Optimal-Wiseguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-09 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 100% +$0

Politics

18% — —

Other

11% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	15	$133	1,728	1,728	+0	open	—	03-03 15:12
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	03-11 07:27
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$104	1,300	1,300	-0	open	—	03-03 15:32
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	1	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	03-18 03:52
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 15	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-16 02:04
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 14	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-14 14:42
bitcoin above 72k on march 16	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-16 15:40
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-17 06:25
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	03-13 08:18
bitcoin above 74k on march 12	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	03-12 13:04
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	03-07 10:55
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	4	$58	29	29	-0	open	—	04-15 10:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	03-02 03:27
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$48	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	03-10 13:43
ethereum above 2400 on march 19	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-19 06:07
bitcoin above 68k on april 14	1	$36	37	0	+37	open	—	04-14 02:49
bitcoin above 70k on march 28	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-28 14:41
bitcoin above 70k on march 27	4	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-27 15:35
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-29 14:47
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-23 09:45
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-22 06:41
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-21 06:03
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-24 12:44
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-26 09:44
bitcoin above 74k on march 25	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-25 15:10
bitcoin above 82k on april 17	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 14:27
bitcoin above 80k on april 16	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-16 02:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-21 09:40
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-10 13:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-25 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:12:36	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaac46c…
06-08 07:08:33	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xaf4674…
05-31 08:32:13	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc52cb9…
05-27 14:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x187ef0…
05-24 18:01:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe9a971…
05-22 13:54:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x402822…
05-21 09:40:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9b6979…
05-14 12:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7a1a6e…
05-08 15:30:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7fe624…
04-27 13:46:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb37959…
04-25 04:56:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6cff21…
04-22 14:05:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x58f4d3…
04-22 12:59:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x444a74…
04-19 09:25:02	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x87ba10…
04-18 13:09:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x880db8…
04-17 14:27:56	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x776790…
04-16 02:24:26	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe41cde…
04-15 10:23:46	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x09c2a1…
04-15 10:23:42	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x743106…
04-15 10:22:28	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x83f3e2…
04-15 07:02:32	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x38f9f6…
04-15 04:31:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73b389…
04-14 02:49:43	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0xe262ce…
04-13 09:42:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x722932…
04-12 08:28:49	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x48fccf…
04-11 15:11:05	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe2de5b…
04-10 13:23:17	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbbb735…
04-09 13:52:55	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf87345…
04-08 12:59:51	highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x232171…
04-07 12:53:17	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3e7ab4…
04-06 10:00:17	highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfae668…
04-02 12:36:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf09991…
04-01 10:12:45	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 15corbelow	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x01d4bd…
03-29 14:47:20	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x982004…
03-28 14:41:31	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x2aaf34…
03-27 15:35:19	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7a3df6…
03-27 15:27:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35da5c…
03-27 15:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20ffb4…
03-27 14:59:43	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf25118…
03-26 09:44:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa658bc…
03-25 15:10:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7d1f07…
03-24 12:44:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1e0f79…
03-23 09:45:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd077cd…
03-22 06:41:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe5b794…
03-21 06:03:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 21	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x44b387…
03-19 06:07:27	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x6fed5b…
03-18 03:52:33	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x55b49c…
03-18 02:57:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	904	0¢	$2	0xf83d9b…
03-17 06:25:57	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x326bf9…
03-16 15:40:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 16	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1c66a4…
03-16 02:04:51	will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 15	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe400fe…
03-14 14:42:35	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 14	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa97120…
03-14 08:06:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,096	0¢	$5	0x2f56d3…
03-13 08:18:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x6e679a…
03-12 13:04:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 12	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x87d7a1…
03-11 07:27:45	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x6e862d…
03-11 07:26:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xd1d270…
03-10 13:43:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x77240d…
03-10 13:43:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	375	2¢	$9	0x4939df…
03-10 13:29:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x7801cb…
03-10 13:28:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	213	2¢	$5	0x300f8f…
03-10 13:23:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$4	0x5e60de…
03-10 13:19:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x0c647c…
03-10 13:12:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xfb2310…
03-10 13:12:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x9027c6…
03-10 09:14:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	328	0¢	$1	0x92f568…
03-10 09:13:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	458	0¢	$2	0x9ed3a0…
03-10 09:13:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0xbab50f…
03-10 08:40:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$24	0x191a1c…
03-10 04:44:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	823	0¢	$3	0xcaf214…
03-10 04:43:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	273	0¢	$1	0xcf6490…
03-07 10:55:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x3d2a3d…
03-03 15:32:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	92	4¢	$4	0xf6f26c…
03-03 15:31:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x0be06a…
03-03 15:25:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	145	4¢	$6	0x11403b…
03-03 15:23:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	151	4¢	$6	0xa9fb15…
03-03 15:23:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xabc10e…
03-03 15:23:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	849	4¢	$34	0x298dab…
03-03 15:22:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0xe3ef8a…
03-03 15:22:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	109	4¢	$4	0x456a19…
03-03 15:22:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	191	4¢	$8	0xbe42aa…
03-03 15:12:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x6e5c8e…
03-03 15:11:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0xcc78b3…
03-03 15:11:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x67ea2f…
03-03 15:11:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x487633…
03-03 15:11:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x42026c…
03-03 15:10:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	264	4¢	$11	0x68c544…
03-03 15:09:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x7bc5ad…
03-03 15:08:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	153	4¢	$6	0xe9b501…
03-03 15:07:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x42d845…
03-03 15:06:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	163	4¢	$6	0x6b489e…
03-03 14:59:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	199	4¢	$8	0xa07f50…
03-03 14:57:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x77fb8b…
03-03 14:57:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$39	0xbb3f32…
03-03 14:57:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x7ddbc0…
03-03 14:55:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	1,268	4¢	$47	0x96a518…
03-02 03:27:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x9a70ae…
02-27 03:24:28	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe36e90…