Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.32K

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$185.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.45K

Open exposure

$24.1K

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-19

last 10-26 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

97% 86% +$18,465

Other

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 50% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+11,100	$8,109	72¢	$7.9K	-$172	10-26 09:15
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+9,439	$6,651	70¢	$6.6K	-$91	10-26 13:46
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+9,290	$5,000	68¢	$6.4K	+$1,364	10-17 09:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,829	$941	62¢	$1.1K	+$202	10-26 11:58
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+4,023	$1,181	27¢	$1.1K	-$113	10-26 13:47
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+2,243	$898	46¢	$1.0K	+$133	10-26 09:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$38.6K	29,761	29,761	+0	Yes	+$976	09-20 17:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	14	$26.1K	21,829	20,000	+1,829	open	—	10-26 11:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$24.9K	17,827	17,827	+0	No	+$4,584	10-07 21:29
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	3	$15.8K	19,000	19,000	+0	Yes	+$5,936	10-04 22:01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	10	$14.0K	15,097	15,097	+0	open	—	10-26 13:41
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$11.6K	15,896	15,896	+0	Yes	+$3,590	10-25 23:23
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	14	$10.3K	17,071	17,071	+0	open	—	10-22 15:16
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	10	$10.1K	8,200	8,200	+0	No	-$246	10-17 09:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$8.1K	11,100	0	+11,100	open	—	10-26 09:15
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$6.7K	9,439	0	+9,439	open	—	10-26 13:46
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	9	$5.7K	5,401	5,401	+0	Yes	+$3,434	10-25 23:22
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	3	$5.0K	9,290	0	+9,290	open	—	10-17 09:15
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	4	$4.0K	3,360	3,360	+0	open	—	10-25 20:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$1.9K	7,600	7,600	+0	open	—	10-20 07:22
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$1.2K	4,023	0	+4,023	open	—	10-26 13:47
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	3	$898	2,243	0	+2,243	open	—	10-26 09:16
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$352	230	230	+0	open	—	10-07 17:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	2	$203	970	970	+0	No	+$191	10-25 22:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$189	147	147	+0	open	—	09-25 14:22
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	2	$45	28	28	+0	Petr Yan	+$12	10-24 20:45
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$28	52	0	+52	Alexander Volkanovski	-$28	10-24 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:47:23	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7f8050…
10-26 13:46:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,770	72¢	$1,274	0x94fd57…
10-26 13:41:15	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2,899	44¢	$1,275	0x3a4305…
10-26 11:58:50	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	65¢	$84	0x6cc9a5…
10-26 11:57:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,700	65¢	$1,105	0x318eaf…
10-26 09:25:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,100	73¢	$803	0x35ef41…
10-26 09:18:30	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	28¢	$839	0x050a86…
10-26 09:16:35	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,940	40¢	$772	0xdb03d1…
10-26 09:15:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,000	71¢	$2,130	0xb31918…
10-26 01:30:45	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x91dd25…
10-26 01:29:26	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x5cfcc6…
10-26 01:26:03	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$10	0xe6024c…
10-26 01:25:08	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10,032	47¢	$4,715	0xa03a1d…
10-26 01:24:09	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2,132	47¢	$1,002	0xdbdd26…
10-26 00:23:11	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x6fdb9a…
10-26 00:22:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,000	74¢	$2,220	0x7965a2…
10-26 00:03:05	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4,200	48¢	$2,010	0x22fcf9…
10-25 23:52:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	68¢	$2,040	0x61cd4c…
10-25 23:51:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5,100	74¢	$3,759	0x5010e6…
10-25 23:23:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5,404	90¢	$4,864	0x6a32b0…
10-25 23:23:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xf22eff…
10-25 23:22:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	5,401	85¢	$4,591	0x5944ac…
10-25 23:21:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	615	90¢	$554	0xf7cdb0…
10-25 22:35:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5f4423…
10-25 22:33:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	365	49¢	$179	0x713225…
10-25 22:33:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb2e0c5…
10-25 22:33:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3ccc37…
10-25 22:33:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x1ae5a0…
10-25 22:29:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	970	20¢	$197	0xb61d7f…
10-25 20:11:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	186	35¢	$65	0x1918cd…
10-25 20:11:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0xf8bfbb…
10-25 20:11:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,058	38¢	$402	0xb9ea6f…
10-25 20:11:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x54a7f2…
10-25 20:11:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0x071906…
10-25 20:09:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	1,273	43¢	$543	0x5026db…
10-25 20:02:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x778b08…
10-25 20:00:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,470	25¢	$1,123	0xbe13e8…
10-25 20:00:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	2,068	56¢	$1,152	0x4f30f1…
10-25 20:00:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xdf67bb…
10-24 20:46:15	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	52	53¢	$28	0x511d5f…
10-24 20:45:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x4369b2…
10-24 05:57:42	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	28	59¢	$17	0x773a85…
10-24 05:45:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	3,845	20¢	$752	0x281d4a…
10-24 05:44:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,844	20¢	$769	0xcabb7a…
10-22 15:22:33	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,515	71¢	$2,496	0xcd4723…
10-22 15:21:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	54	70¢	$38	0xe881bb…
10-22 15:16:21	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,404	29¢	$2,437	0x51afc9…
10-22 15:07:32	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	29¢	$22	0xfb432d…
10-22 14:54:41	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x92fee5…
10-22 14:44:23	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x638e88…
10-22 14:42:42	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	29¢	$22	0xe1647e…
10-22 14:37:39	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0xb6c645…
10-22 14:35:35	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x8133ba…
10-22 14:28:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xa86b9f…
10-22 14:19:32	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	230	42¢	$97	0x9b71be…
10-22 14:17:24	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	339	29¢	$98	0x966655…
10-22 14:17:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	970	1¢	$6	0xfa6fb4…
10-22 14:15:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	3,360	69¢	$2,314	0xabefcb…
10-22 14:13:08	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,000	29¢	$2,320	0xdf843f…
10-22 07:57:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xaf6b13…
10-21 11:55:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	1,142	18¢	$206	0x03ca5f…
10-20 13:24:00	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf626a0…
10-20 07:23:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	477	23¢	$110	0x0cf24a…
10-20 07:22:13	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	900	12¢	$108	0x20ae0f…
10-20 07:14:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,367	23¢	$774	0x9722bd…
10-20 07:12:59	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6,700	12¢	$804	0xcc6559…
10-19 14:45:27	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9cc3ec…
10-19 14:43:54	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7,600	13¢	$988	0x908bf0…
10-19 14:42:15	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	33¢	$334	0x534c7e…
10-19 14:38:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5,977	23¢	$1,375	0x610858…
10-18 20:51:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x3ae8b2…
10-17 09:44:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x426849…
10-17 09:16:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,177	24¢	$523	0xfb5e76…
10-17 09:15:17	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,200	54¢	$3,348	0x6f9c15…
10-17 09:13:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,700	24¢	$888	0xe93c7e…
10-17 09:08:44	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0xd059f2…
10-17 09:07:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x810dbd…
10-17 09:07:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0x0dfeef…
10-17 09:06:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0xf81c6e…
10-17 09:06:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x002d87…
10-17 09:06:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x9930c2…
10-17 09:06:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2ffa72…
10-17 09:06:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0xa90fce…
10-17 09:06:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7,932	60¢	$4,759	0xc9158b…
10-16 16:33:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xc820a4…
10-16 16:17:01	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,867	47¢	$877	0x4aeef8…
10-16 16:15:51	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,000	32¢	$3,519	0x69abe6…
10-16 16:13:48	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	31¢	$465	0x538bc9…
10-16 16:10:12	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	54¢	$756	0x9f4227…
10-16 16:08:13	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9,000	46¢	$4,138	0xd4a52c…
10-16 16:07:22	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,690	53¢	$896	0x629b99…
10-16 16:06:28	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,400	31¢	$1,041	0xe58feb…
10-16 15:26:25	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xe3e12c…
10-16 15:19:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,171	30¢	$351	0xe9d0d1…
10-13 07:24:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8,200	63¢	$5,166	0x6debcd…
10-10 08:07:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x55bb9c…
10-10 08:00:57	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0xaeb62e…
10-10 08:00:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xe82bf9…
10-10 07:59:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	63¢	$17	0x54622a…
10-10 07:59:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x34ba12…