Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

82 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.43K lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 09-11 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

95% 23% -$2,962

Crypto

4% 0% -$113

Sports

2% 0% -$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes		-1,145	-$77	2¢	$-27	+$50	05-15 23:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	39	$2.4K	42,300	42,300	+0	No	-$1,195	01-24 17:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$2.0K	3,150	3,150	+0	No	-$899	09-11 12:54
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.1K	31,115	10,005	+21,110	No	-$724	03-17 11:57
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	4	$226	3,521	3,521	+0	No	-$113	02-14 15:40
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	3	$195	1,778	1,778	+0	No	+$3	01-12 16:13
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	2	$125	940	940	+0	Down	-$101	03-27 12:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$113	569	569	+0	No	-$33	06-02 18:20
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	4	$77	0	1,145	-1,145	open	—	05-15 23:04
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$51	0	467	-467	No	+$51	05-11 15:31
will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	2	$51	2,796	0	+2,796	No	-$51	07-13 23:11
spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	1	$50	593	0	+593	Up	-$50	03-25 10:35
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$49	12,297	12,297	+0	No	-$25	06-15 22:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$40	0	2,000	-2,000	No	+$40	05-11 15:31
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$32	10,803	0	+10,803	No	-$32	01-12 12:28
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$11	10,960	0	+10,960	No	-$11	03-17 11:57
spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	1	$10	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	-$10	03-26 13:09
Nothing Ever Happens: April	2	$1	95	0	+95	Something	-$1	04-05 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 12:54:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,150	17¢	$540	0x577e62…
09-06 22:06:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	377	51¢	$192	0x6b8d19…
09-02 22:30:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	45¢	$47	0xc74ea6…
09-02 16:52:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	666	43¢	$286	0x96efae…
09-01 21:25:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	129	42¢	$54	0x4694fb…
09-01 13:09:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,115	43¢	$479	0x84ff33…
08-30 18:33:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	760	50¢	$380	0x76d40c…
07-13 23:11:10	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	Yes	BUY	2,663	2¢	$49	0xc9ae2f…
07-13 22:55:26	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0xcb7c03…
06-15 22:39:58	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12,297	0¢	$12	0xce49e4…
06-02 18:20:41	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12,297	0¢	$37	0xf19f36…
06-02 18:20:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	569	7¢	$40	0xa1c0a9…
05-16 14:52:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xfd8e6f…
05-16 01:22:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	494	13¢	$64	0xa8fbe2…
05-15 23:06:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x04a636…
05-15 23:04:17	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	SELL	761	6¢	$45	0xc2fcbc…
05-15 23:03:23	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	SELL	220	8¢	$18	0xbdf2c6…
05-15 23:00:16	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xe31ea1…
05-15 22:56:56	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	SELL	63	10¢	$6	0x168a7e…
05-11 15:31:17	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	467	11¢	$51	0x073ed8…
05-11 15:31:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$40	0xc592f2…
04-05 04:56:17	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x0aacb5…
04-05 04:56:11	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x5b2faf…
03-27 12:57:09	spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	Up	SELL	940	1¢	$12	0xd2206e…
03-27 12:12:15	spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	Up	BUY	940	12¢	$113	0x112640…
03-26 13:09:41	spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	Up	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x5aa5fd…
03-25 10:35:11	spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	593	8¢	$50	0x11a746…
03-17 11:57:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,960	0¢	$11	0xfba330…
03-17 11:57:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$48	0x92e92d…
03-02 22:22:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	10,005	2¢	$167	0x8491a3…
02-28 22:24:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,005	4¢	$399	0xcc7289…
02-23 15:32:42	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,630	3¢	$130	0xb2a36c…
02-17 00:50:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,669	7¢	$257	0xb88445…
02-14 15:41:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	811	7¢	$57	0x442102…
02-14 15:40:53	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3,521	2¢	$57	0x0be7bd…
01-31 06:16:28	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,630	5¢	$128	0x1a68ca…
01-31 05:16:42	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xdf22d5…
01-31 04:49:34	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	864	5¢	$41	0xd2ef8d…
01-24 17:51:28	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6,290	1¢	$44	0x67a9bf…
01-23 01:47:56	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6,290	2¢	$101	0xd7286c…
01-23 01:44:38	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	36,010	2¢	$540	0xaa5a8c…
01-17 19:17:52	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,678	4¢	$291	0xe6bf17…
01-13 16:52:57	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11,358	4¢	$446	0xc529b3…
01-12 17:28:33	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	216	6¢	$13	0x05b6ed…
01-12 17:28:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	92	6¢	$5	0x8a8cf1…
01-12 17:28:23	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	132	6¢	$8	0xc23bd4…
01-12 17:28:19	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	188	6¢	$11	0x6f1c5e…
01-12 17:28:13	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	268	6¢	$16	0x247e64…
01-12 17:28:07	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	383	6¢	$22	0x3ea388…
01-12 17:28:03	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	427	6¢	$25	0xdc4637…
01-12 16:13:49	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	Yes	SELL	1,778	6¢	$99	0x0397c9…
01-12 16:06:34	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,919	6¢	$119	0x9049a8…
01-12 16:05:26	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xa5687f…
01-12 15:52:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xebd837…
01-12 15:49:58	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x558f14…
01-12 15:49:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xb69f24…
01-12 15:48:54	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x651da3…
01-12 15:48:52	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x96c04f…
01-12 15:47:58	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf5a104…
01-12 15:47:36	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x0ba30e…
01-12 15:47:28	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	234	6¢	$15	0x94dc17…
01-12 15:47:10	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0xdfd006…
01-12 15:47:06	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0xf59773…
01-12 15:47:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	94	6¢	$6	0x1f8e89…
01-12 15:46:46	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	559	6¢	$35	0x78ed52…
01-12 15:43:48	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x9e035d…
01-12 15:42:12	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x693ceb…
01-12 15:40:22	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xc1523c…
01-12 15:40:02	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$25	0xa6ec76…
01-12 15:39:18	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	729	6¢	$45	0x6ab60c…
01-12 12:28:36	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x03d890…
01-12 12:27:02	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	756	6¢	$42	0xf1b64f…
01-12 12:27:02	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	756	6¢	$42	0xa98f8e…
01-12 12:27:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	174	6¢	$10	0x4fd9d3…
01-12 12:26:56	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	986	6¢	$54	0xa576ac…
01-12 12:26:56	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,342	6¢	$74	0xa20f24…
01-12 12:26:56	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	986	6¢	$54	0x581da3…
01-12 12:05:56	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,571	5¢	$175	0x16f1a1…
01-12 11:39:40	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,803	0¢	$17	0xb5cd22…
01-12 11:30:32	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,971	5¢	$100	0x215208…
01-12 11:26:02	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	Yes	BUY	1,710	5¢	$92	0x6b65c9…
01-12 11:16:36	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	Yes	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0x1f29a6…