Practical-Persimmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

3,233 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$414

$41.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$153

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-06 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Other

37% 38% +$366

Crypto

32% 37% -$264

Politics

25% 48% -$150

Sports

5% 40% +$335

Tech

2% 44% +$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	+103	$52	83¢	$86	+$34	11-05 21:17
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	+20	$18	92¢	$18	+$1	11-04 17:03
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	+20	$15	78¢	$16	+$0	11-04 16:41
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$1	11-04 23:20
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$10	28¢	$8	-$2	11-04 18:21
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	No	+9	-$16	86¢	$8	+$23	11-05 10:29
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	Yes	+20	$7	37¢	$7	+$0	11-06 01:13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	+110	$66	0¢	$0	-$65	11-05 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	53	$1.8K	1,357	1,357	+0	open	—	11-04 01:10
bitcoin up or down february 8 1pm et	4	$792	539	539	+0	Up	+$40	02-08 19:15
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$698	566	566	+0	Yes	+$365	02-09 04:05
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	8	$638	567	567	+0	Yes	+$97	03-03 15:30
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	4	$529	616	616	+0	Yes	+$171	02-24 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 16:45 UTC	3	$497	1,481	1,468	+13	Down	-$264	02-28 16:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	20	$488	655	655	+0	No	-$19	10-21 12:08
Trump renames AI by September 30?	34	$487	681	480	+200	Yes	-$20	09-29 21:21
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	12	$486	1,155	1,155	+0	Yes	-$139	11-01 01:38
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	7	$450	480	179	+301	Yes	+$59	09-06 22:00
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	3	$440	474	474	+0	Yes	+$108	02-28 16:53
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	2	$425	302	302	+0	Up	+$152	02-06 17:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	12	$412	309	309	+0	open	—	11-03 23:19
will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	8	$388	1,680	1,680	+0	No	-$154	02-28 16:43
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	10	$372	278	278	+0	Yes	-$3	10-31 22:23
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 7pm et	7	$371	306	302	+4	Up	+$35	03-16 00:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	13	$357	872	472	+400	No	-$151	11-03 01:38
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	13	$356	277	277	+0	Yes	+$19	10-08 00:04
bitcoin up or down february 26 2pm et	3	$344	207	207	+0	Up	-$13	02-26 19:40
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	18	$344	384	384	+0	open	—	11-05 15:17
bitcoin up or down february 5 12pm et	6	$324	214	214	+0	Down	+$29	02-05 18:03
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	12	$321	594	594	+0	Yes	-$23	11-03 19:43
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	6	$314	225	222	+3	Up	+$21	03-15 12:32
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	9	$310	292	254	+38	Cavaliers	+$40	10-27 01:58
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	19	$295	449	305	+144	Yes	+$79	09-06 18:42
Heat vs. Hornets	12	$295	294	294	+0	Hornets	+$42	10-25 00:26
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	2	$281	182	182	+0	No	+$13	02-25 19:01
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	5	$273	201	201	+0	Yes	+$19	10-11 06:30
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	13	$272	252	55	+197	Yes	+$12	08-21 05:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$269	277	277	+0	open	—	10-28 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:13:18	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x00f7dd…
11-06 00:40:43	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x1d167d…
11-05 21:17:57	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xff4225…
11-05 19:46:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x0644c5…
11-05 19:43:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5fd724…
11-05 18:03:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb26db2…
11-05 18:02:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x6e48e8…
11-05 18:01:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0x86b6ee…
11-05 17:56:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xf734fa…
11-05 17:47:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x4727a7…
11-05 16:54:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xd4ff27…
11-05 15:17:37	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	SELL	72	30¢	$22	0x41dd7d…
11-05 14:36:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0xaedd36…
11-05 14:05:03	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	SELL	106	20¢	$21	0x16bad1…
11-05 13:32:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xfc5418…
11-05 12:40:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf7758d…
11-05 10:29:37	US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xbf2fff…
11-05 08:35:54	US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x0c8dc3…
11-05 08:30:09	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x851806…
11-05 04:51:27	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$10	0xf42b68…
11-05 04:51:27	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x92f64f…
11-05 01:40:42	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf3e4fc…
11-05 01:05:31	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4347d7…
11-05 00:54:55	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xe5ce09…
11-05 00:41:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0xecf506…
11-05 00:40:24	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x679752…
11-05 00:23:16	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xfc30f9…
11-05 00:21:28	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xbbe6d5…
11-05 00:19:51	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xf8a720…
11-05 00:19:40	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xf8dc85…
11-05 00:16:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa03b16…
11-05 00:08:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xe12479…
11-05 00:06:37	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xb64470…
11-05 00:06:12	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x95acd5…
11-04 23:48:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xcb2d93…
11-04 23:46:16	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9ce181…
11-04 23:38:28	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x79cc89…
11-04 23:36:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xd693b3…
11-04 23:20:22	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb9842e…
11-04 23:18:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x736534…
11-04 23:14:51	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xada309…
11-04 23:05:12	US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x208413…
11-04 22:31:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xcd6e40…
11-04 22:31:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0x828875…
11-04 21:29:42	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x8b1417…
11-04 18:21:46	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf42292…
11-04 17:43:52	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	77	52¢	$40	0x89014e…
11-04 17:03:16	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x614b24…
11-04 17:00:55	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe910a3…
11-04 16:48:15	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xff73d6…
11-04 16:41:49	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x499bed…
11-04 16:35:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xc19e6b…
11-04 16:30:01	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x461d58…
11-04 16:25:07	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0x892d71…
11-04 16:25:01	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	185	1¢	$1	0x8e9639…
11-04 16:16:25	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x75bf40…
11-04 16:00:13	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x28c28f…
11-04 13:25:55	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x280970…
11-04 13:25:54	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x287ea0…
11-04 11:40:13	US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	No	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0xf6b1ab…
11-04 06:11:48	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x62ccca…
11-04 05:03:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa9a319…
11-04 04:53:46	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on or prior to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0eba16…
11-04 03:49:34	US imports Russian diesel by January 31?	Yes	SELL	204	30¢	$61	0xb73e76…
11-04 02:01:25	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x819587…
11-04 01:41:00	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5084ac…
11-04 01:36:46	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x0db362…
11-04 01:10:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x77e5c6…
11-04 00:46:51	Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x04bec4…
11-03 23:28:51	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xaf6604…
11-03 23:26:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xa324c6…
11-03 23:20:55	US imports Russian diesel by January 31?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5e0c1c…
11-03 23:19:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xc272e6…
11-03 23:00:58	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xacd81b…
11-03 22:55:52	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xa7f960…
11-03 22:55:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x0a42d8…
11-03 19:55:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xf21079…
11-03 19:46:34	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x3ac99d…
11-03 19:43:42	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	SELL	314	19¢	$60	0x92a562…
11-03 16:23:37	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x9e9702…
11-03 14:30:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0xf657fb…
11-03 14:29:49	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x8c8ded…
11-03 14:18:46	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2074dd…
11-03 13:47:46	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xf862d8…
11-03 09:15:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x14021e…
11-03 05:10:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	162	6¢	$9	0xeeb892…
11-03 04:50:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x59b3cd…
11-03 04:11:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x1578a5…
11-03 03:09:09	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0xf5bf13…
11-03 02:55:52	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	SELL	250	32¢	$80	0xa676b2…
11-03 02:48:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9f2c87…
11-03 01:53:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x76f089…
11-03 01:38:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xf8cc0a…
11-03 01:33:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x536f23…
11-03 01:32:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x131e5f…
11-03 01:32:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x3d7910…
11-03 01:22:34	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6b1d84…
11-03 01:19:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	155	53¢	$83	0x02c31a…
11-03 01:17:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0xc21643…
11-03 01:17:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0x913d4a…