Realized P&L (7d)
+$205
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved (7d)
27
Trades (7d)
201
2,966 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.01K
$34.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$420
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-28 18:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Crypto
38% 37% -$256
Other
34% 37% +$507
Politics
21% 50% +$148
Sports
5% 46% +$366
Tech
2% 40% +$82
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +123 $100 100¢ $123 +$23 10-27 20:14
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +80 $66 84¢ $68 +$2 10-28 17:37
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $27 94¢ $47 +$20 10-28 03:41
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +58 -$9 79¢ $45 +$54 10-26 16:23
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $33 82¢ $41 +$8 10-27 15:44
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +35 $26 97¢ $34 +$7 10-28 02:27
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +219 $44 12¢ $26 -$18 10-28 01:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 $0 10-27 17:23
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$2 10-27 22:44
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +214 $2 2¢ $4 +$2 09-20 11:43