Realized P&L
+$17.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.70K
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
32
Trades
230
lifetime
Volume
$782.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3.40K
Open exposure
$291.9K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-17 02:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
75% 100% +$7,098
Other
25% 94% +$10,213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +161,750 $144,378 92¢ $148.0K +$3,624 10-17 02:39
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +31,935 $30,342 93¢ $29.8K -$515 10-17 01:58
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +27,038 $26,092 96¢ $25.9K -$203 10-17 01:59
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +17,218 $16,554 97¢ $16.7K +$139 10-17 02:31
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +16,061 $15,442 97¢ $15.6K +$129 10-17 01:44
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,884 $13,064 97¢ $13.5K +$411 10-17 01:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,700 $5,025 74¢ $4.9K -$100 09-20 23:28
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +5,010 $4,835 97¢ $4.9K +$40 10-17 01:49
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +4,921 $4,725 96¢ $4.7K -$11 10-17 02:31
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,500 $4,840 86¢ $4.7K -$138 10-17 01:59
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +5,036 $4,104 80¢ $4.1K -$50 09-08 19:42
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $3,590 90¢ $3.6K +$10 10-17 02:20
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +3,600 $3,230 86¢ $3.1K -$152 10-17 02:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +3,499 $2,834 77¢ $2.7K -$140 10-17 02:04
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,800 $2,041 84¢ $2.3K +$297 10-15 21:17
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,662 $2,024 54¢ $2.0K -$36 10-15 17:24
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,820 90¢ $1.8K -$10 10-17 01:55
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +1,500 $1,230 89¢ $1.3K +$105 10-17 02:13
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +1,699 $1,393 78¢ $1.3K -$59 10-17 02:11
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +972 -$1,385 100¢ $971 +$2,356 10-17 02:38