Practical-Persimmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$778

Unrealized P&L

+$129

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved (90d)

266

Trades (90d)

1,532

2,984 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$19.7K

$35.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$226

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-30 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 37% -$256

Other

34% 37% +$507

Politics

22% 50% +$148

Sports

5% 40% +$335

Tech

2% 40% +$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	+129	$4	92¢	$119	+$115	10-30 00:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	+219	$44	15¢	$33	-$11	10-28 01:01
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	+58	-$9	50¢	$29	+$38	10-26 16:23
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	+50	$40	56¢	$28	-$12	10-29 03:06
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+15	$13	100¢	$15	+$2	10-27 22:44
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+214	$2	1¢	$2	+$0	09-20 11:43
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	+65	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	10-28 21:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	45	$1.3K	1,089	960	+129	open	—	10-30 00:44
bitcoin up or down february 8 1pm et	4	$792	539	539	+0	Up	+$40	02-08 19:15
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$698	566	566	+0	Yes	+$365	02-09 04:05
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	8	$638	567	567	+0	Yes	+$97	03-03 15:30
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	4	$529	616	616	+0	Yes	+$171	02-24 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 16:45 UTC	3	$497	1,481	1,468	+13	Down	-$264	02-28 16:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	20	$488	655	655	+0	open	—	10-21 12:08
Trump renames AI by September 30?	34	$487	681	480	+200	Yes	-$20	09-29 21:21
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	7	$450	480	179	+301	Yes	+$59	09-06 22:00
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	3	$440	474	474	+0	Yes	+$108	02-28 16:53
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	2	$425	302	302	+0	Up	+$152	02-06 17:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	8	$388	1,680	1,680	+0	No	-$154	02-28 16:43
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 7pm et	7	$371	306	302	+4	Up	+$35	03-16 00:01
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	13	$356	277	277	+0	Yes	+$19	10-08 00:04
bitcoin up or down february 26 2pm et	3	$344	207	207	+0	Up	-$13	02-26 19:40
bitcoin up or down february 5 12pm et	6	$324	214	214	+0	Down	+$29	02-05 18:03
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	6	$314	225	222	+3	Up	+$21	03-15 12:32
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	9	$310	292	254	+38	Cavaliers	+$40	10-27 01:58
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	19	$295	449	305	+144	Yes	+$79	09-06 18:42
Heat vs. Hornets	12	$295	294	294	+0	Hornets	+$42	10-25 00:26
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	2	$281	182	182	+0	No	+$13	02-25 19:01
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	5	$273	201	201	+0	Yes	+$19	10-11 06:30
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	13	$272	252	55	+197	Yes	+$12	08-21 05:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$269	277	277	+0	open	—	10-28 08:58
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	8	$266	334	148	+186	Down	+$31	02-05 16:08
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	7	$261	1,285	1,285	+0	No	+$21	02-28 11:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	4	$260	149	149	+0	open	—	10-28 10:51
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	18	$248	261	261	+0	Yes	+$152	08-12 22:45
bitcoin up or down february 28 12pm et	4	$238	290	290	+0	Up	-$35	02-28 17:36
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	20	$237	281	231	+50	Yes	-$49	10-05 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:25:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xd2277a…
10-30 03:49:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x126b2a…
10-30 01:28:58	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	SELL	90	25¢	$23	0x4bcc6a…
10-30 01:28:19	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	SELL	89	26¢	$23	0xa4d696…
10-30 01:15:31	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc0de76…
10-30 01:01:34	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1cbc80…
10-30 00:55:58	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd93696…
10-30 00:48:16	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xbe5690…
10-30 00:45:10	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfef1a7…
10-30 00:44:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0xaf4507…
10-30 00:38:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	57	80¢	$46	0xa9a4fa…
10-30 00:36:28	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x6762fd…
10-30 00:36:16	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	SELL	47	57¢	$27	0x05eef4…
10-30 00:33:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	76	70¢	$54	0x3b8152…
10-30 00:25:16	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x022e37…
10-30 00:24:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0xf5e6fd…
10-30 00:19:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x2a73a8…
10-30 00:19:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xde6d0c…
10-30 00:18:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x3ceb04…
10-30 00:15:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x1bc088…
10-30 00:13:46	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x3ea125…
10-30 00:12:43	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x962809…
10-29 23:59:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0xe344ef…
10-29 23:56:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x3fa6e0…
10-29 23:54:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x5842aa…
10-29 19:25:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x367a88…
10-29 19:25:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1a7846…
10-29 17:47:13	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8f34e5…
10-29 17:46:59	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x8245e8…
10-29 17:46:35	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xec0bce…
10-29 17:46:28	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x634cba…
10-29 17:46:19	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0xe1b723…
10-29 17:46:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	123	97¢	$120	0xad9172…
10-29 11:06:50	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x3b88b2…
10-29 10:34:53	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xcbfa5a…
10-29 10:32:25	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xc3e3e2…
10-29 09:57:49	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x0cf624…
10-29 07:15:35	Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x37d89c…
10-29 03:06:43	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xba7e6d…
10-29 03:06:41	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	48	80¢	$39	0xd810d1…
10-29 00:03:20	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xa0c70d…
10-28 21:34:05	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x8b013a…
10-28 18:22:16	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xa2d887…
10-28 17:37:16	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x451fcd…
10-28 17:37:14	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xba2826…
10-28 17:37:14	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x602e7c…
10-28 15:26:22	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?	No	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x1281cb…
10-28 15:00:02	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xe60cb4…
10-28 10:51:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x9f5a49…
10-28 08:58:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	107	37¢	$39	0xbcd10b…
10-28 08:58:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	227	44¢	$100	0xcd4944…
10-28 03:41:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x97f37b…
10-28 03:20:03	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc1fb90…
10-28 02:27:45	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x2692b5…
10-28 02:02:08	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x59b762…
10-28 01:01:41	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	18¢	$11	0xdf739e…
10-28 00:40:38	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0xb521dc…
10-28 00:30:17	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$27	0x358e1f…
10-28 00:17:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xc2920d…
10-27 22:54:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0x9b4336…
10-27 22:47:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x65115a…
10-27 22:46:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xcd4c0c…
10-27 22:44:00	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x52fe8c…
10-27 20:58:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x9cf40f…
10-27 20:30:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$35	0x2287af…
10-27 20:30:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x2cb04a…
10-27 20:20:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2999c8…
10-27 20:14:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xd894cd…
10-27 20:09:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xff1bbc…
10-27 17:23:36	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0x9641fe…
10-27 16:34:27	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x186706…
10-27 16:29:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x554fe6…
10-27 15:44:38	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x325e39…
10-27 15:44:38	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x2955cc…
10-27 15:37:57	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xb81f41…
10-27 13:10:06	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x249ca5…
10-27 09:51:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x87649e…
10-27 09:51:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xae910d…
10-27 07:29:23	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xdf122a…
10-27 07:29:23	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x7a923b…
10-27 07:29:23	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x69f3b1…
10-27 07:29:23	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x5c5f67…
10-27 07:29:23	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x53ea9b…
10-27 07:23:32	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x9d3f70…
10-27 04:33:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	SELL	45	12¢	$6	0x029cfd…
10-27 04:24:33	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0x50d680…
10-27 03:59:12	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xf6327d…
10-27 02:24:12	will riyadh airport reopen by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x21b6b6…
10-27 01:58:48	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4044bc…
10-27 01:27:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	150	76¢	$114	0xaa1e40…
10-27 01:13:00	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x81a360…
10-27 01:12:48	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x3bd20d…
10-27 01:11:38	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x0a3a5a…
10-27 01:09:47	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	63	58¢	$37	0xedf0fb…
10-27 00:52:20	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x187f0e…
10-27 00:48:53	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb925d5…
10-26 23:00:20	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xc76415…
10-26 22:52:39	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	180	0¢	$1	0x997a39…
10-26 22:34:21	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfab3c3…
10-26 22:25:30	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x15aa9f…