Cylindrical-Analysis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

806

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-23 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

43% — —

Other

27% 60% $-0

Sports

17% 20% $-4

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lib pal cri 2026 04 16 cri	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 23:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 30	5	$88	63	32	+32	open	—	03-29 22:57
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$65	41	41	+0	open	—	04-24 15:23
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	6	$64	56	56	+0	open	—	03-30 00:21
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$59	836	0	+836	open	—	03-05 22:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	03-03 20:50
bl2 s04 mun 2026 04 19 s04	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-19 12:45
nba hou nop 2026 03 29	5	$47	31	31	+0	open	—	03-30 00:21
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	5	$46	67	37	+30	open	—	04-01 01:00
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	3	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-29 23:37
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	6	$43	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 15:23
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	03-05 12:01
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	3	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	04-24 17:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	04-12 14:01
uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 bol	9	$34	123	94	+29	open	—	04-16 15:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 30	3	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	03-29 23:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 09:06
nba mia ind 2026 03 29	2	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	03-29 22:53
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 30	4	$29	36	0	+36	open	—	03-30 10:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$28	25	25	+0	open	—	04-01 13:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$28	21	20	+0	open	—	04-01 00:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	03-30 13:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	03-31 14:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-31 09:42
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 13:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 31	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	03-30 20:18
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-30 09:24
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 31	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-30 10:10
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 20:51
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-08 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 17:20:46	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfba510…
06-23 17:20:26	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xeef28d…
06-23 17:14:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x125d94…
06-20 12:20:53	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5b9640…
06-19 22:40:23	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfc91aa…
06-19 21:01:49	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xeeb480…
06-18 16:30:25	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd6b46c…
06-16 21:49:25	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1f0833…
06-16 21:48:50	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x162ebb…
06-15 23:27:36	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x607991…
06-12 20:13:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1d0206…
06-12 13:25:57	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Paraguay	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9d853e…
06-12 13:25:30	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0e1fdf…
06-11 19:17:00	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x9b4737…
06-10 23:30:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9cb672…
06-08 20:16:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0x55f631…
06-08 20:16:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points jalen brunson 25pt5	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xb36274…
06-08 00:11:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 206pt5	Over	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0a180a…
06-06 11:33:57	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x0940c8…
06-06 11:33:28	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x45c566…
06-06 11:29:03	will reece james score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x4ae255…
06-06 10:29:58	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set handicap away 1pt5	Chwalinska	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x37775a…
06-06 05:50:18	btc updown 5m 1780725000	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5651d4…
06-06 05:05:18	btc updown 5m 1780722300	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xfa477a…
06-06 04:50:28	btc updown 5m 1780721400	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf83fc0…
06-06 04:40:28	btc updown 5m 1780720800	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0c8c8f…
06-06 04:25:09	btc updown 5m 1780719900	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6ad9b2…
06-05 22:15:28	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xee2bc7…
06-05 19:35:18	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x548dcc…
06-05 19:20:28	btc updown 5m 1780687200	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x86808f…
06-05 19:05:09	btc updown 5m 1780686300	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x563abd…
06-05 15:15:21	btc updown 5m 1780672500	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf4828c…
06-05 14:54:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 202pt5	Over	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd0434a…
06-05 14:25:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x17d336…
06-05 14:23:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points julian champagnie 2pt5	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbb57fe…
06-05 14:22:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe2f611…
06-05 14:22:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points jalen brunson 25pt5	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xd708a1…
06-01 23:52:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x532d2e…
06-01 23:51:46	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	158	1¢	$1	0x7fd193…
06-01 23:51:22	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x9d60b1…
05-31 15:52:07	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbe9e78…
05-31 02:31:33	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe1230d…
05-31 02:09:30	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcaf238…
05-31 02:03:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1e50fb…
05-31 00:24:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x0ae35e…
05-29 16:42:48	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7b726a…
05-29 15:45:47	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb90403…
05-29 13:36:32	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa5de6c…
05-29 05:09:48	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x99efa7…
05-29 05:09:48	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7a5036…
05-29 05:09:48	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x669beb…
05-28 14:00:40	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd8f2d8…
05-27 11:33:38	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1e2516…
05-26 21:07:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa1cff6…
05-25 13:32:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x9ade71…
05-25 01:06:12	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5f653a…
05-24 09:58:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x016422…
05-23 22:33:09	Will Vitor Roque be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6b03c0…
05-23 22:28:43	Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x17d8bd…
05-23 22:28:10	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x13fbaf…
05-23 22:27:16	Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x842ae1…
05-23 20:29:13	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xcc3601…
05-23 17:07:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	312	1¢	$2	0x7bbf6c…
05-22 22:46:19	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe9aa1c…
05-22 17:01:18	World Championships: Sweden vs. Italy	Sweden	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbade54…
05-22 17:00:47	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5975a4…
05-22 16:57:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd473ee…
05-22 16:56:21	Will Jason Steele be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd31e35…
05-22 01:44:53	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x89d587…
05-21 20:10:42	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfb173c…
05-21 00:03:21	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x28ebef…
05-20 15:24:42	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x844588…
05-20 05:04:41	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	Over	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7f541e…
05-19 09:56:09	Will Rodrygo be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0edd38…
05-19 09:55:48	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf44961…
05-19 00:02:30	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe2510a…
05-18 21:09:39	Will Vitor Roque be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00bad1…
05-18 21:06:09	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfbe16b…
05-18 17:27:15	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x093e20…
05-18 17:27:08	Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4dc9eb…
05-18 17:26:53	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf87cc3…
05-18 17:26:37	Will Vitor Roque be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23a0a6…
05-17 17:05:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x899b46…
05-17 15:31:41	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Ethan Quinn	Tommy Paul	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa12d7b…
05-17 15:16:36	Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4ad93b…
05-17 12:36:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x115b1d…
05-16 18:59:25	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x83f6a4…
05-16 17:29:09	Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	REKONIX	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x69a7a5…
05-16 09:27:15	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x88be85…
05-15 23:35:38	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe155b9…
05-15 12:33:37	Bengaluru 2: Philip Sekulic vs Kriish Tyagi	Philip Sekulic	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xddc6b2…
05-15 08:13:55	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x03d883…
05-14 17:55:11	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x05703d…
05-14 17:54:33	Bilbao Basket vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7f3cf3…
05-14 17:54:05	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x616f64…
05-14 17:37:36	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf99ff2…
05-14 17:37:24	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x28ed61…
05-14 16:44:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x966758…
05-14 16:43:53	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x75b057…
05-13 06:50:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf24591…