Defensive-Trigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-10 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Crypto

25% 48% +$17

Sports

22% 67% +$6

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	3	$233	188	184	+4	open	—	04-14 11:23
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	3	$144	579	552	+27	open	—	04-23 10:32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$111	368	352	+16	open	—	04-27 17:51
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	3	$106	6,036	3,155	+2,880	open	—	04-15 01:40
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	4	$100	258	211	+47	open	—	04-17 00:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	4	$93	378	359	+18	open	—	04-14 12:48
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 btts	2	$83	48	48	+0	open	—	04-07 21:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 8	2	$62	78	74	+4	open	—	04-08 12:50
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	2	$61	85	84	+1	open	—	04-13 19:30
sea rom pis 2026 04 10 spread home 1pt5	2	$60	41	40	+1	open	—	04-10 20:45
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	05-19 02:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	2	$44	117	111	+5	open	—	04-19 21:23
nba mem den 2026 04 08	3	$43	645	0	+645	open	—	04-09 02:30
nba phi ind 2026 04 10	2	$37	209	204	+6	open	—	04-11 00:05
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	2	$35	31	30	+1	open	—	04-13 00:44
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	06-04 03:16
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	3	$33	43	32	+11	open	—	05-22 02:36
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	2	$33	996	947	+49	open	—	04-17 17:16
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$30	64	0	+64	open	—	06-09 00:02
btc updown 5m 1776480900	4	$28	19	19	+1	open	—	04-18 03:00
epl wes wol 2026 04 10 wes	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-10 21:33
btc updown 5m 1776993600	2	$27	18	18	+1	open	—	04-24 01:25
nba chi was 2026 04 07 total 251pt5	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	04-07 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$23	65	0	+65	Down	$-23	05-08 00:43
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 spread home 1pt5	2	$22	40	28	+12	open	—	04-10 20:47
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	3	$21	767	175	+592	open	—	04-15 01:41
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	2	$21	354	338	+17	open	—	04-16 20:54
btc updown 5m 1776993000	2	$20	22	21	+1	open	—	04-24 01:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-07 17:40
lal ala osa 2026 04 05 osa	1	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	04-05 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:54:03	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xad7344…
06-10 00:18:01	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf95db3…
06-09 19:51:31	val ge1 fs1 2026 06 09	FULL SENSE	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x79c002…
06-09 19:44:03	val ge1 fs1 2026 06 09	FULL SENSE	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x32510c…
06-09 00:02:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x4d3223…
06-04 03:16:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x22a2aa…
06-04 02:30:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc3dd06…
06-04 00:59:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa5c5a8…
05-31 23:37:40	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x50e34d…
05-31 15:24:52	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x80e326…
05-31 15:24:28	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdd4cc4…
05-30 23:13:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xeaa5d1…
05-22 02:37:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x37f382…
05-22 02:36:19	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x816d3f…
05-22 02:24:37	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x91889f…
05-21 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x923ee9…
05-21 21:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd177ac…
05-21 21:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x5caa0b…
05-21 17:08:30	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf67c18…
05-21 17:07:18	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xec42f1…
05-20 23:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa7922f…
05-20 23:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x509384…
05-20 22:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6b19d3…
05-20 22:17:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9e9fea…
05-20 22:15:01	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x909655…
05-20 21:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x966c0d…
05-20 21:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x02d201…
05-20 21:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb10965…
05-20 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x191e0f…
05-20 01:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x8380e8…
05-20 01:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb9abe1…
05-20 01:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x654911…
05-20 01:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf70e67…
05-20 01:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x19f3dd…
05-20 01:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa3309e…
05-20 01:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x62bfab…
05-20 01:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1881a0…
05-20 01:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xe19d96…
05-20 01:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x70ddaa…
05-20 01:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe7fb08…
05-20 01:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	72	17¢	$12	0x2a84fc…
05-20 01:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4ae89c…
05-20 01:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x91cf40…
05-20 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x73b3a0…
05-20 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x835df1…
05-20 00:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5d8fb7…
05-19 23:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xccc8cf…
05-19 23:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x57c6e7…
05-19 23:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb5be80…
05-19 22:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x13af6d…
05-19 02:57:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x835f5b…
05-19 02:32:39	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xf0f4e8…
05-18 14:16:51	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x273a34…
05-16 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x05d798…
05-16 17:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc62841…
05-16 17:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb02f01…
05-16 17:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9063d0…
05-16 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3be74d…
05-16 15:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5d9eba…
05-16 03:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x38dbc2…
05-16 03:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc0258f…
05-16 03:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x36f01f…
05-16 03:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x692cb8…
05-16 03:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xce2c21…
05-16 03:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb23d4f…
05-16 03:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0de7ac…
05-16 03:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcd0ca6…
05-15 20:18:28	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x575492…
05-15 11:32:32	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2a64d1…
05-15 11:31:38	AS Saint-Étienne vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe1dc1a…
05-14 15:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6f238e…
05-14 15:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7b93da…
05-14 15:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x18abd6…
05-14 15:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x4634fa…
05-14 15:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x689078…
05-14 15:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xe3d5a6…
05-14 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2066ef…
05-12 08:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7937ce…
05-12 08:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x84b93c…
05-12 08:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xeb283c…
05-12 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x1c82e6…
05-12 08:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x603800…
05-12 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x57274a…
05-12 07:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x196ada…
05-12 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9728a1…
05-10 05:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x20cf0f…
05-10 05:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x662f23…
05-10 05:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8fc3d7…
05-10 05:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1fba0d…
05-10 05:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x306fef…
05-10 05:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x19c8da…
05-10 05:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0x044e82…
05-10 05:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c56b4…
05-10 05:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf12de5…
05-10 05:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x029410…
05-10 05:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x89c162…
05-10 05:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfe1287…
05-10 05:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x7953b1…
05-10 05:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfdb4b4…
05-10 04:49:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc9ca03…