Realized P&L (90d)
+$7.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.25K
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved (90d)
510
Trades (90d)
2,350
22,844 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$97.0K
$1.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$9.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 03:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Politics
40% 74% +$65,779
Sports
25% 67% +$45,782
Other
23% 70% +$20,204
Pop-Culture
6% 81% +$3,180
Crypto
3% 82% +$1,908
Tech
3% 63% +$4,047
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +2,216 $617 78¢ $1.7K +$1,101 08-14 07:33
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,712 $1,315 75¢ $1.3K -$25 09-03 19:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +1,000 $986 100¢ $996 +$10 10-16 07:11
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +1,100 $933 82¢ $896 -$36 10-27 00:43
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +1,000 $370 82¢ $825 +$455 08-22 23:27
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +500 $449 95¢ $475 +$26 08-03 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,300 $951 36¢ $474 -$476 08-25 09:46
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +1,859 $646 23¢ $428 -$219 10-16 02:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +500 $165 82¢ $407 +$242 08-11 08:22
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +417 $335 97¢ $405 +$70 10-17 03:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +300 $210 91¢ $273 +$63 10-16 02:13
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +500 $250 52¢ $262 +$12 08-14 16:05
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +300 $264 86¢ $258 -$6 08-02 15:48
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,081 $236 21¢ $224 -$12 10-09 15:32
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +607 $29 37¢ $223 +$194 09-04 14:48
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +160 $87 92¢ $147 +$60 07-31 18:20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +128 $105 94¢ $120 +$15 08-02 00:46
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +115 $108 98¢ $114 +$5 09-03 11:35
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $50 73¢ $57 +$7 10-14 21:10
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +53 $20 82¢ $43 +$24 08-22 22:47
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,113 $78 4¢ $42 -$36 09-04 03:23
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +43 $36 79¢ $34 -$2 09-05 02:21
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +611 $252 6¢ $34 -$219 06-15 04:40
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +32 $23 97¢ $31 +$9 06-07 23:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +31 $28 98¢ $30 +$2 06-02 06:50
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +40 $34 63¢ $25 -$9 08-13 17:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 06-02 06:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +7 $6 75¢ $5 -$1 06-03 11:33
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 07-28 14:21
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +9 $4 16¢ $2 -$3 05-30 18:47