Frivolous-Floor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$164

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

831

Trades

2,156

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 08-24 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 51% +$48

Other

41% 35% -$180

Politics

4% 33% -$2

Sports

1% 0% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+55	$9	22¢	$12	+$3	08-24 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	16	$149	75	75	+0	No	+$0	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	15	$85	206	0	+206	Down	-$27	05-14 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	39	$64	158	0	+158	Down	-$45	05-12 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	37	$63	181	0	+181	Up	-$9	05-12 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?	12	$59	39	39	+0	Yes	-$1	05-13 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	32	$57	143	0	+143	Down	+$8	05-12 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13?	8	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$3	05-13 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14?	11	$56	35	35	+0	No	-$3	05-13 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 14?	9	$53	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-13 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	31	$52	143	0	+143	Down	-$17	05-12 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	29	$49	137	0	+137	Down	+$21	05-12 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	12	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-14 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	7	$44	86	0	+86	Down	+$6	05-14 09:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	22	$40	100	0	+100	Down	-$10	05-12 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$30	53	0	+53	Down	-$7	05-14 08:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	10	$30	59	0	+59	Down	+$29	05-14 07:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	6	$29	106	0	+106	Down	+$2	05-14 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	8	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	05-14 06:17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	4	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-14 06:19
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$28	59	0	+59	Up	-$28	05-14 08:35
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$28	56	0	+56	Up	-$8	05-14 08:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	6	$28	74	0	+74	Down	-$12	05-14 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?	7	$27	364	113	+251	Yes	-$16	05-15 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	8	$27	55	0	+55	Up	-$27	05-14 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$27	62	0	+62	Up	-$5	05-14 08:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	17	$25	85	0	+85	Down	-$10	05-12 08:05
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$24	64	0	+64	No	-$24	07-19 21:39
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	6	$24	48	0	+48	Down	+$25	05-14 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$22	61	0	+61	Down	+$8	05-14 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	10	$22	50	0	+50	Up	+$3	05-11 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 14:47:21	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0x776ec2…
08-04 16:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfb5445…
08-04 16:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaa1598…
08-04 16:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x67aa5d…
08-04 16:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x53b613…
08-04 16:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa4fece…
08-04 16:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x74bd61…
08-04 16:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfb4fe2…
08-04 16:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdc0e16…
08-04 16:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6a168a…
08-04 16:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9e219e…
08-04 16:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x85c0af…
08-04 16:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x057f65…
08-04 16:46:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf2e035…
08-04 16:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1c12a8…
07-24 16:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xa6d6e8…
07-24 16:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4407d0…
07-24 16:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x375b17…
07-24 16:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa7d078…
07-24 16:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x849f38…
07-24 16:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4980d4…
07-24 16:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd544e4…
07-24 16:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7155df…
07-24 16:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6dcfa1…
07-21 16:51:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaad6c5…
07-21 16:51:33	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x2393d3…
07-21 16:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x9fe7e5…
07-21 16:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc48dab…
07-21 16:21:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeb690f…
07-21 16:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa387e1…
07-21 16:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x4aa139…
07-20 23:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf4dde3…
07-20 17:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x3f50be…
07-20 17:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3dc80c…
07-20 16:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x902528…
07-20 16:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x751cd3…
07-20 16:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe4e175…
07-20 16:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0c0026…
07-20 16:22:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x6ce069…
07-20 16:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0e33f0…
07-20 16:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd5fc8f…
07-20 16:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb33fb1…
07-20 16:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xadb7a7…
07-20 16:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6dc11b…
07-19 21:39:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x6e5292…
07-19 21:13:18	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xadf108…
07-19 20:04:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xc33bd7…
07-19 16:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa379cf…
07-19 16:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xaae281…
07-19 16:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x500a70…
07-19 16:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc9f3e4…
07-19 16:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6458e3…
07-19 16:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1a8b45…
07-18 22:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb188a9…
07-18 16:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x002a3b…
07-18 16:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb848dd…
07-18 16:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x810547…
07-18 16:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x311170…
07-18 16:21:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7b746d…
07-18 16:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa96a73…
07-18 16:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x63d0fc…
07-18 16:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6262f1…
07-18 16:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf9c12c…
07-18 16:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf51720…
07-18 16:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbf8237…
07-18 16:21:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe2c5f7…
07-18 16:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9fa4ac…
07-18 16:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x55d576…
07-18 16:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x955b63…
07-18 16:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4ee1b5…
07-17 18:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xf5eeb4…
07-17 17:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x0eccb8…
07-17 17:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbf7154…
07-17 17:33:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x04156c…
07-17 16:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x06b524…
07-17 16:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x641177…
07-17 16:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf50fe7…
07-17 16:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x935de8…
07-17 16:42:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0ac52b…
07-17 16:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc030e8…
07-17 16:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8da5a4…
07-17 16:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8b2b34…
07-17 16:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4b68ca…
07-17 16:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xac1c8b…
07-17 16:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x18c228…
07-17 16:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbcdac1…
07-17 16:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xddc186…
07-17 16:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9476bd…
07-17 16:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6b20cb…
07-17 16:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x48da88…
07-16 19:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x08d424…
07-16 19:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7ce87c…
07-16 18:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xd9eeb5…
07-16 16:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0ce261…
07-16 16:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x4c03b0…
07-16 16:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xea5e20…
07-16 16:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x76a052…
07-16 16:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xaa6220…
07-16 16:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x07c2d6…
07-16 16:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5002a5…