Outrageous-Pedal — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

175 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$36.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$211

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-30 08:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$94

Crypto

31% 95% +$33

Tech

14% 100% +$53

Sports

6% 100% +$6

Politics

2% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2.1K	1,051	1,051	+0	No	+$4	07-29 10:29
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.1K	1,047	1,047	+0	No	+$6	07-12 03:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$2.1K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$4	06-30 14:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$2.0K	1,035	1,035	+0	Yes	+$13	06-17 16:19
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$20	05-24 21:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	992	992	+0	No	+$6	04-15 12:29
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	21	$1.9K	980	980	+0	Yes	+$7	03-26 05:37
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$1.9K	974	974	+0	No	+$7	03-21 15:13
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	3	$1.1K	582	582	+0	No	+$34	08-30 08:09
bitcoin above 74k on march 10	2	$1.0K	528	528	+0	No	+$5	03-10 13:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	No	+$2	06-17 18:00
will gold gc settle over 5600 on the final trading day of march 2026	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$1	03-30 11:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$987	999	0	+999	No	+$12	04-15 12:30
will bitcoin reach 82k march 16 22	1	$970	972	0	+972	No	+$2	03-21 15:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	6	$934	481	481	-0	No	+$22	08-19 08:56
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	17	$910	458	458	+0	No	+$4	08-03 19:41
will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	25	$892	447	447	+0	No	+$1	03-08 19:43
trump out as president by march 31	2	$851	432	432	+0	No	+$9	03-15 22:37
xrp above 1pt7 on february 11	2	$834	419	419	+0	No	+$3	02-10 21:21
solana above 70 on february 9	3	$830	416	416	+0	Yes	+$1	02-09 13:45
will xrp dip to 1pt1 february 2 8	3	$827	415	415	+0	No	+$1	02-09 01:20
will solana dip to 50 february 2 8	2	$825	413	413	+0	No	+$1	02-08 09:35
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$813	411	411	-0	No	+$8	01-30 06:24
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	2	$805	403	403	+0	No	+$0	01-27 14:13
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$801	403	403	+0	No	+$3	01-23 03:08
nvda above 205 on march 27 2026	2	$539	270	270	+0	No	+$0	03-27 01:45
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 9 15	1	$526	532	0	+532	No	+$6	03-11 13:27
will xrp reach 2 february 9 15	23	$522	262	262	+0	No	+$0	02-12 02:58
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	1	$419	420	0	+420	No	+$1	02-13 09:33
ethereum above 2900 on february 7	1	$411	412	0	+412	No	+$1	02-05 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 08:09:54	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	483	100¢	$482	0xcb8d9c…
08-21 03:35:49	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x6a0ad1…
08-19 08:56:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0xf2c742…
08-19 08:56:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x4f7cd7…
08-19 08:56:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0x0bbce4…
08-19 03:26:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfcc05c…
08-19 03:25:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x348319…
08-19 02:48:43	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xae2b75…
08-07 04:44:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	481	95¢	$456	0xe2084b…
08-03 19:41:15	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd4a6df…
08-03 19:27:15	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa96a51…
08-03 17:55:32	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5f561f…
08-03 17:21:00	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcfd063…
08-03 17:21:00	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x190b39…
08-03 16:54:23	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x704c13…
08-03 16:54:17	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x70ec80…
08-03 16:53:56	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaf5669…
08-03 16:23:42	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd89194…
08-03 16:23:41	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x49a547…
08-03 16:23:41	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2453ff…
08-03 15:59:57	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x253742…
08-03 15:52:48	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbf8955…
08-03 15:52:48	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbc24b8…
08-03 15:52:48	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x5d24cd…
08-03 15:49:24	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0xe3dea7…
08-02 11:36:03	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	458	99¢	$453	0x9a7146…
08-02 11:35:41	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	582	94¢	$547	0xe15c3a…
08-02 11:35:33	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x3d5aff…
07-29 10:29:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,051	100¢	$1,050	0xe082fb…
07-12 05:34:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,051	99¢	$1,046	0xb61b96…
07-12 03:32:50	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,047	100¢	$1,045	0x6ed31d…
07-04 12:02:17	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,047	99¢	$1,039	0xf25024…
06-30 14:08:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,040	100¢	$1,039	0x1d4121…
06-26 03:10:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,040	100¢	$1,035	0x1218e7…
06-17 18:00:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	519	100¢	$518	0x8de175…
06-17 16:19:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	518	100¢	$517	0x9239c8…
06-16 07:00:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	519	100¢	$517	0x51d3e7…
06-15 16:44:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xe69be4…
06-12 17:26:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x0876a5…
06-10 16:46:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	259	99¢	$257	0xd30593…
06-10 13:07:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	131	97¢	$128	0xd84a2d…
06-06 18:41:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x9cb52b…
06-06 08:13:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$127	0xf691c1…
06-05 11:58:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	129	99¢	$127	0x763049…
05-30 13:19:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,035	98¢	$1,017	0x0db5f6…
05-24 21:16:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	1,021	100¢	$1,018	0x868199…
05-05 10:55:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$997	0x8d9833…
04-15 12:30:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	999	99¢	$987	0xd2717d…
04-15 12:29:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	992	100¢	$987	0xbf87a2…
04-07 01:16:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	992	99¢	$981	0x2ac826…
03-31 12:56:21	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd2303b…
03-31 11:34:31	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf94ace…
03-31 10:32:17	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x8b3099…
03-31 10:22:31	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6ad9fe…
03-31 10:20:29	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe26820…
03-31 07:12:07	nvda above 210 on march 31 2026	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xf05908…
03-30 11:56:38	will gold gc settle over 5600 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	SELL	503	100¢	$503	0xa07bd2…
03-27 01:45:07	nvda above 205 on march 27 2026	No	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xdf87e9…
03-26 14:03:41	will gold gc settle over 5600 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	503	100¢	$501	0x7ebbab…
03-26 14:02:55	nvda above 205 on march 27 2026	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x767ed9…
03-26 14:02:15	nvda above 210 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	88	99¢	$88	0xb9c553…
03-26 14:01:55	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xc5e218…
03-26 05:37:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x80055d…
03-26 04:03:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8a09d2…
03-26 03:51:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8410bf…
03-26 03:44:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf45424…
03-26 03:22:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbff38f…
03-26 03:22:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbeda8c…
03-26 03:22:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb4825a…
03-26 03:22:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2aa1fe…
03-26 03:22:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0a399b…
03-26 03:22:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc3705b…
03-26 03:17:17	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xeb5c12…
03-26 03:15:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xee81da…
03-26 03:15:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd13530…
03-26 03:15:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x91c4fe…
03-26 03:15:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a712f…
03-26 03:15:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x656b98…
03-26 03:15:45	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3830de…
03-26 03:13:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	816	100¢	$815	0x29b955…
03-26 02:42:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbf9c03…
03-25 16:41:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xed10ed…
03-24 07:44:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	980	99¢	$972	0x7bcfb2…
03-21 15:15:01	will bitcoin reach 82k march 16 22	No	BUY	972	100¢	$970	0x31534a…
03-21 15:13:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	974	100¢	$970	0xfbe566…
03-16 09:26:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	974	99¢	$963	0x6b4d1f…
03-15 22:37:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	432	100¢	$430	0x4d7c37…
03-11 13:27:57	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 9 15	No	BUY	532	99¢	$526	0x2641c6…
03-10 13:25:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	SELL	528	100¢	$527	0x9072b0…
03-10 12:51:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	BUY	528	99¢	$522	0x413cd8…
03-09 02:12:29	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xc46d59…
03-08 19:43:15	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3fe5ed…
03-08 19:42:37	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8c2a5b…
03-08 19:40:27	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xcb30f5…
03-08 19:40:03	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf16eac…
03-08 19:39:11	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x14aaea…
03-08 19:38:15	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x41a759…
03-08 19:35:53	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc81f41…
03-08 19:35:33	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x075e91…
03-08 19:35:25	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7ec7d1…