Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.24K
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved (30d)
94
Trades (30d)
338
23,197 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$16.4K
$1.05M lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$12.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Politics
40% 74% +$65,779
Sports
25% 67% +$45,782
Other
23% 70% +$20,236
Pop-Culture
6% 81% +$3,180
Crypto
3% 82% +$1,908
Tech
3% 63% +$4,047
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +2,216 $617 80¢ $1.8K +$1,145 08-14 07:33
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,712 $1,315 77¢ $1.3K +$8 09-03 19:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,150 $1,047 89¢ $1.0K -$24 10-29 17:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +1,000 $986 100¢ $996 +$10 10-16 07:11
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +1,160 $982 82¢ $945 -$36 10-29 17:48
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +990 $855 90¢ $894 +$39 10-29 17:47
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +1,000 $370 84¢ $835 +$465 08-22 23:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,300 $951 39¢ $512 -$439 08-25 09:46
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +500 $449 94¢ $470 +$21 08-03 13:19
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +500 $165 84¢ $422 +$257 08-11 08:22
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +417 $335 99¢ $412 +$77 10-17 03:06
gta vi released before november 2026 No -400 -$388 100¢ $-400 -$12 06-08 19:04
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,581 $326 22¢ $349 +$23 10-28 21:18
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +1,859 $646 18¢ $325 -$321 10-16 02:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +300 $210 99¢ $297 +$87 10-16 02:13
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +300 $264 88¢ $264 +$0 08-02 15:48
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +500 $250 45¢ $225 -$25 08-14 16:05
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +607 $29 37¢ $223 +$194 09-04 14:48
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +128 $105 93¢ $119 +$14 08-02 00:46
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +115 $108 96¢ $111 +$2 09-03 11:35
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $50 74¢ $58 +$8 10-14 21:10
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +53 $20 84¢ $44 +$25 08-22 22:47
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +611 $252 6¢ $37 -$216 06-15 04:40
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +43 $36 78¢ $34 -$2 09-05 02:21
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +32 $23 95¢ $31 +$8 06-07 23:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +31 $28 99¢ $31 +$3 06-02 06:50
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +40 $34 63¢ $25 -$9 08-13 17:08
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,113 $78 2¢ $17 -$60 09-04 03:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$1 06-02 06:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +7 $6 79¢ $6 -$1 06-03 11:33