22:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x6dc190…
10-21 22:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xeccc17…
10-21 13:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xadf528…
10-21 12:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xdd0ede…
10-20 20:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xf3faec…
09-22 13:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdcba88…
09-22 13:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4996d7…
09-22 13:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa2cae…
08-27 14:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x4e42fe…
08-27 14:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x85ac7c…
08-27 14:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x226f7b…
08-27 14:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x6d1ffd…
08-27 14:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x4ccf1a…
08-27 14:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x29fe36…
08-27 14:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x30956b…
08-27 14:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xe8ac9a…
08-27 13:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8de790…
08-27 13:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xed0487…
08-27 13:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x3b31ac…
08-27 12:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	44	58¢	$25	0x01bc6a…
08-27 12:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	44	63¢	$27	0xe27a02…
08-27 11:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x75d5e0…
08-27 07:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xc1311b…
08-27 07:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x29eea2…
08-26 23:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 26?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0x35c9c7…
08-26 23:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd0ca76…
08-26 23:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x985394…
08-26 23:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd53186…
08-26 23:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x3da817…
08-26 22:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0xaf39b0…
08-26 22:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 26?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x6fbd18…
08-26 21:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 26?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0x9ca89c…
08-26 21:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 26?	No	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0xf371d9…
08-26 21:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 26?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb5e6ed…
08-26 20:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 26?	No	SELL	44	57¢	$25	0x1855fb…
08-26 19:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 26?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x70856f…
08-26 19:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x06e7c1…
08-26 19:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 26?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x764152…
08-26 18:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x96035c…
08-26 17:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	36	81¢	$30	0x7944dd…
08-26 17:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3fbf2c…
08-26 17:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ac388…
08-26 16:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc7be44…
08-26 16:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x6c9350…
08-26 16:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xd2defb…
08-26 14:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0c91da…
08-26 14:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x5bfa56…
08-26 14:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x892ffc…
08-26 14:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3e1113…
08-26 14:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa4c22f…
08-26 14:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 26?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x24d08b…
08-26 14:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 26?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x2a742c…
08-26 13:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x49c2aa…
08-26 11:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x7dd895…
08-26 11:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xd2e53f…
08-26 11:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xdfb5f2…
08-26 10:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x673a76…
08-26 10:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xdb1067…
08-26 09:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4368b4…
08-26 09:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x4cc581…
08-25 22:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x07678d…
08-25 21:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 25?	No	SELL	45	14¢	$7	0xe3953d…
08-25 20:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 25?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x14a2d3…
08-25 20:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 25?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x945597…
08-25 20:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 25?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x71d9b2…
08-25 19:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0xdbdf54…
08-25 16:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?	No	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0x5aeba4…
08-25 14:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xcb7727…
08-25 12:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5b8258…
08-25 12:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x2a6ec1…
08-25 12:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x41d7ff…
08-25 11:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x6886d1…
08-25 11:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x57a52f…
08-25 11:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x3a64b9…
06-01 09:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x8b8846…
06-01 09:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?	No	SELL	245	6¢	$15	0x96492b…
06-01 07:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?	No	BUY	245	91¢	$223	0xb37406…
05-31 15:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	146	4¢	$6	0xcd4aa5…
05-31 12:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	146	58¢	$85	0xf523c5…
05-31 11:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	183	41¢	$75	0xdc3f58…
05-31 11:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0xcd7a53…
05-31 11:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	227	95¢	$216	0x88577c…
05-31 09:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	227	97¢	$221	0xb9c520…
05-31 09:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	SELL	143	2¢	$4	0xdf83f3…
05-31 09:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x448245…
05-31 08:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x17480d…
05-31 08:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x659405…
05-31 08:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x46e312…
05-31 08:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	170	44¢	$75	0xe9dd3c…
05-31 07:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xb2d86f…
05-31 07:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xfcf4d5…