Practical-Persimmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$232

Unrealized P&L

+$121

Hit rate

30.4%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

3,082 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$986

$38.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$194

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-01 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

36% 37% +$317

Crypto

35% 37% -$264

Politics

22% 50% +$148

Sports

5% 40% +$335

Tech

2% 40% +$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+129	$4	99¢	$128	+$124	10-30 00:44
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	+100	$68	62¢	$62	-$5	10-30 15:18
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+214	$2	2¢	$4	+$2	09-20 11:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	45	$1.3K	1,089	960	+129	open	—	10-30 00:44
bitcoin up or down february 8 1pm et	4	$792	539	539	+0	Up	+$40	02-08 19:15
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$698	566	566	+0	Yes	+$365	02-09 04:05
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	8	$638	567	567	+0	Yes	+$97	03-03 15:30
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	4	$529	616	616	+0	Yes	+$171	02-24 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 16:45 UTC	3	$497	1,481	1,468	+13	Down	-$264	02-28 16:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	20	$488	655	655	+0	No	-$19	10-21 12:08
Trump renames AI by September 30?	34	$487	681	480	+200	Yes	-$20	09-29 21:21
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	12	$486	1,155	1,155	+0	Yes	-$139	11-01 01:38
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	7	$450	480	179	+301	Yes	+$59	09-06 22:00
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	3	$440	474	474	+0	Yes	+$108	02-28 16:53
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	2	$425	302	302	+0	Up	+$152	02-06 17:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	8	$388	1,680	1,680	+0	No	-$154	02-28 16:43
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	10	$372	278	278	+0	open	—	10-31 22:23
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 7pm et	7	$371	306	302	+4	Up	+$35	03-16 00:01
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	13	$356	277	277	+0	Yes	+$19	10-08 00:04
bitcoin up or down february 26 2pm et	3	$344	207	207	+0	Up	-$13	02-26 19:40
bitcoin up or down february 5 12pm et	6	$324	214	214	+0	Down	+$29	02-05 18:03
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	6	$314	225	222	+3	Up	+$21	03-15 12:32
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	9	$310	292	254	+38	Cavaliers	+$40	10-27 01:58
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	19	$295	449	305	+144	Yes	+$79	09-06 18:42
Heat vs. Hornets	12	$295	294	294	+0	Hornets	+$42	10-25 00:26
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	2	$281	182	182	+0	No	+$13	02-25 19:01
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	5	$273	201	201	+0	Yes	+$19	10-11 06:30
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	13	$272	252	55	+197	Yes	+$12	08-21 05:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$269	277	277	+0	open	—	10-28 08:58
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	8	$266	334	148	+186	Down	+$31	02-05 16:08
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	7	$261	1,285	1,285	+0	No	+$21	02-28 11:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	4	$260	149	149	+0	No	+$8	10-28 10:51
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	18	$248	261	261	+0	Yes	+$152	08-12 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 23:14:04	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x5e8743…
11-01 22:54:04	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	Yes	SELL	49	41¢	$20	0x1d313a…
11-01 22:53:48	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0x653708…
11-01 22:53:48	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	Yes	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0x406abd…
11-01 22:53:01	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xee176d…
11-01 22:52:49	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x5d628c…
11-01 22:38:15	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x5892b2…
11-01 22:37:58	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x0ce78a…
11-01 22:37:42	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x8a3ac9…
11-01 22:15:57	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xf14da8…
11-01 20:40:06	Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	Yes	BUY	190	10¢	$19	0x2e2e94…
11-01 20:36:43	Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb665b4…
11-01 17:15:45	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	75¢	$46	0xe53847…
11-01 15:11:34	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	41	24¢	$10	0x3af994…
11-01 15:11:34	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0x26bc7e…
11-01 15:04:34	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	8¢	$17	0x87543d…
11-01 15:04:31	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	217	8¢	$18	0xb2f9a7…
11-01 14:12:12	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	49	80¢	$40	0x277917…
11-01 14:09:54	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x9c947d…
11-01 14:09:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x0eed29…
11-01 14:08:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	9¢	$10	0xac06c2…
11-01 14:03:40	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x93e48e…
11-01 14:03:40	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x9102b0…
11-01 14:03:40	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x299833…
11-01 13:44:36	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x95d07d…
11-01 13:30:27	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	63	12¢	$8	0xaa1421…
11-01 12:39:58	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xf23f64…
11-01 10:30:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x54070d…
11-01 10:02:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x417bac…
11-01 03:45:48	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0xcfb9f5…
11-01 01:38:15	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	735	2¢	$18	0x7c5b10…
11-01 01:19:28	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0x633f0d…
11-01 00:58:22	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x0fa7b9…
11-01 00:38:28	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xd48ea3…
11-01 00:21:36	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	230	40¢	$92	0x06431a…
10-31 23:58:30	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7ae80a…
10-31 23:06:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	420	37¢	$155	0xc9cba4…
10-31 22:23:09	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xe8f5c2…
10-31 22:00:49	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xa483f1…
10-31 21:57:54	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	158	50¢	$79	0xc901ee…
10-31 21:48:04	US imports Russian diesel by January 31?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xc92d1f…
10-31 21:02:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x32e535…
10-31 20:11:49	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x5bca48…
10-31 20:06:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x727edd…
10-31 19:18:58	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xad4611…
10-31 19:18:48	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0xf44196…
10-31 18:05:27	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x09f616…
10-31 17:57:49	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xadebb7…
10-31 17:57:19	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0xc10067…
10-31 17:22:51	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x3391fa…
10-31 17:21:22	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0xf698d2…
10-31 17:20:03	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xf723ac…
10-31 17:19:46	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xf75364…
10-31 17:18:10	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0x470009…
10-31 17:16:54	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x488bdf…
10-31 17:02:48	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc27ae0…
10-31 16:55:12	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd82706…
10-31 16:24:01	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x5ecd08…
10-31 16:19:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x6acc06…
10-31 14:45:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xeddccc…
10-31 01:49:07	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	280	25¢	$70	0x1c006a…
10-31 01:48:36	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x29c1b6…
10-31 01:48:30	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xc95793…
10-31 01:48:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x8dda08…
10-31 01:48:13	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	22¢	$9	0x2a4610…
10-31 01:37:31	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xcfbedf…
10-31 00:37:28	Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x2e0d1c…
10-31 00:16:58	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0xb3b0eb…
10-30 23:48:57	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe87052…
10-30 23:45:54	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0x7ca758…
10-30 21:37:33	Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x33a0e5…
10-30 17:02:25	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0587fd…
10-30 16:35:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x53fa83…
10-30 15:18:52	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xeb9ae5…
10-30 07:25:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xd2277a…
10-30 03:49:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x126b2a…
10-30 01:28:58	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	SELL	90	25¢	$23	0x4bcc6a…
10-30 01:28:19	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	SELL	89	26¢	$23	0xa4d696…
10-30 01:15:31	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc0de76…
10-30 01:01:34	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1cbc80…
10-30 00:55:58	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd93696…
10-30 00:48:16	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xbe5690…
10-30 00:45:10	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfef1a7…
10-30 00:44:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0xaf4507…
10-30 00:38:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	57	80¢	$46	0xa9a4fa…
10-30 00:36:28	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x6762fd…
10-30 00:36:16	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	SELL	47	57¢	$27	0x05eef4…
10-30 00:33:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	76	70¢	$54	0x3b8152…
10-30 00:25:16	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x022e37…
10-30 00:24:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0xf5e6fd…
10-30 00:19:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x2a73a8…
10-30 00:19:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xde6d0c…
10-30 00:18:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x3ceb04…
10-30 00:15:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x1bc088…
10-30 00:13:46	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x3ea125…
10-30 00:12:43	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x962809…
10-29 23:59:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0xe344ef…
10-29 23:56:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x3fa6e0…
10-29 23:54:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x5842aa…
10-29 19:25:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x367a88…