Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
161
lifetime
Volume
$283
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 10-15 14:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
44% 81% +$5
Tech
22% 100% +$3
Crypto
17% 89% +$1
Sports
12% 86% +$0
Politics
4% 67% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -4 -$4 96¢ $-4 +$0 09-10 11:11
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 09-13 20:01
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 09-13 19:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 09-13 20:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2 -$1 76¢ $-1 $0 07-10 06:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 08-21 14:55
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -1 -$1 58¢ $-1 +$0 05-21 21:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 09-20 11:23