Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-05 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

85% 54% +$8

Politics

11% 55% -$1

Tech

4% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down		+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	11-05 02:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No		+1	$1	93¢	$1	+$0	11-03 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 13:21:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x36f518…
11-05 02:40:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x550b65…
11-04 06:01:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x218263…
11-03 22:00:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2b1a8f…
11-03 13:58:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $205?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa8d786…
11-03 05:44:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd8abaa…
11-02 21:44:34	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xac3ab9…
11-02 13:44:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3279dc…
11-02 05:44:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x05e87f…
11-01 21:43:51	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd1dfd8…
10-30 01:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb543dd…
10-29 17:14:26	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf258f2…
10-28 08:38:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xab5189…
10-27 12:32:33	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd6fc4e…
10-27 04:31:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x75f3ae…
10-25 20:24:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x50f420…
10-25 12:00:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x11014d…
10-25 02:07:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0c49cb…
10-23 16:50:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb947b2…
10-22 20:32:47	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xac3267…
10-22 12:07:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc31454…
10-18 13:11:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7d72d2…
10-17 04:20:08	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x732342…
10-16 12:58:45	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbd1ace…
10-16 04:35:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe2b4d3…
10-15 20:26:14	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xede26f…
10-15 12:05:02	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x54360f…
10-14 15:38:46	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x00e1ff…
10-14 07:34:56	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd9b17d…
10-14 07:34:19	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbed1fb…
10-13 23:17:04	will ewy dip to 165 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x157702…
10-13 15:03:02	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xedf41b…
10-11 14:31:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xae2c8c…
10-10 21:48:57	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xea0723…
10-10 06:42:51	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd81318…
10-09 11:18:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5d3a81…
10-09 03:17:24	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x95a436…
10-08 19:16:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x78cc96…
10-08 08:29:40	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x472b67…
10-08 00:27:32	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd9fc84…
10-07 16:26:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3c1763…
10-07 04:49:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x571fb9…
10-07 04:48:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4c016c…
10-06 20:47:56	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x85fc4d…
10-06 12:47:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x72f937…
10-06 04:43:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa894dd…
10-05 16:49:49	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc61168…
10-05 00:50:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd51b07…
10-02 03:11:50	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x93a787…
10-01 16:57:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdc53e4…
10-01 08:56:26	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x00bfca…
10-01 08:42:53	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x43caeb…
09-30 23:02:02	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x702b94…
09-30 07:39:24	will xagusd reach 62 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x86e966…
09-29 23:37:18	will googl reach 350 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9ad227…
09-29 15:19:30	will abnb reach 162 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0a475e…
09-29 06:06:47	will mu reach 1080 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xebb18d…
09-28 22:05:57	will coin dip to 180 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2d7ca2…
09-28 14:02:17	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc26a08…
09-28 05:47:15	will pltr dip to 183 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x845b00…
09-27 21:46:33	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9f7c84…
09-27 06:08:36	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4aa414…
09-26 07:28:38	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdb3f76…
09-25 21:10:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf67892…
09-25 13:03:56	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcf7282…
09-25 04:15:51	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x123bd3…
09-23 19:44:04	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbc2e10…
09-22 23:41:34	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x955ccb…
09-22 15:28:34	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbd31b2…
09-22 06:47:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbef98d…
09-21 22:45:40	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda4e48…
09-21 14:45:20	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x14522b…
09-21 06:42:08	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x183b8a…
09-20 22:29:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xce5723…
09-20 03:58:03	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf7cfb8…
09-19 04:58:49	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3473e1…
09-18 15:02:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2511f8…
09-17 23:26:19	will ewy reach 185 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x085639…
09-17 04:37:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xafe668…
09-17 04:03:01	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x98c8fd…
09-16 19:23:00	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf2dc56…
09-16 10:11:01	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5b828f…
09-16 02:10:45	will rklb dip to 62 by september 14 2026 from september 15	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a2902…
09-15 18:07:45	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa1f037…
09-15 18:07:01	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x66a51a…
09-15 09:44:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x97ceb7…
09-14 23:15:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x57c065…
09-14 14:53:15	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xab1577…
09-14 06:51:27	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x875dbc…
09-14 06:50:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x79f153…
09-13 22:25:48	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xec7f89…
09-13 21:34:16	will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdeffc5…
09-13 04:18:51	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d5b84…
09-11 02:19:30	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1f977b…
09-10 18:02:42	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf734cb…
09-10 09:02:49	wti closes above 98 on september 10 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0fff38…
09-09 22:40:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ebe94…
09-09 13:42:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8d04c1…
09-09 00:47:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc7435b…
09-08 10:55:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xefbdc2…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$0	10-07 04:49
spy up or down on october 14 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$1	10-14 07:34
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	11-04 06:01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 13:42
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-28 14:02
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 23:41
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-06 20:47
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-27 12:32
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 19:44
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-16 04:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-28 08:38
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-16 10:11
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 22:45
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-20 03:58
will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-13 21:34
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	-$1	09-20 22:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-05 02:40
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-02 21:44
will xagusd reach 62 in september 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-30 07:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-25 20:24
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:28
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	11-01 21:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-30 01:26
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-10 18:02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 17:21
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-13 22:25
will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-25 04:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	1	$1	5	+5	Down	+$4	11-02 05:44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 22:40
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	10-06 12:47