Empty-Ball — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$2.10K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

254 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$874.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.44K

Open exposure

$9.96K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$39,057

Other

22% 95% +$11,535

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+6,700	$5,025	100¢	$6.7K	+$1,665	09-20 23:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No		+3,499	$2,834	94¢	$3.3K	+$437	10-17 02:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	13	$153.9K	171,750	0	+171,750	Yes	+$17,872	11-01 21:06
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	95	$110.0K	56,385	56,385	+0	No	+$2,356	10-29 22:50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	8	$37.4K	39,439	0	+39,439	Yes	+$2,025	11-01 20:45
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$33.3K	17,218	17,218	+0	Yes	+$170	10-29 22:53
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	11	$31.3K	16,061	16,061	+0	No	+$377	11-01 20:42
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$26.6K	13,675	13,675	+0	No	+$723	01-22 12:08
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	7	$26.4K	27,348	0	+27,348	Yes	+$957	10-28 19:59
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	3	$25.8K	13,884	13,008	+876	Yes	+$508	11-01 20:43
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	4	$24.3K	26,426	0	+26,426	Yes	+$2,115	11-03 13:57
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$22.9K	23,919	0	+23,919	No	+$1,013	01-18 09:22
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$22.6K	22,841	0	+22,841	No	+$228	03-18 01:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$22.1K	22,831	0	+22,831	No	+$723	03-18 21:22
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$200	08-09 19:00
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	8	$19.6K	21,428	0	+21,428	No	+$1,795	03-02 18:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$17.9K	18,500	0	+18,500	No	+$566	03-02 18:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$16.9K	19,247	0	+19,247	No	+$2,367	03-23 17:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	2	$15.8K	16,072	0	+16,072	No	+$225	08-09 19:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$15.1K	15,100	0	+15,100	Yes	+$45	04-07 00:11
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?	2	$14.8K	15,356	0	+15,356	Yes	+$566	10-17 01:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$14.7K	18,013	0	+18,013	No	+$3,295	03-18 01:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$11.4K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$600	08-09 18:36
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$11.4K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$645	02-12 20:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$10.9K	11,400	0	+11,400	No	+$534	04-25 15:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$10.6K	10,761	0	+10,761	No	+$121	04-25 15:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$10.5K	5,800	5,800	+0	open	—	10-17 01:36
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$10.1K	10,300	0	+10,300	No	+$206	09-03 04:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$10.0K	10,200	0	+10,200	No	+$230	06-11 16:07
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	1	$9.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$600	11-01 21:08
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$9.1K	9,608	0	+9,608	No	+$503	03-02 18:34
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$6.7K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$294	01-18 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 13:57:54	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,332	92¢	$8,572	0xe9f67c…
11-01 21:08:22	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0x63c472…
11-01 21:06:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,000	95¢	$9,500	0xac6da0…
11-01 20:45:28	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,148	95¢	$2,976	0xc037b1…
11-01 20:43:58	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,008	98¢	$12,696	0xe81194…
11-01 20:42:24	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	218	98¢	$214	0x24eeb3…
11-01 20:42:16	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$394	0xd291c3…
11-01 20:42:13	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	881	98¢	$866	0xc306a7…
11-01 20:42:07	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	629	98¢	$619	0x8c0dc6…
11-01 20:42:01	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3,441	98¢	$3,384	0x8a7a8c…
11-01 20:41:57	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	787	98¢	$774	0x3d1848…
11-01 20:41:45	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	554	99¢	$546	0x7713dc…
11-01 20:41:31	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	555	99¢	$548	0x2b106a…
11-01 20:33:25	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	8,597	99¢	$8,475	0xf2f565…
11-01 20:29:57	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,594	94¢	$10,898	0xc90942…
11-01 20:28:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	936	94¢	$882	0x0e2828…
11-01 20:28:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,420	94¢	$3,215	0x4a5d70…
10-29 22:53:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17,218	97¢	$16,724	0x5b1942…
10-29 22:50:01	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	972	100¢	$971	0x5b8228…
10-28 19:59:50	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xe56ae2…
10-28 19:30:14	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xa0df28…
10-28 19:27:38	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x89550b…
10-28 19:27:19	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xfb1a09…
10-28 19:27:19	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0xe767af…
10-17 02:40:23	Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	96¢	$407	0x1ef2ca…
10-17 02:39:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,600	91¢	$5,096	0x502ccb…
10-17 02:38:45	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	5,637	99¢	$5,586	0xf98d3b…
10-17 02:36:21	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x0b454b…
10-17 02:35:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,000	91¢	$2,730	0x9ad5e3…
10-17 02:34:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33,000	91¢	$30,030	0x2247e5…
10-17 02:32:17	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	16,680	99¢	$16,580	0xa73fa6…
10-17 02:31:38	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	990	96¢	$950	0x8b4747…
10-17 02:31:03	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,121	96¢	$1,082	0x2d426d…
10-17 02:29:47	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,892	0xdd1911…
10-17 02:28:53	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,372	95¢	$1,299	0xf231e0…
10-17 02:20:53	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	90¢	$3,590	0x98d4e3…
10-17 02:18:33	Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	689	96¢	$661	0x7f28f6…
10-17 02:17:42	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,931	96¢	$3,775	0x466380…
10-17 02:15:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,000	91¢	$9,100	0xd632f3…
10-17 02:13:33	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,500	82¢	$1,230	0xaf3e51…
10-17 02:11:54	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	78	82¢	$64	0xe5737c…
10-17 02:11:51	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xf79fcf…
10-17 02:11:50	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xbde7b3…
10-17 02:11:50	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x020651…
10-17 02:11:38	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,500	82¢	$1,230	0x4f80e4…
10-17 02:04:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,499	81¢	$2,834	0x138ab0…
10-17 01:59:47	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,038	97¢	$6,792	0x594bb4…
10-17 01:59:24	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x5ae6fc…
10-17 01:58:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,564	95¢	$2,449	0x97af7e…
10-17 01:57:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,000	91¢	$9,100	0x04f457…
10-17 01:56:41	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	96¢	$19,300	0xb57edc…
10-17 01:55:47	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x78a4b1…
10-17 01:52:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10,056	96¢	$9,704	0x7f194d…
10-17 01:50:05	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x7fbd96…
10-17 01:49:06	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5,010	96¢	$4,835	0x2923f1…
10-17 01:46:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20,000	91¢	$18,200	0xd902d8…
10-17 01:45:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20,000	91¢	$18,200	0xabab1c…
10-17 01:45:03	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,097	96¢	$12,586	0x6887c9…
10-17 01:44:57	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,315	96¢	$1,265	0x4a59f7…
10-17 01:44:12	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	96¢	$570	0xeee03c…
10-17 01:41:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	2,608	95¢	$2,468	0xb2733f…
10-17 01:41:08	Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,383	96¢	$2,280	0x5500f8…
10-17 01:39:56	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,184	96¢	$3,073	0x7f8615…
10-17 01:38:38	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,710	96¢	$3,561	0x009824…
10-17 01:37:35	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,801	96¢	$2,677	0xaef02c…
10-17 01:36:44	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5,800	94¢	$5,449	0x6f8a18…
10-16 22:18:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17,000	91¢	$15,470	0x8c4817…
10-16 22:17:32	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,387	95¢	$3,233	0x6cacfd…
10-16 21:55:27	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	14,746	96¢	$14,177	0xd1339f…
10-15 21:17:09	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,800	73¢	$2,041	0xe38c95…
10-15 17:24:49	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	5,112	100¢	$5,100	0x722a9d…
10-15 17:24:10	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,662	55¢	$2,024	0xeb7190…
10-14 03:21:01	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	12,172	100¢	$12,142	0x388faf…
10-14 03:17:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,394	95¢	$4,174	0x738cc0…
10-14 03:17:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18,788	95¢	$17,809	0x19a3cc…
10-14 03:07:08	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5,300	96¢	$5,086	0x8381ef…
10-13 23:56:13	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	88¢	$3,080	0xef6d50…
10-13 22:12:24	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,300	89¢	$2,057	0x8ca71c…
10-13 19:27:24	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,886	0x284f04…
09-22 19:33:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12,950	93¢	$12,044	0x63de18…
09-22 17:48:01	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,700	93¢	$9,991	0x40e9c3…
09-20 23:28:59	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,700	75¢	$5,025	0xfc153f…
09-09 19:52:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,200	48¢	$1,536	0x7301d7…
09-08 19:42:30	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,236	83¢	$1,026	0xb9c526…
09-08 19:41:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5,800	87¢	$5,046	0xc165d1…
09-03 04:32:40	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10,300	98¢	$10,094	0x4b18b8…
08-26 23:29:22	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xc1f2a2…
08-26 23:29:21	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x66c11f…
08-26 23:29:21	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x058867…
08-26 18:09:06	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x631e7d…
08-26 16:52:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,200	97¢	$6,013	0x0637c0…
08-26 08:11:25	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x10bcd0…
08-25 19:55:13	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xce8639…
08-25 13:47:51	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x328587…
08-25 12:38:57	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd33bef…
08-25 08:21:43	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbe7d6a…
08-25 07:48:42	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3adc9d…
08-25 06:52:01	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06ef69…
08-25 02:23:15	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0x88f7de…
08-24 18:35:18	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x428659…