Immaterial-Shadow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

$65

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-06 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$5

Other

38% 89% +$5

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+65	$65	100¢	$65	+$0	11-06 05:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 8	2	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$1	03-08 11:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	2	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$1	03-10 01:06
ethereum above 2400 on march 9	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$1	03-09 05:41
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$3	03-13 00:24
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	1	$1.1K	1,148	0	+1,148	No	+$1	03-11 02:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$129	67	67	+0	open	—	11-06 05:22
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$128	64	64	+0	No	$0	04-20 06:19
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	11-06 05:23
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	05-24 09:49
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$0	06-25 14:03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	04-20 06:23
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 640 669	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$0	03-09 14:09
ethereum above 3500 on january 15	1	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$0	01-15 15:57
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	02-08 04:51
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-08 11:40
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	03-08 11:39
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$39	26	13	+13	No	$0	03-14 14:41
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 400 419	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	01-10 11:05
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 670 699	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	03-08 12:42
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-08 11:41
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 420 439	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	01-10 11:06
ethereum above 2300 on march 9	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-09 14:07
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-10 00:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 05:23:01	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xdea884…
11-06 05:22:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0xfbde3b…
09-22 14:09:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xb79e79…
06-25 14:03:55	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0x33ce93…
05-24 09:49:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xea6af3…
04-20 06:23:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xe7967a…
04-20 06:19:18	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x9226b9…
04-10 15:36:17	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x1d3a72…
03-14 14:41:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x580325…
03-13 00:25:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x774d27…
03-13 00:24:23	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0x3d4206…
03-11 02:11:05	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	No	BUY	1,148	100¢	$1,147	0x25af04…
03-10 01:06:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	874	100¢	$873	0x5f50af…
03-10 00:16:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd36dc…
03-10 00:15:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9d92aa…
03-10 00:14:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	526	100¢	$526	0xbd60f4…
03-09 14:09:25	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 640 669	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0x709d73…
03-09 14:07:47	ethereum above 2300 on march 9	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xca390a…
03-09 05:41:39	ethereum above 2400 on march 9	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0xbd1d15…
03-08 12:42:37	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 670 699	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x845abc…
03-08 11:43:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 8	No	BUY	1,129	100¢	$1,128	0xdd34fa…
03-08 11:41:37	will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x88fc41…
03-08 11:40:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xc381d8…
03-08 11:39:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x242910…
03-08 11:37:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 8	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xc5723f…
02-08 04:51:03	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9fc8cf…
01-15 15:57:34	ethereum above 3500 on january 15	No	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0xb73c55…
01-10 11:06:26	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 420 439	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe501a2…
01-10 11:05:38	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 400 419	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb90522…