Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.22K
Hit rate
28.3%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
122
23,126 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.75K
$1.05M lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$9.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 04:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Politics
40% 74% +$65,779
Sports
25% 67% +$45,782
Other
23% 70% +$20,236
Pop-Culture
6% 81% +$3,180
Crypto
3% 82% +$1,908
Tech
3% 63% +$4,047
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +2,216 $617 80¢ $1.8K +$1,168 08-14 07:33
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,712 $1,315 76¢ $1.3K -$20 09-03 19:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +1,000 $986 100¢ $996 +$10 10-16 07:11
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +1,100 $933 83¢ $913 -$20 10-27 00:43
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +1,000 $370 82¢ $815 +$445 08-22 23:27
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +500 $449 94¢ $468 +$18 08-03 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,300 $951 35¢ $456 -$495 08-25 09:46
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +500 $165 84¢ $417 +$252 08-11 08:22
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +417 $335 97¢ $404 +$69 10-17 03:06
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +1,859 $646 19¢ $353 -$293 10-16 02:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +300 $210 97¢ $290 +$80 10-16 02:13
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +500 $250 52¢ $258 +$8 08-14 16:05
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +300 $264 86¢ $256 -$8 08-02 15:48
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +607 $29 38¢ $232 +$203 09-04 14:48
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,081 $236 18¢ $195 -$41 10-09 15:32
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +160 $87 93¢ $150 +$62 07-31 18:20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +128 $105 93¢ $119 +$15 08-02 00:46
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +115 $108 98¢ $113 +$5 09-03 11:35
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $50 73¢ $57 +$7 10-14 21:10
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +53 $20 82¢ $43 +$24 08-22 22:47
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +43 $36 82¢ $36 $0 09-05 02:21
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,113 $78 3¢ $33 -$44 09-04 03:23
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +32 $23 97¢ $31 +$9 06-07 23:51
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +611 $252 5¢ $31 -$222 06-15 04:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +31 $28 98¢ $30 +$3 06-02 06:50
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +40 $34 62¢ $25 -$10 08-13 17:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 06-02 06:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +100 $7 6¢ $6 -$1 10-28 04:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +7 $6 76¢ $5 -$1 06-03 11:33
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 07-28 14:21