Gloomy-Look — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-15 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Other

40% 0% $-30

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	14	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-18 01:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	20	$1.1K	1,000	1,223	-223	open	—	06-15 02:05
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	4	$412	400	400	+0	open	—	06-22 05:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	6	$376	400	400	+0	open	—	07-15 04:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	2	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 07:13
will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	4	$357	212	212	+0	open	—	06-17 07:18
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$346	206	206	+0	open	—	06-21 05:03
starmer out by june 25 2026	2	$338	200	200	+0	open	—	06-22 02:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	5	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	06-13 21:33
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$322	200	200	+0	open	—	05-14 00:55
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	2	$300	500	500	+0	PlayTime	+$0	05-10 02:18
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$293	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 00:43
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	2	$263	500	500	+0	1win	$-7	05-11 08:41
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	7	$256	420	420	+0	open	—	06-17 00:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	2	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 03:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$245	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 03:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$245	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 07:03
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	9	$239	150	150	+0	open	—	04-26 19:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	2	$228	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 01:54
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	8	$226	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 21:29
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	2	$220	200	180	+20	open	—	06-14 05:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	6	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 22:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	4	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 03:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 23:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	2	$198	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 05:15
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	2	$195	314	314	+0	T1	+$0	05-10 03:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$180	205	205	+0	open	—	06-16 04:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$180	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 07:14:04	will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153975	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x68f63b…
07-15 07:13:56	will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153975	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x5c2c7a…
07-15 07:13:56	will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153975	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x17d346…
07-15 07:13:55	will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153975	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x95af11…
07-15 07:12:34	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	32	35¢	$11	0x825921…
07-15 07:12:28	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xef7e75…
07-15 04:14:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	140	66¢	$93	0x855639…
07-15 04:13:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	60	66¢	$39	0xfc47c0…
07-15 04:13:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x40cfc2…
07-15 03:27:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	136	17¢	$23	0x5970e6…
07-15 03:27:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	136	17¢	$23	0x2a0331…
07-15 02:56:28	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x2cbbf8…
07-15 00:28:35	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x779f76…
07-14 03:13:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x949754…
07-14 02:26:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x49f273…
07-14 01:32:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x98bb57…
07-14 01:32:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	140	28¢	$39	0x27d51d…
07-14 01:31:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x945dd4…
07-11 05:15:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xdbe136…
07-11 03:07:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xeddc0b…
06-26 07:44:35	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	187	43¢	$80	0xe9654d…
06-26 07:04:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	187	43¢	$80	0xe7c6e0…
06-22 05:51:46	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x1847c0…
06-22 05:14:14	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x9becac…
06-22 02:45:47	starmer out by june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xa8e1a1…
06-22 02:43:35	starmer out by june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x409f44…
06-21 05:03:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	84¢	$171	0xe40884…
06-21 04:53:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x280151…
06-21 04:51:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x8a9b01…
06-21 04:51:26	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xbaec96…
06-21 04:50:47	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x536034…
06-21 03:09:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x7ead21…
06-20 11:13:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xfbd885…
06-20 10:51:32	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xcef8a0…
06-19 22:22:35	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xe09887…
06-19 20:19:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	34	16¢	$6	0x9e3f91…
06-19 20:19:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x21611b…
06-19 19:06:07	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x91f230…
06-19 19:05:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xf49181…
06-19 19:05:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xe7b6a9…
06-19 19:05:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x0b7ccf…
06-19 19:05:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x099ce0…
06-19 19:05:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x00a706…
06-18 01:19:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0xdbbd2e…
06-17 23:55:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x2192e9…
06-17 23:25:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x06e480…
06-17 22:49:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x912013…
06-17 07:18:32	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	SELL	212	82¢	$173	0x36a4c0…
06-17 07:17:46	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc5984a…
06-17 07:11:11	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6ccb18…
06-17 06:46:52	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xc5409a…
06-17 06:34:38	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x592b57…
06-17 06:29:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	87	19¢	$17	0x068a44…
06-17 06:16:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x211b58…
06-17 06:13:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4127d1…
06-17 05:57:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x333dbd…
06-17 05:36:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x3b5e0b…
06-17 04:54:59	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x48d526…
06-17 04:01:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x58f4fb…
06-17 03:37:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	140	50¢	$70	0x2a2732…
06-17 03:30:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x5127c8…
06-17 03:30:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	51	50¢	$25	0x96c05d…
06-17 03:20:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc4a7b4…
06-17 02:03:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xe8477b…
06-17 00:49:11	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x719b9a…
06-17 00:42:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x049b9b…
06-17 00:38:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xae76f8…
06-17 00:38:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xaa4848…
06-17 00:37:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x88a914…
06-17 00:37:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xe80030…
06-17 00:37:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0ce4e3…
06-17 00:06:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3a5b51…
06-16 04:52:39	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x1ee70c…
06-16 04:32:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x5c310c…
06-16 04:32:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x99be75…
06-16 04:23:49	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x8cf72c…
06-16 04:21:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	203	43¢	$87	0x078108…
06-15 23:39:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x45560c…
06-15 23:32:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x7c5b95…
06-15 23:18:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xd40a3d…
06-15 23:18:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x2cbf25…
06-15 16:30:18	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xd8e52e…
06-15 13:11:30	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x71a85f…
06-15 07:13:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x4b93ce…
06-15 07:13:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x6d90db…
06-15 05:52:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$35	0x1c4eda…
06-15 05:48:42	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x065069…
06-15 03:43:27	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xb1a5f0…
06-15 03:23:51	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x849bc0…
06-15 02:05:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x8bb533…
06-15 01:52:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x9f166f…
06-15 01:49:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xd0d235…
06-15 01:49:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	84¢	$27	0xcf373c…
06-15 01:48:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd4d438…
06-15 01:48:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	84¢	$52	0xeebc31…
06-15 01:48:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	84¢	$27	0x36f4c9…
06-15 01:48:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x1235d7…
06-15 01:48:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x973f4b…
06-15 01:48:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x1476ef…
06-15 01:48:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	72	84¢	$61	0xe84768…