Gloomy-Look — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$9.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-15 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

36% 0% $-30

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	20	$1.1K	1,000	1,223	-223	open	—	06-15 02:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	2	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 07:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	5	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	06-13 21:33
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$322	200	200	+0	open	—	05-14 00:55
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	2	$300	500	500	+0	PlayTime	+$0	05-10 02:18
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$293	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 00:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-16 04:32
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	2	$263	500	500	+0	1win	$-7	05-11 08:41
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	2	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 03:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$245	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 03:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$245	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 07:03
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	9	$239	150	150	+0	open	—	04-26 19:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	2	$228	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 01:54
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	8	$226	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 21:29
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	2	$220	200	180	+20	open	—	06-14 05:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	6	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 22:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	4	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 03:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 23:37
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	2	$195	314	314	+0	T1	+$0	05-10 03:57
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	5	$184	220	220	+0	open	—	06-14 21:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$180	205	205	+0	open	—	06-16 04:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$180	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 22:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$155	252	252	+0	open	—	05-15 00:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	2	$152	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 08:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$150	155	155	+0	open	—	04-27 11:48
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	06-11 08:55
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$135	73	73	+0	open	—	03-18 07:15
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	6	$132	150	150	+0	Michael	$-12	04-28 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 04:32:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x5c310c…
06-16 04:32:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x99be75…
06-16 04:23:49	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x8cf72c…
06-16 04:21:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	203	43¢	$87	0x078108…
06-15 23:39:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x45560c…
06-15 23:32:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x7c5b95…
06-15 23:18:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xd40a3d…
06-15 23:18:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x2cbf25…
06-15 16:30:18	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xd8e52e…
06-15 13:11:30	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x71a85f…
06-15 07:13:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x4b93ce…
06-15 07:13:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x6d90db…
06-15 05:52:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$35	0x1c4eda…
06-15 05:48:42	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x065069…
06-15 03:43:27	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xb1a5f0…
06-15 03:23:51	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x849bc0…
06-15 02:05:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x8bb533…
06-15 01:52:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x9f166f…
06-15 01:49:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xd0d235…
06-15 01:49:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	84¢	$27	0xcf373c…
06-15 01:48:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd4d438…
06-15 01:48:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	84¢	$52	0xeebc31…
06-15 01:48:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	84¢	$27	0x36f4c9…
06-15 01:48:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x1235d7…
06-15 01:48:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x973f4b…
06-15 01:48:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x1476ef…
06-15 01:48:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	72	84¢	$61	0xe84768…
06-15 01:48:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x5f27f5…
06-15 01:48:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	128	84¢	$107	0xc5c52b…
06-15 00:23:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x10267d…
06-15 00:21:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa23e41…
06-14 23:37:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xf2a466…
06-14 23:33:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x868437…
06-14 23:24:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x77e17c…
06-14 23:24:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xe146f4…
06-14 21:18:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	84	40¢	$34	0xcaa432…
06-14 20:37:39	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	116	40¢	$46	0x0eb57f…
06-14 10:31:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x06cce5…
06-14 10:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x8d5219…
06-14 10:31:13	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x6f19e5…
06-14 10:12:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xe38a47…
06-14 10:12:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0e16b5…
06-14 08:12:36	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xc66598…
06-14 05:24:15	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	180	58¢	$104	0x20de0e…
06-14 05:23:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x94e5cd…
06-14 04:57:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xfa19c8…
06-14 03:03:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xb41609…
06-14 03:03:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	75	50¢	$37	0x560702…
06-14 02:34:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	125	53¢	$66	0x37351f…
06-14 02:33:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x80fd89…
06-14 02:32:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	78	53¢	$41	0x614192…
06-14 02:32:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	122	53¢	$65	0xb0c420…
06-14 01:54:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x8f97d7…
06-14 01:31:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xc5fbfe…
06-14 00:57:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x462a0a…
06-14 00:55:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x73141f…
06-13 21:33:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	118	81¢	$95	0x8d059f…
06-13 19:22:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	61	81¢	$50	0x30ce66…
06-13 13:53:45	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x8b8f0e…
06-12 00:19:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd34204…
06-12 00:12:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x337485…
06-11 23:01:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x3fd9e3…
06-11 22:56:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	89	71¢	$63	0x39da1e…
06-11 08:55:55	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x0b1340…
06-11 03:12:16	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xb7ad11…
06-11 02:56:25	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xc7153c…
06-11 02:56:18	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xcdd5ea…
06-11 01:09:34	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x0cf40f…
06-11 01:01:18	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xe60c29…
06-10 08:12:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xdbfe13…
06-10 07:53:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x4f033c…
06-10 07:19:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	93	48¢	$45	0xc2261e…
06-10 07:09:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xa02c5a…
06-10 05:17:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x8d54f4…
06-10 02:33:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x74a223…
06-10 01:35:10	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x2d2472…
06-10 00:45:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x7c7281…
06-10 00:43:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x9c026a…
06-10 00:43:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x2874dd…
06-10 00:25:03	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x39b4d7…
06-08 15:37:31	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	200	69¢	$137	0xf7c8b1…
06-07 08:17:18	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xb718fb…
06-07 04:30:37	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x62abcd…
06-05 22:06:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	130	45¢	$59	0x59ba4a…
06-05 22:06:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	70	45¢	$31	0xfaf654…
06-05 22:06:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x1ed721…
06-05 10:03:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	152	62¢	$94	0xaa6ee0…
06-05 09:33:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0xc34c8d…
06-05 07:16:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x9ec037…
06-05 07:03:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$123	0x3edec4…
06-05 07:01:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x71af2b…
05-15 01:37:41	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	70	25¢	$17	0x549953…
05-15 01:37:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	57	25¢	$14	0x90efcb…
05-15 01:37:29	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x438f4e…
05-15 00:54:57	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6accd4…
05-15 00:50:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x8d33a3…
05-15 00:50:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xe6b8b4…
05-15 00:49:20	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3244f9…
05-15 00:39:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	51	66¢	$33	0x22c2b5…
05-15 00:39:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0xb0fd66…